FinalWin Prob.pScore
1439%109
76
861%113
84
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
85.48984.9
MIA logo MIA
93.39094.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.76
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:02.2HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Serge Ibaka draws the foul)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.2RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.6RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.7HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.7RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes two point cutting dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.7RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)73
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.4RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive rebound71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes two point cutting dunk (OG Anunoby assists)71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:30RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson defensive rebound69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46RaptorsSerge Ibaka personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson defensive rebound69
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 2:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot69
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point floating jump shot69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)69
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:55RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot69
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 3:01RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound69
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 3:04HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot69
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 3:12RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 3:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound69
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 3:35RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point stepback jump shot69
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup69
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound69
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 3:59HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot69
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 4:05RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson misses two point tip layup69
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 4:05RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson offensive rebound69
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 4:10RaptorsKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot69
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 4:16RaptorsKyle Lowry offensive rebound69
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 4:18RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot69
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 4:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)69
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 4:56RaptorsSerge Ibaka turnover (3-second violation)69
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q4 - 5:11RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound69
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q4 - 5:11HeatRondae Hollis-Jefferson blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point layup69
9.5%
75
90.5%
Q4 - 5:15RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)69
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q4 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 269
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q4 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 269
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q4 - 5:27RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q4 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound69
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q4 - 5:30HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot69
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q4 - 5:54RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point turnaround hook shot (Fred VanVleet assists)69
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q4 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)67
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q4 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)67
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q4 - 6:18RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)67
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q4 - 6:36HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (traveling)64
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q4 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 164
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 6:43RaptorsNick Nurse technical foul64
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q4 - 6:45HeatHeat offensive rebound64
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot64
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 7:00RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot64
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q4 - 7:07RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound64
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q4 - 7:10HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot64
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q4 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 7:26RaptorsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Serge Ibaka's two point jump shot64
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 7:37RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound64
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q4 - 7:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot64
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q4 - 7:54HeatHeat defensive rebound64
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 7:55RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot64
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)64
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
9.1%
71
90.9%
Q4 - 8:32RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot64
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q4 - 8:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)64
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q4 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q4 - 8:59RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses two point reverse layup64
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q4 - 9:01RaptorsPatrick McCaw offensive rebound64
22.4%
68
77.6%
Q4 - 9:04RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses two point floating jump shot64
19.5%
68
80.5%
Q4 - 9:15HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Rondae Hollis-Jefferson draws the foul)64
22.4%
68
77.6%
Q4 - 9:37HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)64
22.3%
68
77.7%
Q4 - 9:50HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound64
31.5%
65
68.5%
Q4 - 9:53RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot64
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q4 - 10:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)64
37.3%
65
62.7%
Q4 - 10:26RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point putback layup64
32.0%
65
68.0%
Q4 - 10:26RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound62
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q4 - 10:32RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson misses two point finger roll layup62
24.3%
65
75.7%
Q4 - 10:50HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)62
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q4 - 11:13RaptorsTerence Davis makes two point putback layup62
23.7%
65
76.3%
Q4 - 11:14RaptorsTerence Davis offensive rebound60
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q4 - 11:19RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot60
17.7%
65
82.3%
Q4 - 11:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot60
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.60
23.7%
63
76.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound60
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot60
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q3 - 0:03.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound60
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 0:05.5RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot60
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)60
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 0:30.9HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound60
37.4%
60
62.6%
Q3 - 0:33.5HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot60
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 0:49.4RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson turnover (traveling)60
37.4%
60
62.6%
Q3 - 0:52.2RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound60
42.1%
60
57.9%
Q3 - 0:54.3HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot60
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 0:56.7HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound60
37.4%
60
62.6%
Q3 - 0:59.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot60
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 1:06RaptorsKyle Lowry technical foul (Double)60
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 1:06HeatKendrick Nunn technical foul (Double)60
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 1:07HeatHeat offensive rebound60
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 1:07HeatChris Boucher blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup60
40.5%
60
59.5%
Q3 - 1:21RaptorsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 3 of 360
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 1:21RaptorsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 359
36.6%
60
63.4%
Q3 - 1:21RaptorsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 358
36.0%
60
64.0%
Q3 - 1:21HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Terence Davis draws the foul)57
35.3%
60
64.7%
Q3 - 1:21RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound57
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 1:24RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot57
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 1:37RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound57
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 1:40HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot57
27.5%
60
72.5%
Q3 - 1:54RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
24.9%
60
75.1%
Q3 - 1:57RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)57
24.9%
60
75.1%
Q3 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)57
29.1%
60
70.9%
Q3 - 2:32RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes regular free throw 2 of 257
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q3 - 2:32RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes regular free throw 1 of 256
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 2:32HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Rondae Hollis-Jefferson draws the foul)55
30.7%
58
69.3%
Q3 - 2:34RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound55
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 2:38HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot55
27.9%
58
72.1%
Q3 - 3:02RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)55
25.7%
58
74.3%
Q3 - 3:17RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound53
22.7%
58
77.3%
Q3 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 253
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q3 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 253
20.1%
58
79.9%
Q3 - 3:20RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
20.6%
57
79.4%
Q3 - 3:36RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)53
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 3:44RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound50
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q3 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot50
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 3:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound50
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 3:57RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses three point jump shot50
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 4:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)50
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 4:35HeatHeat defensive rebound50
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q3 - 4:35RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot50
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q3 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup50
26.2%
54
73.8%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
29.7%
52
70.3%
Q3 - 5:14RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot50
30.8%
52
69.2%
Q3 - 5:37RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound50
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q3 - 5:40HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot50
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q3 - 5:53RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)50
29.6%
52
70.4%
Q3 - 6:02RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound48
26.8%
52
73.2%
Q3 - 6:05HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot48
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q3 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
23.7%
52
76.3%
Q3 - 6:14RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
24.6%
52
75.4%
Q3 - 6:35HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)48
26.8%
52
73.2%
Q3 - 6:54RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point hook shot (OG Anunoby assists)48
33.1%
49
66.9%
Q3 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)46
30.0%
49
70.0%
Q3 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q3 - 7:18RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses two point finger roll layup46
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q3 - 7:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)46
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q3 - 8:01RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)46
32.9%
47
67.1%
Q3 - 8:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point turnaround jump shot43
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q3 - 8:49RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q3 - 8:55RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound43
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q3 - 8:55RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot43
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q3 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk43
33.0%
45
67.0%
Q3 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound43
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q3 - 9:31RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot43
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q3 - 9:36RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound43
39.6%
43
60.4%
Q3 - 9:38HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot43
38.5%
43
61.5%
Q3 - 9:43HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound43
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q3 - 9:45RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point turnaround jump shot43
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q3 - 10:05RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound43
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q3 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 243
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q3 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 243
36.9%
43
63.1%
Q3 - 10:08RaptorsSerge Ibaka shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q3 - 10:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q3 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot43
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q3 - 10:22RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)43
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q3 - 10:30RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound41
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q3 - 10:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot41
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q3 - 10:57RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)41
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q3 - 11:14RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound39
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q3 - 11:16RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot39
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q3 - 11:30RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound39
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q3 - 11:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point fadeaway jump shot39
29.0%
42
71.0%
Q3 - 11:36HeatHeat offensive rebound39
27.0%
42
73.0%
Q3 - 11:36HeatKyle Lowry blocks Meyers Leonard's two point jump shot39
29.0%
42
71.0%
Q3 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound39
27.0%
42
73.0%
Q3 - 11:45RaptorsKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot39
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.39
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 0:00.2RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
27.7%
42
72.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound36
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 0:16.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot36
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 0:30.6RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Patrick McCaw assists)36
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 0:33.6RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound34
18.0%
42
82.0%
Q2 - 0:37.4HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving floating jump shot34
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 0:44.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 0:47.5RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot34
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 1:06HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 1:25RaptorsSerge Ibaka turnover (3-second violation)34
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 1:34RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound34
18.3%
42
81.7%
Q2 - 1:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot34
18.0%
42
82.0%
Q2 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 1:52RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point jump shot34
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)34
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 2:18HeatHeat offensive rebound34
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 2:19HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot34
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 2:30RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses two point floating jump shot34
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 2:47HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup34
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 3:08RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point hook shot34
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 3:09RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive rebound32
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 3:11RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot32
22.1%
38
77.9%
Q2 - 3:25HeatChris Silva makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)32
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 3:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound32
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 3:36RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot32
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 3:51HeatGoran Dragic turnover (traveling)32
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 4:07RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point layup32
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 4:11RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive rebound30
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 4:12RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot30
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 4:33HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)30
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound30
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 4:49RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot30
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 4:56RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound30
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 4:56RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson misses two point tip layup30
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 4:56RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson offensive rebound30
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 4:56RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson misses two point layup30
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 4:56RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson offensive rebound30
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 4:57RaptorsChris Silva blocks OG Anunoby's two point layup30
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 4:58RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound30
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 5:01RaptorsGoran Dragic blocks Serge Ibaka's two point putback layup30
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 5:03RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive rebound30
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 5:04RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot30
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 5:30HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)30
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 5:48RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)30
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 6:05RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound28
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 6:08HeatChris Silva misses regular free throw 1 of 128
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 6:08RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Chris Silva draws the foul)28
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 6:11RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)28
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 6:29Jump ball. Chris Boucher vs. Chris Silva (Stanley Johnson gains possession)28
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 6:38HeatChris Silva defensive rebound28
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 6:40RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot28
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q2 - 7:00HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup28
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 7:15RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes regular free throw 2 of 228
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 7:15RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson misses regular free throw 1 of 227
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 7:15HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Rondae Hollis-Jefferson draws the foul)27
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 7:20RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound27
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q2 - 7:23HeatChris Boucher blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point finger roll layup27
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 7:29RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)27
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 7:43HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)27
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q2 - 7:45RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound27
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q2 - 7:47HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point stepback jump shot27
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 8:01RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point driving finger roll layup27
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 8:08RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound25
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 8:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot25
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q2 - 8:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
32.9%
26
67.1%
Q2 - 8:32RaptorsStanley Johnson misses three point stepback jump shot25
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 8:41HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Terence Davis draws the foul)25
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 9:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)25
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 9:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound25
39.6%
23
60.4%
Q2 - 9:14RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot25
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q2 - 9:29HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot25
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q2 - 9:41RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)25
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q2 - 9:50RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound25
47.0%
21
53.0%
Q2 - 9:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot25
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q2 - 10:05RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q2 - 10:07RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)25
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q2 - 10:08HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound25
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q2 - 10:10RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot25
44.9%
21
55.1%
Q2 - 10:16RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound25
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q2 - 10:18HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot25
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q2 - 10:43RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Terence Davis assists)25
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q2 - 10:55HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)22
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q2 - 11:13RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes regular free throw 2 of 222
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q2 - 11:13RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes regular free throw 1 of 221
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q2 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Rondae Hollis-Jefferson draws the foul)20
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q2 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Rondae Hollis-Jefferson steals)20
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q2 - 11:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound20
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q2 - 11:47RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot20
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot20
40.3%
18
59.7%
Q1 - 0:02.4HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 0:02.4RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses three point jump shot20
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 0:08.5HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)20
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 0:26.6HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 0:29.2RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot20
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 0:37.9RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound20
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 0:40.1HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot20
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 0:50.2HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 0:52.3HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot20
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 0:56.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 0:58.8HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot20
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 1:13RaptorsKyle Lowry misses technical free throw 1 of 120
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 1:13HeatErik Spoelstra technical foul20
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 1:24RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 3 of 320
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 1:24RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 319
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 1:24RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 318
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 1:24HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)17
38.1%
18
61.9%
Q1 - 1:40RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson defensive rebound17
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 1:43HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot17
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 2:02RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson makes two point layup17
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 2:14RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound15
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup15
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound15
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 2:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup15
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 2:28RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point hook shot15
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 2:46RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson defensive rebound15
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 2:48HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot15
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:02HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound15
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 3:04RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot15
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 3:22RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound15
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot15
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:41RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point cutting dunk (Rondae Hollis-Jefferson assists)15
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 4:01HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)13
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 4:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound13
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 4:10RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses three point jump shot13
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 4:30RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound13
32.7%
15
67.3%
Q1 - 4:33HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 213
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 4:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 213
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 4:33RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 4:37RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)13
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 4:38RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound13
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 4:40HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot13
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 4:50RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)13
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 5:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 5:14RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot11
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 5:28HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)11
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound11
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 5:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot11
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 5:51HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound11
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 5:54RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot11
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot11
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 6:27RaptorsSerge Ibaka personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 6:34HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound11
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 6:37RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot11
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)11
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 6:54HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound11
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 6:56RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point cutting layup11
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 7:03RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound11
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 7:06HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point finger roll layup11
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 7:19RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point hook shot (Fred VanVleet assists)11
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving finger roll layup9
30.8%
12
69.2%
Q1 - 7:58RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup9
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 8:04HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)7
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:28RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)7
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)4
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 8:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound4
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 9:00RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 9:20HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point cutting dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)4
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 9:33RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving reverse layup4
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 9:41RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound2
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 9:44HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot2
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 9:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:55RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot2
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 10:09HeatMeyers Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 12
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 10:09RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)2
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 10:16HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound2
32.1%
3
67.9%
Q1 - 10:18RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 10:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)2
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 10:33RaptorsBam Adebayo blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving layup2
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 10:35RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound2
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 10:38HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point floating jump shot2
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 10:58RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 22
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 10:58RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 21
31.8%
3
68.2%
Q1 - 10:58HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)0
31.5%
3
68.5%
Q1 - 11:00RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound0
30.7%
3
69.3%
Q1 - 11:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot0
30.0%
3
70.0%
Q1 - 11:12RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)0
28.9%
3
71.1%
Q1 - 11:13RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound0
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 11:15RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point layup0
29.3%
3
70.7%
Q1 - 11:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
30.5%
3
69.5%
Q1 - 12:00Serge Ibaka vs. Bam Adebayo (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
33.6%
0
66.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.78 39.2%
MIA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
33
52%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
TOR
5
14
36%
MIA
4
18
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
42
14%
21%
MIA
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
Free Throws
TOR
14
17
82%
MIA
6
11
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka1943%9.5 / 22
K. Lowry1544%7.5 / 17
R. Hollis-Jefferson1359%6.5 / 11
O. Anunoby1250%6.0 / 12
F. VanVleet722%3.5 / 16
T. Davis536%2.5 / 7
P. McCaw319%1.5 / 8
C. Boucher2100%1.0 / 1
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1583%7.5 / 9
T. Herro1365%6.5 / 10
G. Dragic1350%6.5 / 13
D. Jones1038%5.0 / 13
J. Butler831%4.0 / 13
M. Leonard857%4.0 / 7
K. Nunn725%3.5 / 14
D. Robinson675%3.0 / 4
C. Silva4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+18
-10
97
MIA
77
+15
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.78 39.2%
MIA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.4
TOR 85.4
MIA 93.3 +7.9
Pace
100.8
98.4
TOR 84.9
MIA 94.6 +9.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
14.8
TOR 17.0
MIA 15.2 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
54.7%
TOR 34.8%
MIA 48.1% +13.3%
TO %
13.8%
14.0%
TOR 10.2% +5.5%
MIA 15.7%
ORB %
21.3%
20.3%
TOR 24.1% +3.6%
MIA 20.5%
FTrt
26.4
29.9
TOR 19.1 +5.5
MIA 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
65.7%
TOR 71.4% +1.7%
MIA 69.7%
STL %
8.7%
7.6%
TOR 4.5%
MIA 6.7% +2.2%
BLK %
10.1%
9.3%
TOR 13.6% +5.1%
MIA 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.9%
TOR 39.2%
MIA 45.7% +6.5%
Rim FG%
58.5%
63.8%
TOR 51.5%
MIA 65.4% +13.9%
Mid FG%
37.3%
38.9%
TOR 35.7% +13.5%
MIA 22.2%
3P %
37.4%
37.9%
TOR 14.3%
MIA 32.4% +18.1%
FT %
79.6%
78.3%
TOR 82.4% +27.9%
MIA 54.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
33.2%
TOR 37.1% +5.0%
MIA 32.1%
Mid Att. %
18.1%
24.9%
TOR 15.7% +6.5%
MIA 22.2%
3P Att. %
42.1%
41.9%
TOR 47.2% +1.5%
MIA 45.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points7684
Rebounds4850
Assists2023
Steals46
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (3)
Fouls1213
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)41 (2)
Field Goals28-8933-81
At-the-Rim FG17-3317-26
Midrange FG5-144-18
2-Point FG22-4721-44
3-Point FG6-4212-37
Free Throws14-176-11
Fast Break Pts24
2nd Chance Pts1610
Points in Paint4236
Pts off Turnovers1613
Bench Points2040
Biggest Lead413

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 34
40.1
15
44%
4
8
0
1
1
4
1
3
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
2-12
17%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 26
38.6
7
22%
4
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-11
9%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
36.8
12
50%
12
3
2
0
2
2
1
11
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 30
34.9
19
43%
10
0
0
2
2
3
3
7
1-2
50%
9-17
53%
0-4
0%
#22 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24
28.0
3
19%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-4
25%
#4 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 25
29.3
13
59%
7
1
1
1
2
2
3
4
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
#0 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 23
13.2
5
36%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
0-5
0%
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 27
13.1
2
100%
8
0
0
2
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#5 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 24
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Middle Finger; Fracture-Distal Phalax
#20 · PF · 6'10" 233 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprained
#11 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 22
INACTIVE
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Groin; Strained
#24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Subluxation
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strained
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
39%
48
20
4
6
10
12
13
35
14-17
82%
22-47
47%
6-42
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.