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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 2, 2020
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Thunder
109
21Spurs
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 21.5
36
35
25
7
5
1
1
2
1
0
7
3-4
75%
8-14
6-13
57%
51%
2-4
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.7
32
33
16
8
5
2
2
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
8-12
5-9
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.4
30
26
13
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
3-10
30%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
30
27
14
9
3
0
1
1
1
4
5
4-6
67%
5-8
5-8
63%
61%
0-0
-
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 21.6
29
25
2
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 26.3
33
31
19
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
18
20
6
6
1
0
1
2
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 21.4
17
12
5
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
2-3
29%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 19.6
12
18
9
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.3
3
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.9
7
0
1-1
48%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
3
0
0-0
54%
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 22.6
Kevin Hervey
F · 6'8" 211 · 23.5
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 20.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
39
32
30
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
12-22
7-14
55%
51%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.5
33
31
22
11
0
0
1
3
1
4
7
4-4
100%
3-9
7-13
33%
52%
4-4
100%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
29
27
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-7
14%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.3
24
25
9
2
4
0
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
10
16
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
26
22
5
7
5
1
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
21
24
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-5
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
21
11
16
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.4
21
19
9
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.2
15
16
4
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
62%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.8
11
0
1-2
47%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.8
2
0
0-1
50%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.0
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.2
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.