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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 4, 2020
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards41%117104
23Trail Blazers59%120125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 26.7
37.5
36.7
29
46%
6
6
1
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
6-20
8-16
30%
53%
4-9
44%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
28.5
29.4
11
43%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.6
26.0
25.0
9
38%
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.0
25.9
23.6
5
28%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
1-3
33%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 22.9
18.9
13.0
9
51%
9
1
2
0
0
1
7
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 27.3
29.0
28.6
21
62%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-4
1-3
100%
50%
4-12
33%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 20.3
28.0
14.6
7
64%
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
0-0
-
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 20.6
20.2
16.6
9
51%
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Anzejs Pasecniks
C · 7'2" 229 · 24.2
15.5
7.7
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.3
10.4
1.9
2
25%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
21.2
1
3-6
48%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 22.6
17.8
0
3-5
64%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 33.3
8.3
0
1-2
53%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.8
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 22.9
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
34.6
28.9
24
74%
16
2
0
1
4
2
3
13
4-5
80%
10-14
6-11
71%
61%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.7
33.5
34.2
15
88%
3
4
2
1
2
0
0
3
7-8
88%
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
2-4
50%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
33.3
36.0
22
56%
6
5
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-4
50%
7-11
7-13
64%
53%
2-7
29%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 35.8
31.8
29.8
25
80%
5
1
2
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
3-5
60%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
31.8
10.8
22
75%
4
5
2
0
1
3
2
2
6-6
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
4-7
57%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 21.1
28.3
32.0
2
14%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-3
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 25.0
16.2
17.3
3
50%
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 20.7
13.7
20.1
8
55%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
10.5
12.8
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Nassir Little
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
3.4
10.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.9
2.8
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.5
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 22.3
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 27.4
Moses Brown
C · 7'1" 245 · 20.4
Jaylen Hoard
F · 6'9" 213 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.