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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 20, 2020
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies
125
22Kings
129
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 20.4
33
29
16
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
55%
4-9
44%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.5
30
30
19
1
2
0
1
0
5
0
1
5-7
71%
7-11
6-11
64%
52%
0-1
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
30
26
9
4
2
0
1
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
0-6
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.4
23
26
12
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
57%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
20
27
8
11
1
0
1
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
3-6
6-10
50%
59%
0-0
-
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 23.4
25
22
8
11
1
0
1
2
0
3
8
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
61%
0-1
0%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.7
23
23
24
6
3
1
2
1
1
1
5
10-10
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
4-5
80%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.8
18
17
16
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
2-2
100%
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
18
19
11
5
4
1
1
1
2
0
5
4-5
80%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 30.1
13
9
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Marko Guduric
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
7
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
4
0
0-1
49%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 25.1
2
0
0-1
54%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 25.4
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.4
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.7
38
31
32
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
7-11
64%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.2
34
31
26
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-8
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
51%
4-6
67%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
32
27
8
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
25
18
3
3
3
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
25
27
9
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-4
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
27
30
20
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
8-8
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 30.6
23
22
18
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
2-3
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
22
24
9
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
15
16
4
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
54%
0-1
0%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
9
0
0-0
49%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.8
8
0
1-2
50%
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.5
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.9
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.5
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.