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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
January 15, 2020
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Spurs
100
12Heat
106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
35.3
33.7
30
88%
5
7
2
1
0
2
0
5
6-7
86%
12-14
7-15
86%
50%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.5
33.7
32.4
12
50%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
27.5
15.5
4
29%
7
3
0
0
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.3
25.7
23.5
4
33%
7
3
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
25.7
23.9
11
42%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
3-9
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
23.2
24.4
21
70%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
5-12
42%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
22.4
22.9
11
57%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.4
19.5
21.6
3
17%
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.3
14.3
15.7
2
100%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
8.2
14.5
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.8
4.5
8.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
1.8
0
0-0
52%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.5
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.8
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.3
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.0
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
39.0
27.1
11
55%
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
63%
3-9
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
36.0
33.5
14
42%
13
7
0
1
2
0
4
9
2-4
50%
6-15
6-10
40%
60%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.3
33.7
31.4
12
43%
3
4
1
2
1
2
1
2
3-7
43%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.5
31.4
26.6
33
87%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-11
4-7
73%
54%
5-7
71%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
27.9
24.6
7
88%
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
61%
1-2
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.9
24.7
23.3
7
39%
12
1
0
1
1
0
2
10
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
60%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.7
24.6
25.3
17
65%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
5-10
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
13.9
14.3
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
8.7
3.0
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
57%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.0
24.6
1
3-6
49%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
7.0
0
1-1
46%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
1.3
0
0-0
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.6
0.7
0
0-0
46%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.7
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Kyle Alexander
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.