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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 20, 2021
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets38%112110
3Suns62%11698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
34.7
32.9
27
61%
13
2
2
1
0
3
2
11
0-0
-
12-16
9-16
75%
56%
1-6
17%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.3
34.0
31.6
15
72%
6
5
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-7
4-6
57%
58%
2-3
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.8
33.5
22.3
20
71%
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
4-8
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
29.0
24.7
12
87%
8
4
0
1
1
3
2
6
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
1-1
100%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.3
28.4
23.1
9
51%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
3-6
50%
P.J. Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
20.8
12.8
10
102%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
3-4
75%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.6
19.6
23.0
0
0%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.1
19.0
18.6
13
66%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
3-6
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.3
13.3
11.6
2
25%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
7.7
14.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.1
10.4
0
1-2
45%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.8
9.5
0
1-1
53%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.6
7.1
0
0-1
45%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 21.9
6.1
0
1-1
52%
Petr Cornelie
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.2
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.7
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 36.5
33.6
27.4
15
63%
4
10
2
1
1
3
2
2
1-2
50%
4-7
5-9
57%
53%
2-4
50%
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
33.5
32.2
16
47%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
5-10
3-4
50%
62%
2-6
33%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 23.2
32.6
32.1
15
69%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-7
6-9
71%
60%
1-3
33%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
29.9
34.5
12
36%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
1-8
7-14
13%
52%
2-7
29%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.3
24.1
24.6
2
17%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-5
0%
Cameron Johnson
F · 6'9" 205 · 25.6
23.9
22.5
11
55%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
57%
3-5
60%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 24.6
19.4
14.9
11
110%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
3-3
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 33.8
15.1
5.7
6
75%
8
0
0
0
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
58%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
14.4
20.4
10
45%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-5
60%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 28.1
13.4
4.9
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 27.7
13.0
1
2-4
47%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 28.5
7.0
0
1-2
51%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 21.6
6.3
0
1-1
54%
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 25.5
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.