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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 2, 2020
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies41%111123
20Kings59%115128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.4
33
28
23
1
7
0
1
0
7
0
1
5-6
83%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 20.3
32
28
18
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
1-1
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
55%
3-4
75%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
31
27
19
4
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
51%
3-8
38%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
29
24
18
12
2
0
0
0
2
4
8
2-2
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
58%
2-3
67%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
28
26
15
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
3-10
30%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.6
22
18
16
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-6
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 23.3
20
22
8
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.6
15
18
2
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 28.8
15
18
0
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
9
16
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.2
7
18
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marko Guduric
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.8
3
0
0-1
49%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
2
0
0-0
51%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.9
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.9
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
36
31
17
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
34
31
18
7
0
0
1
2
1
3
4
4-7
57%
7-10
6-10
70%
63%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
34
34
26
7
3
0
1
1
2
0
7
5-6
83%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
5-9
56%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.0
30
27
27
4
9
5
1
2
1
1
3
8-8
100%
8-14
5-9
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
28
27
8
5
2
0
1
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.5
25
19
5
8
1
1
1
0
0
0
8
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.4
23
26
16
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
50%
2-7
29%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.4
18
21
7
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
12
12
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
0-0
-
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 22.9
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.7
7
0
1-1
51%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.8
2
0
0-0
55%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.4
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.3
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.