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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 20, 2020
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets42%110107
16Timberwolves58%113100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
35.6
25.0
8
33%
4
8
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
34.3
32.4
17
51%
13
5
1
1
0
5
5
8
3-4
75%
7-12
7-12
58%
57%
0-3
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.0
32.8
34.7
18
71%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
31.7
29.5
19
73%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
3-6
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
16.4
21.3
2
25%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.6
29.7
22.1
20
78%
14
4
0
1
1
1
2
12
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
4-8
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.1
24.0
17.1
11
51%
3
0
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
49%
1-2
50%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
18.6
12.5
6
38%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
49%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
10.4
19.1
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
58%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
6.6
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.8
1.7
0
0-0
51%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.8
0.9
0
0-0
53%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.9
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.9
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 24.2
35.2
25.0
28
61%
8
5
1
1
1
0
4
4
8-9
89%
7-14
4-7
50%
58%
2-5
40%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 24.9
33.3
32.5
15
42%
6
2
0
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
49%
1-7
14%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.1
32.6
30.8
9
45%
6
1
1
2
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
1-7
14%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
28.9
26.1
6
38%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-7
29%
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.9
27.2
30.6
6
38%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 21.4
26.7
24.3
16
70%
8
1
1
1
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
16.7
16.3
3
38%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.0
15.4
15.6
9
75%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 30.0
12.8
20.4
8
80%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.8
11.2
17.0
0
0%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 20.4
6.5
0
1-2
51%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.4
5.3
0
1-1
53%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 25.0
2.6
0
0-1
56%
Kelan Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
Jaylen Nowell
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.