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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 20, 2020
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings
113
10Heat
118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.1
43
34
20
7
7
3
1
2
2
2
5
1-1
100%
2-2
4-8
100%
49%
5-17
29%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.9
38
27
15
15
2
1
1
0
2
5
10
1-1
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
52%
0-1
0%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.1
38
32
14
2
8
3
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-7
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.7
37
32
22
6
3
1
1
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
52%
2-6
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
33
34
11
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-5
4-7
20%
48%
2-6
33%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.4
34
24
14
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-11
27%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.4
18
21
4
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
14
9
6
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.7
11
6
7
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
8
0
2-3
50%
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.4
6
0
0-1
46%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.4
1
0
0-0
44%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.8
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.6
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.5
43
31
25
7
6
0
1
0
6
0
7
8-8
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
3-9
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
40
34
16
11
5
1
1
1
5
4
7
4-6
67%
6-9
7-11
67%
60%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
38
33
12
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
63%
4-10
40%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.9
28
20
7
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
59%
1-2
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
20
24
7
6
2
3
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
60%
1-4
25%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.7
32
25
18
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
1-6
17%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
29
16
22
6
3
0
1
2
0
0
6
0-1
0%
5-6
1-2
83%
54%
4-5
80%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
18
10
5
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.0
17
11
6
0
2
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.3
32
2
5-10
51%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
7
0
1-1
45%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
1
0
0-0
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Kyle Alexander
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.2
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.7
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.