FinalWin Prob.pScore
1051%109
85
1949%108
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.697100.9
ORL logo ORL
108.29794.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.85
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:23.8HeatChris Silva makes two point layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)85
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:29.7MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)83
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:51.3MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.4MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MagicAaron Gordon makes two point pullup jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point driving reverse layup83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (D.J. Augustin steals)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57MagicEvan Fournier makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot83
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:41MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MagicAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)83
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point hook shot (D.J. Augustin assists)83
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)83
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 4:52MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving reverse layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)83
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 5:07MagicMagic defensive rebound83
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 5:07HeatNikola Vucevic blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving layup83
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 5:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound83
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 5:23MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot83
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 5:45MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound83
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot83
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 5:55MagicBam Adebayo blocks D.J. Augustin's two point driving layup83
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 6:05MagicWes Iwundu defensive rebound83
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 6:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot83
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 6:27MagicAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)83
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 6:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)83
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 7:14MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving finger roll layup81
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 7:35MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound81
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot81
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 7:53MagicWes Iwundu personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 7:55HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound81
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 7:59MagicAaron Gordon misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk81
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 8:42MagicWes Iwundu makes regular free throw 2 of 279
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 8:42MagicWes Iwundu makes regular free throw 1 of 279
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 8:42HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Wes Iwundu draws the foul)79
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Terrence Ross steals)79
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot79
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q4 - 9:12MagicD.J. Augustin makes two point driving layup79
7.5%
90
92.5%
Q4 - 9:30HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
9.2%
88
90.8%
Q4 - 9:45MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 2 of 279
11.5%
88
88.5%
Q4 - 9:45MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 1 of 279
11.8%
87
88.2%
Q4 - 9:45HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)79
12.1%
86
87.9%
Q4 - 9:50MagicWes Iwundu defensive rebound79
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 9:52HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot79
15.0%
86
85.0%
Q4 - 10:00HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound79
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 10:05HeatKhem Birch blocks Tyler Herro's two point stepback jump shot79
16.4%
86
83.6%
Q4 - 10:24HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound79
18.7%
86
81.3%
Q4 - 10:28MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point stepback jump shot79
17.6%
86
82.4%
Q4 - 10:37HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)79
15.3%
86
84.7%
Q4 - 10:47MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound79
15.3%
86
84.7%
Q4 - 10:50HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot79
16.3%
86
83.7%
Q4 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
18.6%
86
81.4%
Q4 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot79
16.3%
86
83.7%
Q4 - 11:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
18.6%
86
81.4%
Q4 - 11:03MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point driving layup79
18.5%
86
81.5%
Q4 - 11:14HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Wes Iwundu steals)79
16.3%
86
83.7%
Q4 - 11:29MagicWes Iwundu makes regular free throw 2 of 279
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q4 - 11:29MagicWes Iwundu makes regular free throw 1 of 279
19.9%
85
80.1%
Q4 - 11:29HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Wes Iwundu draws the foul)79
20.5%
84
79.5%
Q4 - 11:32HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (D.J. Augustin steals)79
23.1%
84
76.9%
Q4 - 11:39HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound79
27.1%
84
72.9%
Q4 - 11:43MagicWes Iwundu misses two point floating jump shot79
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
23.1%
84
76.9%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 3 of 379
24.6%
84
75.4%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 378
23.8%
84
76.2%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 377
23.0%
84
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.7MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)77
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound77
20.9%
84
79.1%
Q3 - 0:06.6MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot77
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q3 - 0:28.9MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound77
17.7%
84
82.3%
Q3 - 0:31.8HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot77
18.6%
84
81.4%
Q3 - 0:36.8HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound77
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q3 - 0:39.2HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point pullup jump shot77
18.6%
84
81.4%
Q3 - 0:42.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q3 - 0:44.8MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point driving layup77
19.7%
84
80.3%
Q3 - 0:58.8MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound77
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q3 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot77
18.5%
84
81.5%
Q3 - 1:05MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
22.2%
84
77.8%
Q3 - 1:14MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound77
18.9%
84
81.1%
Q3 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 177
19.4%
84
80.6%
Q3 - 1:15MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)77
21.6%
84
78.4%
Q3 - 1:27MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)75
16.2%
84
83.8%
Q3 - 1:44HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 275
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q3 - 1:44HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 274
21.4%
81
78.6%
Q3 - 1:44MagicD.J. Augustin personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)73
20.6%
81
79.4%
Q3 - 1:53MagicAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 273
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 1:53MagicAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 273
19.7%
80
80.3%
Q3 - 1:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)73
17.6%
80
82.4%
Q3 - 2:07HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
20.0%
80
80.0%
Q3 - 2:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound73
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q3 - 2:25MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot73
22.3%
80
77.7%
Q3 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 273
19.9%
80
80.1%
Q3 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 272
19.5%
80
80.5%
Q3 - 2:37MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
22.0%
80
78.0%
Q3 - 2:48MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 2 of 272
20.2%
80
79.8%
Q3 - 2:48MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 1 of 272
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q3 - 2:48HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)72
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q3 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
23.0%
78
77.0%
Q3 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 271
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 2:59MagicAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)71
25.3%
78
74.7%
Q3 - 3:05MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (out of bounds bad pass)71
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q3 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 271
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q3 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 270
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q3 - 3:16MagicWes Iwundu personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
20.1%
78
79.9%
Q3 - 3:32MagicTerrence Ross makes two point running dunk69
18.4%
78
81.6%
Q3 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Terrence Ross steals)69
20.9%
76
79.1%
Q3 - 3:50MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)69
24.2%
76
75.8%
Q3 - 3:54HeatMeyers Leonard turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)69
30.9%
73
69.1%
Q3 - 3:57MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (lost ball) (Meyers Leonard steals)69
35.2%
73
64.8%
Q3 - 4:13HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)69
31.6%
73
68.4%
Q3 - 4:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 4:23MagicTerrence Ross misses three point stepback jump shot66
24.1%
73
75.9%
Q3 - 4:39MagicMagic defensive rebound66
21.7%
73
78.3%
Q3 - 4:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot66
22.8%
73
77.3%
Q3 - 5:04MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving hook shot (Markelle Fultz assists)66
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q3 - 5:26HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot66
29.1%
71
70.9%
Q3 - 5:42HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound63
23.1%
71
76.9%
Q3 - 5:44MagicTerrence Ross misses regular free throw 3 of 363
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 5:44MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 2 of 363
20.7%
71
79.3%
Q3 - 5:44MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 1 of 363
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 5:44HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)63
21.5%
69
78.5%
Q3 - 5:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 163
25.9%
69
74.1%
Q3 - 5:57MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 6:13MagicEvan Fournier makes two point driving reverse layup60
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)60
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q3 - 6:41HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound58
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 6:43MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving layup58
20.4%
67
79.6%
Q3 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 158
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 6:57MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 7:08HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound55
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 7:12MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot55
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 7:26HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
13.1%
67
86.9%
Q3 - 7:30HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound55
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 7:33MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot55
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 7:49HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
13.1%
67
86.9%
Q3 - 7:58MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)52
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 8:04HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)52
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 8:13MagicEvan Fournier personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 8:21MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot52
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 8:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 8:57MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)49
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 9:05MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound49
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 9:07HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot49
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 9:27MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Khem Birch assists)49
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 9:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)49
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 10:05MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)46
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 10:11HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)46
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q3 - 10:29MagicAaron Gordon makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)46
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q3 - 10:38MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound46
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup46
19.4%
56
80.6%
Q3 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 10:57MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point bank jump shot46
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 11:07MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound46
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound46
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 11:16MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot46
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 11:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot46
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 11:32HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound44
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 11:36HeatEvan Fournier blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround jump shot44
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 11:52MagicAaron Gordon personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q2 - 0:01.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound44
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 0:01.6MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point hook shot44
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound44
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q2 - 0:24.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot44
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 0:32.9MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 2 of 244
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q2 - 0:32.9MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 244
18.7%
55
81.3%
Q2 - 0:32.9HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)44
19.3%
54
80.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MagicWes Iwundu defensive rebound44
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q2 - 0:40.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
21.2%
54
78.8%
Q2 - 0:56.9HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound44
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q2 - 0:59.7MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot44
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q2 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot44
21.6%
54
78.4%
Q2 - 1:35MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 2 of 242
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 1:35MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 1 of 242
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q2 - 1:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)42
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q2 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 242
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 241
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q2 - 1:44MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
21.0%
52
79.0%
Q2 - 1:56MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)40
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 2:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 2:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q2 - 2:11MagicKhem Birch shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q2 - 2:26MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 238
22.1%
49
77.9%
Q2 - 2:26MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 238
22.5%
48
77.5%
Q2 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)38
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q2 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup38
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 236
22.0%
47
78.0%
Q2 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 236
22.4%
46
77.6%
Q2 - 2:56HeatMeyers Leonard personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)36
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound36
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point tip layup36
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound36
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point layup36
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)36
25.1%
45
74.9%
Q2 - 3:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound36
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 3:28MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot36
26.7%
45
73.3%
Q2 - 3:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
25.0%
45
75.0%
Q2 - 3:52MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 236
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 3:52MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 236
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q2 - 3:52HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)36
28.3%
43
71.7%
Q2 - 4:11HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)36
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 4:20HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound34
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q2 - 4:23MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point driving hook shot34
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 4:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)34
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 4:59MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point stepback jump shot32
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
28.4%
40
71.6%
Q2 - 5:28MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)32
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
33.0%
38
67.0%
Q2 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 231
32.4%
38
67.6%
Q2 - 5:42MagicAaron Gordon shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)31
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 5:56MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot31
32.6%
38
67.4%
Q2 - 6:06HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)31
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 6:17MagicAaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot31
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 6:34HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)31
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 6:48MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 6:57MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound31
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 7:00HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup31
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 7:07HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound31
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 7:09MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot31
33.7%
38
66.3%
Q2 - 7:20MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound31
32.0%
38
68.0%
Q2 - 7:24HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot31
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 7:42MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)31
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 7:55HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)31
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 8:09MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)29
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 8:25HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup29
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 8:39HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound27
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q2 - 8:39MagicWes Iwundu misses two point layup27
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q2 - 8:41MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound27
34.4%
33
65.6%
Q2 - 8:42HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point tip layup27
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q2 - 8:42HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound27
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q2 - 8:46HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point layup27
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q2 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 9:11MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot27
36.4%
33
63.6%
Q2 - 9:20HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Mo Bamba draws the foul)27
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q2 - 9:20MagicMagic offensive rebound27
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q2 - 9:20MagicMo Bamba misses two point tip layup27
36.4%
33
63.6%
Q2 - 9:20MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound27
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q2 - 9:20MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point layup27
36.4%
33
63.6%
Q2 - 9:29MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound27
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q2 - 9:33HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot27
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 9:48MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 2 of 227
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 9:48MagicTerrence Ross misses regular free throw 1 of 227
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q2 - 9:48HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)27
35.4%
32
64.6%
Q2 - 9:51MagicWes Iwundu defensive rebound27
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 9:57HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot27
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 10:08MagicAaron Gordon makes two point driving dunk27
39.6%
32
60.4%
Q2 - 10:29HeatGoran Dragic makes two point finger roll layup27
41.8%
30
58.2%
Q2 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 10:43MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point jump shot25
38.9%
30
61.1%
Q2 - 10:53MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound25
37.2%
30
62.8%
Q2 - 10:53HeatMo Bamba blocks Goran Dragic's three point jump shot25
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound25
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot25
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 11:09MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 1 of 125
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 11:09HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)25
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 11:24HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q2 - 11:30HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound22
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q2 - 11:30MagicWes Iwundu misses two point putback layup22
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 11:31MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound22
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 11:35MagicBam Adebayo blocks Wes Iwundu's two point dunk22
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 11:38HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)22
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 11:42MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound22
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 11:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup22
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound22
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot22
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound22
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot22
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q1 - 0:22.8MagicWes Iwundu turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)22
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q1 - 0:23.2MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound22
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 0:23.8MagicAaron Gordon misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q1 - 0:29.9MagicMagic offensive rebound22
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 0:32.9MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot22
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q1 - 0:39.1MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound22
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 0:42.2HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving finger roll layup22
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)22
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q1 - 1:04MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound22
44.7%
24
55.3%
Q1 - 1:06HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot22
45.3%
24
54.7%
Q1 - 1:22MagicMo Bamba makes two point tip layup22
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 1:22MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound22
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 1:26MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point driving layup22
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q1 - 1:35MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound22
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 1:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot22
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 2:06MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot22
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q1 - 2:15MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound22
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q1 - 2:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot22
56.4%
19
43.6%
Q1 - 2:25HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound22
57.9%
19
42.1%
Q1 - 2:28MagicTerrence Ross misses two point jump shot22
57.3%
19
42.7%
Q1 - 2:41HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 122
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 2:41MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)21
55.1%
19
44.9%
Q1 - 2:45MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)19
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 3:05MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound19
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q1 - 3:09HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot19
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q1 - 3:26HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound19
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 3:31MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point floating jump shot19
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 3:38MagicMagic offensive rebound19
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q1 - 3:38MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot19
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 3:45MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound19
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q1 - 3:48HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point floating jump shot19
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q1 - 4:00MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 119
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 4:00HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)19
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 4:16HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot19
55.2%
16
44.8%
Q1 - 4:28HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound17
53.5%
16
46.5%
Q1 - 4:30MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving floating bank jump shot17
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)17
51.0%
16
49.0%
Q1 - 4:57MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)15
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 5:18HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)15
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 5:32HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound13
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 5:35MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot13
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q1 - 5:43HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)13
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 5:53MagicMagic defensive rebound13
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup13
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 5:56HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot13
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 6:17MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point floating jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)13
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 113
53.0%
11
47.0%
Q1 - 6:40MagicKhem Birch shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
49.0%
11
51.0%
Q1 - 6:49MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot10
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 110
47.1%
11
52.9%
Q1 - 7:00MagicAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 7:15MagicAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Evan Fournier assists)7
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 7:28HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)7
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 7:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound7
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 7:43MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot7
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 7:49MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound7
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 7:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot7
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 8:02HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound7
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 8:07MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot7
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 8:15MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound7
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 8:17HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot7
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 8:34MagicEvan Fournier makes three point pullup jump shot (Khem Birch assists)7
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 8:42HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)7
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 8:49MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound7
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 8:52HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot7
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 9:14MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point layup (Aaron Gordon assists)7
53.1%
6
46.9%
Q1 - 9:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot7
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 9:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
51.3%
4
48.7%
Q1 - 9:47MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot4
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 9:55MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound4
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot4
49.8%
4
50.2%
Q1 - 10:09MagicAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Nikola Vucevic assists)4
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)4
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 10:30MagicEvan Fournier turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)2
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 10:50MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound2
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:54HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot2
49.7%
2
50.3%
Q1 - 11:08MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 2 of 22
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 11:08MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 1 of 22
51.6%
1
48.4%
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)2
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 11:43MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Vucevic (Khem Birch gains possession)0
49.1%
0
50.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.2%
ORL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
23
70%
ORL
15
30
50%
Midrange
MIA
7
20
35%
ORL
5
16
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
37
19%
28%
ORL
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
18
23
78%
ORL
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2372%11.5 / 16
B. Adebayo1470%7.0 / 10
D. Robinson941%4.5 / 11
M. Leonard850%4.0 / 8
G. Dragic844%4.0 / 9
K. Nunn750%3.5 / 7
D. Jones536%2.5 / 7
K. Olynyk531%2.5 / 8
T. Herro418%2.0 / 11
C. Silva2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ross2578%12.5 / 16
N. Vučević2053%10.0 / 19
A. Gordon1653%8.0 / 15
E. Fournier1568%7.5 / 11
D. Augustin938%4.5 / 12
W. Iwundu750%3.5 / 7
M. Fultz638%3.0 / 8
M. Bamba550%2.5 / 5
K. Birch2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+11
-18
90
ORL
87
+10
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.2%
ORL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
108.3
MIA 87.6 +20.6
ORL 108.2
Pace
98.4
98.8
MIA 100.9 +6.5
ORL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
MIA 14.3 +1.0
ORL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
50.6%
MIA 41.9%
ORL 48.8% +6.9%
TO %
14.0%
12.3%
MIA 16.6%
ORL 10.5% +6.1%
ORB %
20.3%
22.3%
MIA 21.3% +6.1%
ORL 15.2%
FTrt
29.9
25.6
MIA 28.8
ORL 35.8 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
60.8%
MIA 53.3%
ORL 75.8% +22.5%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 7.2%
ORL 11.3% +4.1%
BLK %
9.3%
10.2%
MIA 4.3%
ORL 9.3% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
53.0%
MIA 47.2%
ORL 54.1% +6.9%
Rim FG%
63.8%
60.3%
MIA 69.6% +19.6%
ORL 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.1%
MIA 35.0% +3.7%
ORL 31.3%
3P %
37.9%
34.3%
MIA 18.9%
ORL 37.1% +18.2%
FT %
78.3%
77.4%
MIA 78.3%
ORL 89.7% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
33.1%
MIA 28.7%
ORL 37.0% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
30.5%
MIA 25.0%
ORL 19.8% +5.2%
3P Att. %
41.9%
36.4%
MIA 46.3% +3.0%
ORL 43.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.124.7
Points85105
Rebounds4944
Assists1625
Steals711
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)10 (1)
Fouls2017
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (0)37 (3)
Field Goals30-8033-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2315-30
Midrange FG7-205-16
2-Point FG23-4320-46
3-Point FG7-3713-35
Free Throws18-2326-29
Fast Break Pts89
2nd Chance Pts24
Points in Paint3836
Pts off Turnovers1324
Bench Points2446
Biggest Lead322

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 22
34.8
14
70%
10
1
1
2
2
1
5
5
4-5
80%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
34.7
23
72%
10
7
3
0
6
1
2
8
9-11
82%
7-10
70%
0-2
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
30.8
9
41%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-11
27%
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
26.7
8
50%
7
1
1
0
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 24
23.3
7
50%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
31.6
5
36%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20
24.7
4
18%
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
0-6
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
20.6
8
44%
6
3
0
0
3
4
0
6
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 29
12.0
5
31%
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
0.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
DNP - Injury/Illness | Stomach; Illness
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Bone Bruise
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
INACTIVE
#15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
47%
49
16
7
2
18
20
10
39
18-23
78%
23-43
53%
7-37
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.