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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 12, 2020
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Spurs39%110105
6Raptors61%113104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
35
34
25
8
4
2
1
0
2
1
7
11-14
79%
7-12
8-15
58%
49%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.5
34
32
11
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
2-4
5-10
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.3
21
25
10
7
4
0
2
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
20
26
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
14
17
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
28
22
9
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-7
14%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
27
21
13
4
4
0
1
3
1
0
4
3-4
75%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.4
20
23
15
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.2
20
13
4
10
1
0
0
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.8
12
5
5
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
11
17
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
49%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.5
2
0
0-0
41%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.0
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.3
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 33.8
39
38
16
3
15
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
4-12
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
32
32
21
14
1
0
1
1
1
2
12
0-0
-
6-10
7-12
60%
57%
3-6
50%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 26.6
31
32
20
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
56%
4-7
57%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.8
30
34
15
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-11
8-13
36%
56%
2-6
33%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.5
29
30
8
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
60%
1-1
100%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 24.2
20
33
2
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 25.0
18
22
9
6
0
1
1
1
2
4
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Matt Thomas
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.4
16
10
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
12
21
0
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-5
0%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 27.0
9
15
7
3
1
2
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.6
3
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.6
9
0
1-2
47%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
Shamorie Ponds
G · 6'1" 180 · 21.5
Dewan Hernandez
F · 6'10" 233 · 23.1
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 35.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.