FinalWin Prob.pScore
172%119
104
1828%110
126
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
106.198104.3
SAS logo SAS
129.99792.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:02.4SpursSpurs turnover (shot clock violation)104
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:26.5SpursChimezie Metu defensive rebound104
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:30.1BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot104
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:35.5BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound104
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:37.7SpursDeMarre Carroll misses two point hook shot104
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 1:00SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound104
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point running finger roll layup104
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound104
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32SpursChimezie Metu makes two point jump shot (DeMarre Carroll assists)104
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 1 of 2103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving floating jump shot103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21BucksSterling Brown turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)103
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)103
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound103
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point reverse layup103
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 3:03SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)103
0.6%
117
99.4%
Q4 - 3:18BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (George Hill assists)103
1.1%
114
98.9%
Q4 - 3:32BucksBucks defensive rebound100
1.5%
114
98.5%
Q4 - 3:34SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot100
1.3%
114
98.7%
Q4 - 3:51BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving finger roll layup (George Hill assists)100
0.9%
114
99.1%
Q4 - 4:08SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 298
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 4:08SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 298
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 4:08BucksEric Bledsoe shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)98
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 4:24BucksKhris Middleton makes two point layup98
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 4:43SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)96
0.6%
112
99.4%
Q4 - 4:48SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound96
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 4:50BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving layup96
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 4:55BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound96
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 4:58SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot96
1.5%
109
98.5%
Q4 - 5:15BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)96
2.3%
109
97.7%
Q4 - 5:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point cutting dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)93
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 5:58BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point dunk (Eric Bledsoe assists)93
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 6:13SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving reverse layup91
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 6:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup (Khris Middleton assists)91
2.6%
105
97.4%
Q4 - 6:42SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 6:56SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound89
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 6:59BucksKhris Middleton misses two point stepback jump shot89
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 7:11SpursBryn Forbes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)89
5.3%
103
94.7%
Q4 - 7:24SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound89
3.9%
103
96.1%
Q4 - 7:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot89
4.3%
103
95.7%
Q4 - 7:38SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)89
5.2%
103
94.8%
Q4 - 7:52BucksEric Bledsoe personal foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)89
8.3%
100
91.7%
Q4 - 8:12BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point running dunk (Eric Bledsoe assists)89
10.5%
100
89.5%
Q4 - 8:13BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound87
8.3%
100
91.7%
Q4 - 8:19SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround jump shot87
7.7%
100
92.3%
Q4 - 8:34BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 187
6.5%
100
93.5%
Q4 - 8:34SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)86
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 8:41SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Wesley Matthews draws the foul)84
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 8:44SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 284
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 8:44SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 284
4.2%
99
95.8%
Q4 - 8:44BucksErsan Ilyasova shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)84
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 8:51SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes technical free throw 1 of 184
6.5%
98
93.5%
Q4 - 8:51Bucks technical foul (Defensive three second)84
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 9:09BucksGeorge Hill offensive rebound84
10.0%
97
90.0%
Q4 - 9:09BucksGeorge Hill turnover (out of bounds lost ball)84
7.9%
97
92.1%
Q4 - 9:11BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot84
8.5%
97
91.5%
Q4 - 9:22SpursRudy Gay personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)84
9.9%
97
90.1%
Q4 - 9:38SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 284
9.9%
97
90.1%
Q4 - 9:38SpursLonnie Walker IV misses regular free throw 1 of 284
10.3%
96
89.7%
Q4 - 9:38BucksKhris Middleton shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)84
8.8%
96
91.2%
Q4 - 9:42SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound84
9.7%
96
90.3%
Q4 - 9:45BucksGeorge Hill misses two point driving layup84
10.4%
96
89.6%
Q4 - 9:59SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 284
12.1%
96
87.9%
Q4 - 9:59SpursRudy Gay misses regular free throw 1 of 284
12.6%
95
87.4%
Q4 - 9:59BucksErsan Ilyasova shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)84
10.5%
95
89.5%
Q4 - 10:10SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound84
14.0%
95
86.0%
Q4 - 10:14BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot84
14.9%
95
85.1%
Q4 - 10:18SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (traveling)84
17.0%
95
83.0%
Q4 - 10:19SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound84
14.0%
95
86.0%
Q4 - 10:22BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot84
14.8%
95
85.2%
Q4 - 10:35SpursRudy Gay makes two point layup84
16.9%
95
83.1%
Q4 - 10:46SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound84
20.2%
93
79.8%
Q4 - 10:51BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot84
21.4%
93
78.6%
Q4 - 10:54BucksKyle Korver makes technical free throw 1 of 184
24.3%
93
75.7%
Q4 - 10:54Spurs technical foul (Defensive three second)83
23.3%
93
76.7%
Q4 - 11:06SpursRudy Gay makes two point putback dunk83
21.5%
93
78.5%
Q4 - 11:06SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound83
25.4%
91
74.6%
Q4 - 11:12SpursRudy Gay misses two point floating jump shot83
28.3%
91
71.7%
Q4 - 11:24BucksGeorge Hill makes two point driving reverse layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)83
25.3%
91
74.7%
Q4 - 11:39BucksRobin Lopez defensive rebound81
21.4%
91
78.6%
Q4 - 11:43SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot81
20.3%
91
79.7%
Q4 - 11:51BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)81
18.0%
91
82.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
21.4%
91
78.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BucksGeorge Hill makes two point tip layup81
18.0%
91
82.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0BucksGeorge Hill offensive rebound79
17.5%
91
82.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot79
15.6%
91
84.4%
Q3 - 0:22.5SpursPatty Mills makes three point stepback jump shot79
17.3%
91
82.7%
Q3 - 0:42.7SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound79
24.0%
88
76.0%
Q3 - 0:45.6BucksGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot79
25.1%
88
74.9%
Q3 - 0:50.1SpursDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)79
27.7%
88
72.3%
Q3 - 1:12BucksGeorge Hill makes three point jump shot79
34.7%
86
65.3%
Q3 - 1:15BucksGeorge Hill offensive rebound76
26.7%
86
73.3%
Q3 - 1:19BucksGeorge Hill misses two point driving floating jump shot76
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q3 - 1:21BucksDonte DiVincenzo offensive rebound76
26.6%
86
73.4%
Q3 - 1:25BucksRobin Lopez misses three point jump shot76
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q3 - 1:43SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot76
26.5%
86
73.5%
Q3 - 1:55SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound76
34.6%
83
65.4%
Q3 - 1:58BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point driving floating jump shot76
36.0%
83
64.0%
Q3 - 2:16SpursRudy Gay makes two point pullup jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)76
41.4%
83
58.6%
Q3 - 2:35BucksGeorge Hill makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)76
45.4%
81
54.6%
Q3 - 2:51SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 273
36.9%
81
63.1%
Q3 - 2:51SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 273
37.7%
80
62.3%
Q3 - 2:51BucksDonte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)73
38.7%
79
61.3%
Q3 - 2:51SpursDerrick White offensive rebound73
40.8%
79
59.2%
Q3 - 2:51SpursRudy Gay misses two point fadeaway jump shot73
44.3%
79
55.7%
Q3 - 3:04BucksRobin Lopez personal foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)73
42.4%
79
57.6%
Q3 - 3:18BucksRobin Lopez makes two point hook shot73
42.4%
79
57.6%
Q3 - 3:34BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound71
38.5%
79
61.5%
Q3 - 3:37SpursPatty Mills misses three point running jump shot71
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q3 - 3:41BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)71
34.0%
79
66.0%
Q3 - 3:50BucksRobin Lopez defensive rebound71
38.5%
79
61.5%
Q3 - 3:52SpursRobin Lopez blocks Rudy Gay's two point driving finger roll layup71
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q3 - 4:06SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound71
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q3 - 4:06BucksRobin Lopez misses two point tip layup71
37.5%
79
62.5%
Q3 - 4:06BucksRobin Lopez offensive rebound71
40.8%
79
59.2%
Q3 - 4:07BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot71
37.5%
79
62.5%
Q3 - 4:21SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot71
40.6%
79
59.4%
Q3 - 4:32BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 271
44.1%
77
55.9%
Q3 - 4:32BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 270
43.6%
77
56.4%
Q3 - 4:32SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)69
43.1%
77
56.9%
Q3 - 4:47SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point dunk (Bryn Forbes assists)69
40.5%
77
59.5%
Q3 - 5:06SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound69
45.9%
75
54.1%
Q3 - 5:09BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot69
47.2%
75
52.8%
Q3 - 5:20BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound69
50.1%
75
49.9%
Q3 - 5:23SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot69
48.8%
75
51.2%
Q3 - 5:34SpursDerrick White defensive rebound69
45.8%
75
54.2%
Q3 - 5:37BucksDerrick White blocks Khris Middleton's two point layup69
47.1%
75
52.9%
Q3 - 5:52SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Loose ball) (Ersan Ilyasova draws the foul)69
50.1%
75
49.9%
Q3 - 5:52BucksBucks defensive rebound69
50.1%
75
49.9%
Q3 - 5:54SpursBryn Forbes misses two point pullup jump shot69
48.7%
75
51.3%
Q3 - 6:02SpursDerrick White defensive rebound69
47.5%
75
52.5%
Q3 - 6:06BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot69
48.7%
75
51.3%
Q3 - 6:13BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound69
51.5%
75
48.5%
Q3 - 6:17SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot69
50.2%
75
49.8%
Q3 - 6:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 269
47.4%
75
52.6%
Q3 - 6:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 268
46.3%
75
53.7%
Q3 - 6:26SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)67
45.2%
75
54.8%
Q3 - 6:30BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound67
43.7%
75
56.3%
Q3 - 6:33SpursTrey Lyles misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
42.5%
75
57.5%
Q3 - 6:42SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound67
39.7%
75
60.3%
Q3 - 6:45BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot67
40.9%
75
59.1%
Q3 - 6:59SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot67
43.7%
75
56.3%
Q3 - 7:15BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point running finger roll layup67
48.1%
73
51.9%
Q3 - 7:20BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound65
44.7%
73
55.3%
Q3 - 7:23SpursTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot65
43.5%
73
56.5%
Q3 - 7:42SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound65
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q3 - 7:45BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point fadeaway jump shot65
41.9%
73
58.1%
Q3 - 7:58SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot65
44.7%
73
55.3%
Q3 - 8:06SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound65
49.2%
71
50.8%
Q3 - 8:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point fadeaway jump shot65
52.1%
71
47.9%
Q3 - 8:18BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)65
49.1%
71
50.9%
Q3 - 8:29BucksKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot65
49.1%
71
50.9%
Q3 - 8:43SpursBryn Forbes turnover (out of bounds step)63
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q3 - 8:54BucksKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)63
41.8%
71
58.2%
Q3 - 9:07SpursBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 1 of 161
40.1%
71
59.9%
Q3 - 9:07BucksWesley Matthews shooting foul (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)61
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q3 - 9:09SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound61
50.3%
67
49.7%
Q3 - 9:11SpursTrey Lyles misses two point running reverse layup61
53.0%
67
47.0%
Q3 - 9:15BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Bryn Forbes steals)61
50.2%
67
49.8%
Q3 - 9:25SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Loose ball) (Brook Lopez draws the foul)61
54.2%
67
45.8%
Q3 - 9:25BucksBucks offensive rebound61
54.2%
67
45.8%
Q3 - 9:26BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot61
51.4%
67
48.6%
Q3 - 9:42SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point driving finger roll layup61
54.2%
67
45.8%
Q3 - 10:03BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)61
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 10:13BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound58
52.1%
65
47.9%
Q3 - 10:14SpursTrey Lyles misses two point putback layup58
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q3 - 10:14SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound58
48.1%
65
51.9%
Q3 - 10:23SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot58
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q3 - 10:28BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (bad pass) (Trey Lyles steals)58
48.0%
65
52.0%
Q3 - 10:33SpursTrey Lyles turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)58
52.0%
65
48.0%
Q3 - 10:53BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 158
47.9%
65
52.1%
Q3 - 10:53SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)57
47.0%
65
53.0%
Q3 - 10:55BucksWesley Matthews defensive rebound55
41.6%
65
58.4%
Q3 - 11:00SpursDejounte Murray misses two point floating jump shot55
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q3 - 11:08SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound55
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 11:10BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround jump shot55
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 11:13BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound55
43.3%
65
56.7%
Q3 - 11:14SpursDejounte Murray misses two point putback layup55
42.3%
65
57.7%
Q3 - 11:19SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound55
39.8%
65
60.2%
Q3 - 11:19SpursDejounte Murray misses two point tip layup55
42.2%
65
57.8%
Q3 - 11:19SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound55
39.8%
65
60.2%
Q3 - 11:24SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot55
42.2%
65
57.8%
Q3 - 11:38BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)55
39.8%
65
60.2%
Q3 - 11:43SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Wesley Matthews steals)52
33.7%
65
66.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q2 - 0:01.1BucksBucks offensive rebound52
35.2%
65
64.8%
Q2 - 0:01.1BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point pullup jump shot52
33.8%
65
66.2%
Q2 - 0:04.7SpursSpurs turnover (shot clock violation)52
35.2%
65
64.8%
Q2 - 0:04.7SpursDerrick White offensive rebound52
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q2 - 0:04.7SpursWesley Matthews blocks Patty Mills's three point pullup jump shot52
34.6%
65
65.4%
Q2 - 0:29.8BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)52
33.0%
65
67.0%
Q2 - 0:34.7BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound49
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q2 - 0:37.7SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot49
26.2%
65
73.8%
Q2 - 0:41.9SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound49
25.0%
65
75.0%
Q2 - 0:45.5BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot49
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q2 - 0:57.4SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)49
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q2 - 1:12BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point pullup jump shot49
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q2 - 1:30SpursDerrick White makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)47
23.2%
65
76.8%
Q2 - 1:40SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound47
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q2 - 1:43BucksErsan Ilyasova misses three point jump shot47
29.5%
62
70.5%
Q2 - 1:51SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)47
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q2 - 2:08BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)47
38.6%
59
61.4%
Q2 - 2:29SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)44
33.0%
59
67.0%
Q2 - 2:45BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot44
38.6%
56
61.4%
Q2 - 3:05SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot41
35.4%
56
64.6%
Q2 - 3:21BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 141
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q2 - 3:21SpursTrey Lyles shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)40
40.0%
53
60.0%
Q2 - 3:23BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound38
35.3%
53
64.7%
Q2 - 3:27SpursTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot38
34.4%
53
65.6%
Q2 - 3:48SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound38
32.3%
53
67.7%
Q2 - 3:50BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround jump shot38
33.2%
53
66.8%
Q2 - 4:02SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 238
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q2 - 4:02SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 238
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q2 - 4:02SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes technical free throw 1 of 138
39.8%
51
60.2%
Q2 - 4:02BucksBrook Lopez technical foul38
40.5%
50
59.5%
Q2 - 4:02BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)38
40.7%
50
59.3%
Q2 - 4:11BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (offensive foul)38
42.5%
50
57.5%
Q2 - 4:11BucksEric Bledsoe offensive foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)38
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q2 - 4:24SpursTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)38
45.1%
50
54.9%
Q2 - 4:34SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound38
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q2 - 4:36BucksKhris Middleton misses two point stepback jump shot38
51.5%
47
48.5%
Q2 - 4:52SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Take) (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)38
53.4%
47
46.6%
Q2 - 4:52SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)38
53.4%
47
46.6%
Q2 - 5:17BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)38
51.6%
47
48.4%
Q2 - 5:29SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot36
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 5:44BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving finger roll layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)36
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q2 - 5:59BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound34
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q2 - 6:02SpursTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot34
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 6:14BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Loose ball) (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)34
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 6:14SpursSpurs defensive rebound34
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 6:16BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot34
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 6:17BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound34
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q2 - 6:21BucksLaMarcus Aldridge blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point driving layup34
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 6:39SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot34
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q2 - 6:48SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound34
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 6:51BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot34
53.5%
43
46.5%
Q2 - 7:04SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot34
56.7%
43
43.3%
Q2 - 7:08SpursSpurs offensive rebound34
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q2 - 7:08SpursEric Bledsoe blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving finger roll layup34
60.9%
41
39.1%
Q2 - 7:17BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)34
59.0%
41
41.0%
Q2 - 7:27SpursTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)32
56.6%
41
43.4%
Q2 - 7:45BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 232
61.5%
38
38.5%
Q2 - 7:45BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 231
61.2%
38
38.8%
Q2 - 7:45SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)30
60.8%
38
39.2%
Q2 - 7:53BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 7:57SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot30
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 8:05SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound30
56.6%
38
43.4%
Q2 - 8:08BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot30
57.4%
38
42.6%
Q2 - 8:18SpursDejounte Murray makes three point pullup jump shot30
59.2%
38
40.8%
Q2 - 8:36SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound30
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q2 - 8:36BucksRobin Lopez misses two point tip layup30
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 8:36BucksRobin Lopez offensive rebound30
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 8:37BucksRobin Lopez misses two point tip layup30
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 8:37BucksRobin Lopez offensive rebound30
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 8:44BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot30
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 8:58BucksBucks defensive rebound30
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 8:59SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround jump shot30
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 9:17BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 230
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 9:17BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 1 of 229
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 9:17SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)28
63.2%
35
36.8%
Q2 - 9:25SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot28
62.0%
35
38.0%
Q2 - 9:30SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound28
64.1%
33
35.9%
Q2 - 9:35BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot28
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 9:42SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 3 of 328
66.5%
33
33.5%
Q2 - 9:42SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 328
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 9:42SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 328
67.2%
31
32.8%
Q2 - 9:42BucksKyle Korver shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)28
67.6%
30
32.4%
Q2 - 9:54SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound28
70.6%
30
29.4%
Q2 - 9:56BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot28
71.2%
30
28.8%
Q2 - 10:16SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)28
72.8%
30
27.2%
Q2 - 10:23SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound28
76.3%
27
23.7%
Q2 - 10:26BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point jump shot28
76.9%
27
23.1%
Q2 - 10:34SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (offensive foul)28
78.1%
27
21.9%
Q2 - 10:34SpursJakob Poeltl offensive foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)28
76.3%
27
23.7%
Q2 - 10:48BucksGeorge Hill makes three point pullup jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)28
76.3%
27
23.7%
Q2 - 10:55BucksRobin Lopez defensive rebound25
72.8%
27
27.2%
Q2 - 10:59SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot25
72.2%
27
27.8%
Q2 - 11:15BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)25
71.3%
27
28.7%
Q2 - 11:21BucksRobin Lopez offensive rebound22
67.1%
27
32.9%
Q2 - 11:25BucksKyle Korver misses two point pullup jump shot22
65.8%
27
34.2%
Q2 - 11:38BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound22
67.1%
27
32.9%
Q2 - 11:41SpursDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot22
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q1 - 0:01.7BucksErsan Ilyasova makes three point jump shot (George Hill assists)22
65.6%
27
34.4%
Q1 - 0:05.4SpursDerrick White personal foul (Take) (George Hill draws the foul)19
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q1 - 0:12.9SpursDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)19
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound19
63.4%
25
36.6%
Q1 - 0:38.1BucksRobin Lopez misses three point jump shot19
64.0%
25
36.0%
Q1 - 0:52.4BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound19
65.1%
25
34.9%
Q1 - 0:55.5SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot19
64.6%
25
35.4%
Q1 - 1:11BucksGeorge Hill makes two point running layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)19
63.8%
25
36.2%
Q1 - 1:16SpursRudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)17
61.2%
25
38.8%
Q1 - 1:18SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound17
59.4%
25
40.6%
Q1 - 1:22BucksGeorge Hill misses two point driving floating jump shot17
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q1 - 1:32BucksKyle Korver defensive rebound17
61.2%
25
38.8%
Q1 - 1:35SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving finger roll layup17
60.6%
25
39.4%
Q1 - 1:55BucksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (offensive foul)17
59.4%
25
40.6%
Q1 - 1:55BucksDonte DiVincenzo offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)17
61.1%
25
38.9%
Q1 - 2:15SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point stepback jump shot17
62.0%
25
38.0%
Q1 - 2:35SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound17
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q1 - 2:37BucksGeorge Hill misses two point pullup jump shot17
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q1 - 3:01SpursRudy Gay makes two point pullup jump shot17
66.5%
23
33.5%
Q1 - 3:09SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound17
68.0%
21
32.0%
Q1 - 3:12BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot17
68.7%
21
31.3%
Q1 - 3:31SpursPatty Mills makes three point stepback jump shot17
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q1 - 3:52BucksBrook Lopez makes two point stepback jump shot17
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q1 - 4:15SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 115
72.5%
18
27.5%
Q1 - 4:15BucksDonte DiVincenzo shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)15
72.8%
17
27.2%
Q1 - 4:15SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound15
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 4:15SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot15
76.8%
15
23.2%
Q1 - 4:27SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound15
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 4:31BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point pullup jump shot15
76.1%
15
23.9%
Q1 - 4:39BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound15
77.3%
15
22.7%
Q1 - 4:43SpursRudy Gay misses two point pullup jump shot15
76.8%
15
23.2%
Q1 - 4:58SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound15
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 4:59BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot15
76.0%
15
24.0%
Q1 - 5:06BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound15
77.6%
15
22.4%
Q1 - 5:10SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point stepback jump shot15
77.1%
15
22.9%
Q1 - 5:24BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point running dunk15
76.0%
15
24.0%
Q1 - 5:29SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)13
74.6%
15
25.4%
Q1 - 5:38SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound13
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 5:38BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot13
73.4%
15
26.6%
Q1 - 5:53SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)13
74.6%
15
25.4%
Q1 - 5:59SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound13
77.4%
12
22.6%
Q1 - 6:02BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot13
77.9%
12
22.1%
Q1 - 6:23SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (traveling)13
78.8%
12
21.2%
Q1 - 6:25SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound13
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 6:28BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point alley-oop layup13
77.9%
12
22.1%
Q1 - 6:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound13
78.8%
12
21.2%
Q1 - 6:37SpursBrook Lopez blocks Trey Lyles's two point driving layup13
78.4%
12
21.6%
Q1 - 6:41SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound13
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 6:44BucksWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot13
77.9%
12
22.1%
Q1 - 6:57SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Trey Lyles assists)13
78.8%
12
21.2%
Q1 - 6:59SpursSpurs offensive rebound13
80.2%
10
19.8%
Q1 - 6:59SpursGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point turnaround jump shot13
81.0%
10
19.0%
Q1 - 7:18SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound13
80.2%
10
19.8%
Q1 - 7:21BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot13
80.6%
10
19.4%
Q1 - 7:28SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)13
81.4%
10
18.6%
Q1 - 7:47SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)13
81.4%
10
18.6%
Q1 - 7:56SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound13
83.5%
7
16.5%
Q1 - 7:59BucksWesley Matthews misses two point floating jump shot13
83.8%
7
16.2%
Q1 - 8:14BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound13
84.9%
7
15.1%
Q1 - 8:17SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot13
84.6%
7
15.4%
Q1 - 8:29BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point putback layup13
83.8%
7
16.2%
Q1 - 8:31BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound11
82.9%
7
17.1%
Q1 - 8:34BucksWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot11
82.1%
7
17.9%
Q1 - 8:40BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound11
82.9%
7
17.1%
Q1 - 8:42SpursTrey Lyles misses two point tip layup11
82.6%
7
17.4%
Q1 - 8:42SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound11
81.7%
7
18.3%
Q1 - 8:43SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup11
82.6%
7
17.4%
Q1 - 8:47SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound11
81.7%
7
18.3%
Q1 - 8:50BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot11
82.1%
7
17.9%
Q1 - 9:03SpursDeMar DeRozan makes three point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)11
82.9%
7
17.1%
Q1 - 9:29BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point dunk (Eric Bledsoe assists)11
84.7%
4
15.3%
Q1 - 9:40SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)9
83.9%
4
16.1%
Q1 - 10:08BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point stepback jump shot9
84.7%
2
15.3%
Q1 - 10:12BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound6
82.8%
2
17.2%
Q1 - 10:15SpursTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot6
82.5%
2
17.5%
Q1 - 10:37BucksWesley Matthews makes three point pullup jump shot6
81.7%
2
18.3%
Q1 - 10:47SpursBryn Forbes makes two point driving floating jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)3
79.5%
2
20.5%
Q1 - 11:04BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)3
80.7%
0
19.3%
Q1 - 11:19BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound0
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 11:23SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot0
77.9%
0
22.1%
Q1 - 11:41SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound0
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 11:45BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. LaMarcus Aldridge (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)0
78.3%
0
21.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.02 51.0%
SAS
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
18
27
67%
SAS
9
19
47%
Midrange
MIL
5
23
22%
SAS
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
15
22.5
45
33%
50%
SAS
19
28.5
35
54%
81%
Free Throws
MIL
13
14
93%
SAS
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2452%12.0 / 23
D. DiVincenzo1662%8.0 / 13
K. Middleton1542%7.5 / 18
G. Hill1568%7.5 / 11
W. Matthews1286%6.0 / 7
E. Bledsoe850%4.0 / 8
B. Lopez867%4.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova375%1.5 / 2
R. Lopez217%1.0 / 6
K. Korver113%0.5 / 4
S. Brown0-0.0 / 1
D. Wilson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2578%12.5 / 16
P. Mills2195%10.5 / 11
L. Aldridge1777%8.5 / 11
R. Gay1771%8.5 / 12
D. Murray1359%6.5 / 11
D. White964%4.5 / 7
L. Walker IV857%4.0 / 7
B. Forbes650%3.0 / 6
T. Lyles627%3.0 / 11
J. Poeltl2100%1.0 / 1
C. Metu2100%1.0 / 1
D. Carroll0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
90
+12
-8
102
SAS
86
+12
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.02 51.0%
SAS
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.3
112.2
MIL 106.1
SAS 129.9 +23.8
Pace
105.2
100.6
MIL 104.3 +12.3
SAS 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
14.5
MIL 13.8 +1.8
SAS 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
53.1%
MIL 47.9%
SAS 61.9% +14.0%
TO %
13.9%
12.0%
MIL 7.3% +4.6%
SAS 11.9%
ORB %
20.7%
20.1%
MIL 18.5%
SAS 26.3% +7.8%
FTrt
27.1
26.2
MIL 14.7
SAS 21.6 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.8%
58.5%
MIL 63.2% +12.1%
SAS 51.1%
STL %
6.8%
7.2%
MIL 5.1% +1.0%
SAS 4.1%
BLK %
10.8%
10.0%
MIL 9.4% +5.4%
SAS 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
56.1%
MIL 51.0%
SAS 63.6% +12.6%
Rim FG%
64.9%
61.6%
MIL 66.7% +19.3%
SAS 47.4%
Mid FG%
43.8%
44.2%
MIL 21.7%
SAS 50.0% +28.3%
3P %
35.5%
37.6%
MIL 33.3%
SAS 54.3% +21.0%
FT %
74.2%
81.0%
MIL 92.9% +3.4%
SAS 89.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
29.1%
MIL 28.4% +6.8%
SAS 21.6%
Mid Att. %
22.4%
39.1%
MIL 24.2% +14.4%
SAS 38.6%
3P Att. %
42.8%
31.8%
MIL 47.4% +7.6%
SAS 39.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes22.625.3
Points104126
Rebounds3854
Assists2423
Steals54
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)11 (2)
Fouls1516
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)44 (1)
Field Goals38-9545-88
At-the-Rim FG18-279-19
Midrange FG5-2317-34
2-Point FG23-5026-53
3-Point FG15-4519-35
Free Throws13-1417-19
Fast Break Pts222
2nd Chance Pts1017
Points in Paint4232
Pts off Turnovers910
Bench Points3759
Biggest Lead722

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 25
33.8
24
52%
12
8
3
1
2
2
2
10
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
0-5
0%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
29.7
15
42%
5
4
0
0
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
1-7
14%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 33
28.7
12
86%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 30
26.4
8
50%
1
5
0
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 32
22.1
8
67%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
#0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23
26.6
16
62%
4
1
1
0
1
3
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 34
21.4
15
68%
4
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
#7 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 33
15.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 32
14.4
2
17%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#26 · SG · 6'7" 212 · 39
13.6
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 24
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 27
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · PF · 7'1" 225 · 22
INACTIVE
#15 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 26
INACTIVE
#13 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 25
INACTIVE
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
38
24
5
5
8
15
10
28
13-14
93%
23-50
46%
15-45
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.