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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 8, 2020
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Spurs58%115129
28Cavaliers42%112132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
42.1
31.5
25
51%
8
4
2
1
0
3
0
8
11-12
92%
7-19
7-13
37%
54%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.3
41.3
27.7
13
51%
9
2
1
1
1
1
1
8
5-6
83%
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
0-3
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
31.8
21.5
19
71%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
4-8
50%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.5
30.7
26.1
17
47%
7
6
6
2
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
7-17
4-8
41%
51%
1-1
100%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.1
22.0
13.4
6
61%
6
1
1
0
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.6
35.8
23.8
19
48%
9
0
1
1
2
1
1
8
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
53%
3-9
33%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.7
24.7
24.4
17
78%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
8-9
89%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.6
19.3
19.7
7
58%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.4
17.4
14.1
6
77%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.5
0.0
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
18.2
1
2-4
49%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.2
8.4
0
1-2
55%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.6
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 34.0
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 23.0
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 29.5
44.6
27.7
14
50%
2
11
1
1
0
4
0
2
6-7
86%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
2-6
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 31.5
40.1
33.8
14
45%
18
3
0
1
0
4
3
15
7-8
88%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
1-5
20%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.2
39.4
37.9
26
55%
1
4
1
1
0
7
1
0
9-11
82%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
37.0
35.1
19
60%
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
4-8
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 26.6
33.1
10.2
28
67%
17
1
0
1
3
1
4
13
6-11
55%
11-14
2-4
79%
54%
0-2
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
43.3
30.9
19
68%
10
0
0
1
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
60%
3-5
60%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
19.3
13.7
10
83%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
2-2
100%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
8.2
31.8
2
26%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-2
5-10
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.2
8.9
0
2-3
57%
Sir'Dominic Pointer
G-F · 6'6" 192 · 27.8
5.6
0
1-1
49%
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 23.3
5.1
0
0-1
55%
Matt Mooney
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 27.2
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.7
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 19.8
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 20.1
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.