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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 6, 2020
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies24%10896
3Mavericks76%118121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.6
32
28
11
4
8
0
1
0
6
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
52%
1-3
33%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
30
26
15
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
2-6
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
28
26
14
11
1
0
0
0
2
0
11
0-0
-
7-8
5-9
88%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.5
25
23
6
6
3
0
1
2
2
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
1-3
33%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.8
15
22
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
22
19
16
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
2-8
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
21
17
8
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.8
20
20
9
0
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 30.1
18
21
3
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-4
25%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
16
17
6
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 25.4
4
7
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Marko Guduric
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
4
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jarrod Uthoff
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.8
4
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.4
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 20.5
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.0
30
35
21
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-8
63%
5-12
7-12
42%
56%
2-8
25%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 28.1
30
29
9
4
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
60%
3-7
43%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.4
29
14
13
5
2
2
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 24.6
29
35
26
11
4
3
1
4
1
2
9
4-5
80%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
4-9
44%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
15
31
15
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-6
3-5
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
32
8
10
4
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.9
29
24
11
8
5
3
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 26.4
15
5
0
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.7
15
14
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-6
17%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
11
9
4
4
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
56%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 31.6
4
6
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
60%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.0
Josh Reaves
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.8
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.8
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.1
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.