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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 25, 2020
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons
98
8Nuggets
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.4
34
28
20
10
1
1
1
1
4
5
5
6-8
75%
7-14
4-8
50%
59%
0-2
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 28.3
32
24
10
4
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.4
27
24
20
2
5
2
1
0
4
1
1
7-7
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
1-3
33%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 29.2
21
19
4
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 22.7
17
19
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-6
33%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 28.2
25
17
14
2
6
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
4-9
44%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.2
25
24
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
4-8
50%
Sekou Doumbouya
F · 6'9" 209 · 19.2
18
25
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Donta Hall
F · 6'9" 229 · 22.6
15
5
4
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 23.8
14
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.9
6
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 23.0
6
17
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
54%
0-0
-
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 23.5
31
1
3-7
47%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.7
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.9
Jordan Bone
G · 6'2" 179 · 22.3
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.0
33
35
16
5
8
1
1
1
1
0
5
4-5
80%
3-8
6-11
38%
53%
2-4
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
31
30
9
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.1
29
25
5
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
28
31
16
5
4
4
1
0
5
2
3
5-5
100%
4-7
7-12
57%
60%
1-1
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.0
19
25
9
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.0
29
21
29
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
9-10
2-4
90%
56%
3-5
60%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
26
26
8
2
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.7
22
12
13
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
57%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
18
12
8
6
3
0
0
1
2
0
6
4-7
57%
2-3
2-3
67%
61%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
2
4
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.5
2
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
14
0
1-1
58%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 28.9
4
0
0-1
48%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.1
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.3
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.