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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 28, 2020
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons28%107113
14Suns72%115111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.4
35.0
30.2
19
63%
9
5
3
1
1
1
4
5
6-7
86%
5-10
5-9
50%
59%
1-2
50%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 22.7
30.3
18.3
13
46%
0
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
3-7
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.4
30.1
25.1
31
65%
3
4
2
1
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
14-22
6-11
64%
50%
1-2
50%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 28.3
29.9
27.6
7
55%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-2
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 29.2
19.2
19.3
7
74%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 28.2
24.9
20.6
19
68%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
5-11
45%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.2
20.7
24.2
7
44%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Sekou Doumbouya
F · 6'9" 209 · 19.2
19.7
21.4
6
38%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Donta Hall
F · 6'9" 229 · 22.6
13.0
10.0
1
57%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 23.0
8.1
11.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.9
7.0
4.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 23.8
2.0
8.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-1
100%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 23.5
18.7
1
2-4
48%
Jordan Bone
G · 6'2" 179 · 22.3
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.7
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.3
39.9
35.6
26
65%
6
6
2
1
0
6
0
6
5-7
71%
9-13
6-12
69%
53%
1-4
25%
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
37.5
31.5
13
77%
1
5
1
2
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
3-4
75%
60%
2-4
50%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 21.6
35.4
30.8
20
80%
10
3
1
1
2
3
3
7
0-1
0%
10-12
9-15
83%
59%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.4
32.3
30.1
16
58%
6
13
2
2
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
1-4
25%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 25.9
27.0
19.4
11
61%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 24.5
21.0
13.3
3
38%
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Cameron Johnson
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
19.6
22.2
9
75%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
3-5
60%
Elie Okobo
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
14.7
10.8
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.2
12.6
12.0
7
61%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.6
4.6
0
0-1
51%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 23.5
3.2
0
1-1
62%
Tariq Owens
F · 6'10" 205 · 24.7
Jared Harper
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.5
Jalen Lecque
G · 6'4" 185 · 19.7
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 26.9
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.