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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 8, 2020
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers30%107112
2Mavericks70%115109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 23.8
41.3
34.5
20
68%
17
6
1
1
0
1
2
15
3-4
75%
7-12
7-12
58%
56%
1-1
100%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.0
33.3
31.9
16
74%
13
0
2
1
3
0
1
12
2-4
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
2-4
50%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
32.7
33.1
16
58%
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
54%
0-2
0%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 23.4
32.5
27.8
7
41%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
27.3
26.1
16
40%
4
7
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-5
80%
6-13
3-7
46%
49%
0-5
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 30.9
22.4
21.4
14
117%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
4-5
80%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 24.2
19.1
14.4
6
38%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
0-3
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.0
15.9
19.9
12
60%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.0
13.6
12.8
5
64%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
61%
0-0
-
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.6
1.9
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-1
53%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.6
Brian Bowen II
F · 6'7" 190 · 21.4
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 28.2
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.9
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.0
38.8
32.9
30
69%
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
6-11
55%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 24.6
38.3
32.1
9
24%
8
2
0
1
2
4
4
4
3-4
75%
3-12
4-9
25%
49%
0-5
0%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.0
36.3
32.2
36
59%
10
8
1
1
0
3
1
9
6-10
60%
9-13
6-11
69%
55%
4-13
31%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 28.1
34.3
28.5
2
25%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.4
31.5
19.5
7
35%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.9
22.9
25.2
7
70%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
18.9
17.2
11
95%
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
2-3
67%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.6
9.6
9.7
5
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
2-2
1-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 31.6
5.5
5.8
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.7
4.0
14.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
Josh Reaves
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.8
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 26.4
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 23.5
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.1
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.8
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.