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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 2, 2020
12:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets59%112123
24Pistons41%108128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
45
32
14
4
0
1
1
3
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
55%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
40
34
39
10
11
3
1
2
2
0
10
6-7
86%
15-20
8-13
75%
58%
1-3
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
39
30
19
7
7
1
1
0
0
3
4
1-1
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
51%
2-7
29%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.1
37
33
20
9
5
0
1
0
1
2
7
4-5
80%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
2-6
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
19
26
5
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
31
25
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.2
24
23
12
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
2-5
40%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
14
13
5
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
12
12
2
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.8
5
3
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
7
0
1-2
60%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
55%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.2
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.0
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 28.2
37
28
13
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 22.6
35
25
13
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
6-8
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Sekou Doumbouya
F · 6'9" 209 · 19.1
35
13
17
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
53%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 26.5
30
32
21
17
4
0
2
2
2
6
11
3-4
75%
9-17
7-12
53%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.3
13
26
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
6-12
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 23.5
38
21
19
10
8
0
1
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
3-3
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 29.8
34
25
20
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
46%
2-4
50%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.2
20
25
8
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.4
16
17
11
4
0
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-4
57%
60%
1-3
33%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.9
6
11
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
23
1
2-5
50%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 29.3
4
0
0-1
46%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.6
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 23.7
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.9
Jordan Bone
G · 6'2" 179 · 22.2
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.