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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 13, 2020
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Thunder58%113117
21Timberwolves42%110104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 21.5
36.4
33.0
20
78%
20
10
0
1
1
2
2
18
2-2
100%
6-9
6-12
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.4
33.2
28.7
30
87%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
11-12
92%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
3-4
75%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.7
30.5
29.9
10
33%
4
3
1
2
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
0-4
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
28.9
29.0
13
74%
11
5
1
1
3
2
4
7
3-4
75%
5-7
5-9
71%
60%
0-0
-
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 21.7
28.2
24.8
14
89%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
58%
2-4
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 26.3
29.1
31.1
14
47%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
2-6
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
19.1
13.0
11
55%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
3-8
38%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 19.6
15.8
13.7
1
57%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 21.5
12.2
17.0
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.3
6.5
12.0
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.9
4.5
0
0-1
48%
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 22.6
1.9
0
0-0
52%
Kevin Hervey
F · 6'8" 211 · 23.5
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 20.7
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.9
31.9
29.4
14
47%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
7-13
4-7
54%
49%
0-2
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 24.9
31.3
26.7
10
39%
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.1
30.1
27.0
18
65%
4
2
3
2
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
4-9
44%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
26.7
22.0
16
61%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
5-7
71%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
3-5
60%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 30.0
16.4
20.6
5
36%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 21.4
24.6
24.1
6
52%
5
3
3
1
1
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.6
21.3
21.7
6
38%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 20.4
18.4
15.1
20
72%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
4-8
50%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.0
15.0
19.0
3
26%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 26.2
12.7
12.2
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.4
11.6
9.0
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 25.0
5.7
0
1-1
55%
Kelan Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.8
Jaylen Nowell
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.5
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 24.2
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.