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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 6, 2020
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz53%113128
13Pelicans47%112126
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
34.6
34.7
19
49%
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
5-12
7-13
42%
51%
2-6
33%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 26.6
34.4
28.0
3
75%
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.5
34.1
34.0
9
41%
19
1
0
1
0
2
4
15
1-2
50%
4-10
6-9
40%
66%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.7
33.3
31.0
35
69%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
10-10
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
51%
3-9
33%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.3
28.0
32.6
22
85%
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
4-5
80%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 27.6
24.8
24.0
16
67%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
4-7
57%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 26.6
16.1
15.7
6
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
15.9
17.4
8
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 22.0
13.9
12.6
7
74%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Rayjon Tucker
G · 6'3" 209 · 22.3
5.0
2.9
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
3.0
0
0-0
58%
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Miye Oni
G · 6'6" 206 · 22.4
Jarrell Brantley
F · 6'5" 250 · 23.6
Justin Wright-Foreman
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.2
Nigel Williams-Goss
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 22.3
38.9
32.1
35
59%
8
5
1
1
1
3
3
5
8-8
100%
9-20
6-11
45%
51%
3-6
50%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
36.9
31.6
21
69%
8
7
0
1
0
1
3
5
1-3
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
4-6
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 35.5
31.4
25.1
23
76%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
7-7
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
2-4
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 28.5
29.0
29.1
9
60%
10
2
0
1
3
0
4
6
1-1
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
26.9
25.1
8
57%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
2-6
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 30.9
28.1
23.3
13
41%
7
1
2
1
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.6
19.0
13.1
7
74%
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 21.3
15.3
2.1
5
43%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
9.1
10.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.7
5.4
5.2
5
56%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
33.6
1
6-11
52%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.1
5.6
0
1-2
55%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 28.9
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Josh Gray
G · 6'1" 182 · 26.3
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 19.5
Zylan Cheatham
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.1
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.