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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 4, 2020
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bulls45%112108
20Timberwolves55%114115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.3
29.6
30.4
10
45%
5
5
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
28.6
15.6
17
80%
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
3-3
100%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.9
25.0
20.1
6
50%
9
1
1
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 22.8
20.7
30.9
13
65%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
1-4
25%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 26.3
18.0
14.8
11
48%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 20.0
34.6
29.9
26
57%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
46%
2-7
29%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
28.7
31.8
13
59%
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
1-4
25%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.9
22.9
20.6
9
75%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
3-4
75%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 26.8
18.3
19.7
2
13%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
53%
0-3
0%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 21.4
10.2
21.1
1
27%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
60%
0-0
-
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 27.7
3.3
11.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-0
-
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 23.9
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 24.6
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.0
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.3
34.0
32.2
24
76%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
4-8
50%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
31.4
31.2
19
66%
3
4
1
1
0
6
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
4-9
67%
49%
4-10
40%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
31.1
29.5
12
61%
7
2
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-4
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 21.5
26.3
26.9
5
63%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 20.5
25.0
25.1
16
63%
11
3
0
1
2
0
5
6
3-6
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
3-3
100%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.9
27.0
18.8
10
46%
1
7
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-2
0%
5-8
2-3
63%
51%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.0
21.9
22.1
8
58%
4
5
2
1
3
3
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.0
21.1
20.4
13
59%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
3-6
50%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 26.0
13.7
14.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Kelan Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
8.7
11.8
6
80%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
1-2
50%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 24.3
12.6
0
2-4
58%
Jaylen Nowell
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.7
3.7
0
0-1
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.9
Omari Spellman
F · 6'9" 253 · 22.6
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.