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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 11, 2020
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Spurs27%107114
13Thunder73%116106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.6
39
33
25
14
3
1
1
1
2
3
11
7-8
88%
9-17
6-11
53%
51%
0-3
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.3
31
24
8
5
1
1
1
4
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.4
27
29
25
9
3
1
2
0
1
1
8
6-6
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
47%
1-1
100%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
25
21
6
4
0
3
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
21
26
8
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
28
22
17
4
8
1
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
28
19
20
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
3-8
38%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.5
17
17
4
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.9
16
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.3
9
15
1
2
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.4
5
0
0-1
44%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
48%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.3
2
0
0-0
46%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.1
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.5
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.8
34
31
31
2
7
1
2
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-9
5-8
78%
55%
5-9
56%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 21.6
33
34
17
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
4-8
6-11
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
32
28
10
10
2
4
1
1
4
3
7
2-2
100%
4-9
5-8
44%
62%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.5
30
30
15
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
8
5-7
71%
2-9
3-6
22%
50%
2-7
29%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 20.8
21
17
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 26.4
32
32
14
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
52%
1-2
50%
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 21.7
18
20
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
61%
0-1
0%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.4
16
7
8
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
8
19
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
62%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 21.5
8
10
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
7
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
1-3
33%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 26.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Kevin Hervey
F · 6'8" 211 · 23.6
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.2
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 19.7
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.