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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 16, 2021
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies44%111101
12Warriors56%113113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.8
38.0
33.3
16
37%
3
9
1
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
6-15
5-10
40%
51%
1-6
17%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
35.5
22.1
29
82%
16
1
1
0
0
1
6
10
5-6
83%
12-15
5-8
80%
60%
0-0
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.7
31.4
23.1
14
50%
7
2
3
1
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
2-7
29%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
29.9
24.1
18
53%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.7
29.2
20.3
10
51%
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
0-2
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
28.6
21.3
8
67%
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
2-3
67%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.0
20.9
18.6
4
29%
2
0
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.7
13.9
14.2
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
59%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.0
10.0
15.7
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
2.6
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
16.0
1
2-5
45%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
15.6
0
1-2
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
15.1
1
1-2
55%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
11.2
0
1-2
44%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.5
8.9
0
1-1
53%
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.2
40.0
21.1
46
60%
7
9
1
1
1
7
1
6
5-6
83%
7-14
3-6
50%
56%
9-22
41%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.2
37.9
21.6
14
73%
9
9
1
1
2
3
1
8
6-6
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 26.2
37.1
21.2
21
62%
10
0
1
1
1
2
3
7
1-2
50%
7-14
4-7
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
31.2
23.8
6
60%
11
3
0
1
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
59%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 31.9
27.3
29.6
2
53%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-1
0%
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 28.1
26.8
29.8
9
64%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
65%
1-3
33%
Jordan Poole
G · 6'5" 191 · 21.9
24.9
25.9
15
76%
3
1
2
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
52%
3-7
43%
Mychal Mulder
G · 6'4" 185 · 26.9
14.8
25.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
61%
0-2
0%
Nico Mannion
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
16.2
1
1-2
46%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 26.4
14.6
0
2-3
54%
Eric Paschall
F · 6'7" 254 · 24.5
11.6
0
2-4
55%
Alen Smailagic
F · 6'9" 216 · 20.7
10.7
0
1-2
54%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
7.9
0
1-1
55%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.4
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 28.6
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.1
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.