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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 19, 2020
3:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat55%115102
20Spurs45%113107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.5
36
29
18
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
53%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
36
33
21
16
6
2
1
0
2
4
12
5-5
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
35
33
12
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
63%
4-10
40%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.3
33
32
16
5
6
2
2
0
0
1
4
6-6
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
50%
0-2
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
29
21
5
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
60%
1-6
17%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.7
24
27
19
5
2
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-5
60%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
2-5
40%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.9
16
24
6
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
59%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
15
17
5
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.0
9
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
7
12
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-2
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
7
0
1-1
44%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
1
0
0-0
58%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.6
1
0
0-0
43%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.7
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Kyle Alexander
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
38
35
20
9
9
1
1
0
2
1
8
6-6
100%
7-15
8-15
47%
52%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.5
36
30
21
4
3
1
1
2
2
3
1
3-3
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
52%
2-4
50%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.3
22
28
7
3
1
1
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
21
20
9
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
16
25
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-5
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
29
24
18
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
4-10
40%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
26
20
11
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.8
21
11
12
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
7
6-6
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
20
14
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.3
12
17
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.8
2
0
0-1
51%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.3
2
0
0-0
48%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
1
0
0-0
53%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.5
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.0
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.4
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.