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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 19, 2020
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers
115
10Nuggets
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 23.7
41
30
22
15
10
0
1
0
5
8
7
1-3
33%
9-14
6-10
64%
55%
1-2
50%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
36
29
22
3
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
51%
2-4
50%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.4
33
31
22
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
8-8
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.6
23
27
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-4
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
20
27
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 30.8
25
26
14
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
3-7
43%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
22
17
4
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 28.0
21
20
24
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
6-7
86%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 23.3
13
20
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
6
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 24.1
8
0
1-1
47%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.8
4
0
1-1
60%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
2
0
0-0
51%
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.5
Brian Bowen II
F · 6'7" 190 · 21.3
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.7
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.0
36
34
16
7
5
1
1
0
2
2
5
2-3
67%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
0-4
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
33
27
16
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
4-6
67%
6-8
3-5
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
32
33
30
10
4
3
1
0
1
1
9
8-12
67%
8-12
7-12
67%
57%
2-4
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
29
22
2
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
25
18
8
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.6
23
22
10
8
0
2
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
56%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
18
20
13
2
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-4
25%
6-7
3-5
86%
59%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
17
8
8
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
14
9
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.1
14
19
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.8
2
0
0-0
50%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.9
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.2
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.9
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.