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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 2, 2020
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets52%112109
30Cavaliers48%111106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
41.4
35.9
16
72%
1
11
1
1
0
4
0
1
7-7
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
41%
3-7
43%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
38.6
33.6
30
64%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
6-12
50%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 21.4
35.3
30.6
14
47%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
52%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 27.3
23.6
19.6
8
57%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
57%
0-0
-
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.8
22.9
28.4
6
28%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-5
0%
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
28.4
10.8
15
70%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.2
19.8
19.5
11
83%
7
2
0
1
0
3
3
4
5-6
83%
3-3
3-6
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
16.0
18.9
3
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 33.5
14.0
16.7
6
100%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-3
67%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.3
17.6
1
1-3
52%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 31.1
7.3
0
0-1
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 26.3
4.4
0
0-1
49%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
2.3
0
0-1
53%
Robert Franks
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 21.9
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.3
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
36.5
30.8
21
59%
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
4-10
6-13
40%
50%
4-7
57%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 19.9
34.1
29.9
14
54%
5
8
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
3-9
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 31.3
31.2
31.0
18
61%
8
4
0
1
1
1
0
8
4-4
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
2-8
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 28.8
30.9
31.6
6
38%
11
0
1
1
1
4
4
7
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
56%
0-0
-
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
26.4
25.8
17
106%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
3-4
75%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 19.7
24.1
26.2
9
51%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.0
19.1
21.1
2
50%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 29.0
14.8
8.1
10
83%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-5
1-2
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.5
12.1
13.0
7
60%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 29.3
10.7
14.7
2
33%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
4.4
0
0-1
56%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.0
3.2
0
1-1
58%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 28.1
2.9
0
0-0
46%
Tyler Cook
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 23.3
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.