FinalWin Prob.pScore
3012%101
90
1488%118
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
90.99997.5
MIA logo MIA
110.39798.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.90
107
Q4 - 0:00.5HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)90
107
Q4 - 0:21.4HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound90
107
Q4 - 0:27.1MagicIgnas Brazdeikis misses three point jump shot90
107
Q4 - 0:50.2HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)90
107
Q4 - 1:04MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Ignas Brazdeikis assists)90
105
Q4 - 1:16MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound87
105
Q4 - 1:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot87
105
Q4 - 1:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
105
Q4 - 1:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound87
105
Q4 - 1:38MagicRobin Lopez misses regular free throw 2 of 287
105
Q4 - 1:38Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Omer Yurtseven, KZ Okpala, Max Strus, Marcus Garrett)87
105
Q4 - 1:38Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Omer Yurtseven, KZ Okpala, Max Strus)87
105
Q4 - 1:38MagicRobin Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 287
105
Q4 - 1:38HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)86
105
Q4 - 1:40MagicRobin Lopez offensive rebound86
105
Q4 - 1:42MagicJalen Suggs misses two point driving floating jump shot86
105
Q4 - 1:55MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound86
105
Q4 - 1:58HeatRobin Lopez blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup86
105
Q4 - 2:21MagicR.J. Hampton makes regular free throw 2 of 286
105
Q4 - 2:21MagicR.J. Hampton misses regular free throw 1 of 285
105
Q4 - 2:21HeatMax Strus shooting foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)85
105
Q4 - 2:24MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound85
105
Q4 - 2:26HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point fadeaway jump shot85
105
Q4 - 2:45HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound85
105
Q4 - 2:49MagicRobin Lopez misses regular free throw 1 of 185
105
Q4 - 2:49HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)85
105
Q4 - 2:49MagicRobin Lopez makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)85
105
Q4 - 3:07Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Max Strus, Markieff Morris)83
105
Q4 - 3:07Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Ignas Brazdeikis, Robin Lopez, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)83
105
Q4 - 3:07Magic 60 second timeout83
105
Q4 - 3:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)83
105
Q4 - 3:22MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
102
Q4 - 3:26HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound83
102
Q4 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup83
102
Q4 - 3:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound83
102
Q4 - 3:39MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point driving layup83
102
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 283
102
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 283
101
Q4 - 3:52MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)83
100
Q4 - 4:12HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound83
100
Q4 - 4:15MagicR.J. Hampton misses regular free throw 2 of 283
100
Q4 - 4:15MagicR.J. Hampton makes regular free throw 1 of 283
100
Q4 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)82
100
Q4 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup82
100
Q4 - 4:50HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound82
98
Q4 - 4:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup82
98
Q4 - 5:03Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Markieff Morris)82
98
Q4 - 5:03Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)82
98
Q4 - 5:03Heat 60 second timeout82
98
Q4 - 5:05MagicMo Bamba makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)82
98
Q4 - 5:13MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound79
98
Q4 - 5:17HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
98
Q4 - 5:25MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)79
98
Q4 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Mo Bamba steals)79
98
Q4 - 5:46Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, Markieff Morris)79
98
Q4 - 5:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
98
Q4 - 5:46HeatHeat defensive rebound79
98
Q4 - 5:48MagicCole Anthony misses three point pullup jump shot79
98
Q4 - 5:52MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound79
98
Q4 - 5:56HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
98
Q4 - 6:13MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)79
98
Q4 - 6:27Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Markieff Morris)79
98
Q4 - 6:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
98
Q4 - 6:27MagicMagic offensive rebound79
98
Q4 - 6:27MagicFranz Wagner misses two point floating jump shot79
98
Q4 - 6:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound79
98
Q4 - 6:35MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot79
98
Q4 - 6:47HeatTyler Herro makes three point bank jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)79
98
Q4 - 6:48HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound79
95
Q4 - 6:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
95
Q4 - 7:13Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris)79
95
Q4 - 7:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
95
Q4 - 7:14HeatHeat defensive rebound79
95
Q4 - 7:14MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point running finger roll layup79
95
Q4 - 7:16MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound79
95
Q4 - 7:19HeatMax Strus misses two point running layup79
95
Q4 - 7:28MagicMo Bamba makes two point cutting dunk (R.J. Hampton assists)79
95
Q4 - 7:33MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound77
95
Q4 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
95
Q4 - 8:02MagicGary Harris turnover (offensive foul)77
95
Q4 - 8:02MagicGary Harris offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)77
95
Q4 - 8:08MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound77
95
Q4 - 8:14HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
95
Q4 - 8:18HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound77
95
Q4 - 8:21MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot77
95
Q4 - 8:31Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris, R.J. Hampton)77
95
Q4 - 8:31Magic 60 second timeout77
95
Q4 - 8:31HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)77
95
Q4 - 8:38MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
93
Q4 - 8:47HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
93
Q4 - 8:50HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound77
90
Q4 - 8:53HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot77
90
Q4 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
90
Q4 - 9:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot77
90
Q4 - 9:21Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Terrence Ross, R.J. Hampton)77
90
Q4 - 9:21HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)77
90
Q4 - 9:21MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound77
90
Q4 - 9:24MagicCole Anthony misses three point stepback jump shot77
90
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)77
90
Q4 - 9:48HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound77
88
Q4 - 9:51MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot77
88
Q4 - 9:55MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound77
88
Q4 - 9:59HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot77
88
Q4 - 10:13MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)77
88
Q4 - 10:14MagicTerrence Ross turnover (bad pass) (Markieff Morris steals)77
88
Q4 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)77
88
Q4 - 10:42MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving floating jump shot77
86
Q4 - 10:48MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound75
86
Q4 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot75
86
Q4 - 11:05MagicMoritz Wagner makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)75
86
Q4 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
86
Q4 - 11:20Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Mo Bamba, Terrence Ross, R.J. Hampton)72
85
Q4 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 272
85
Q4 - 11:20Stoppage (Court cleanup)72
84
Q4 - 11:20MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
84
Q4 - 11:33MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving layup72
84
Q4 - 11:47HeatMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
84
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Markieff Morris)70
81
Q4 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)70
81
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
81
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound70
81
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot70
81
Q3 - 0:02.1HeatJimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)70
81
Q3 - 0:06.5MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 270
79
Q3 - 0:06.5Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Ignas Brazdeikis, Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)69
79
Q3 - 0:06.5MagicJalen Suggs misses regular free throw 1 of 269
79
Q3 - 0:06.5HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)69
79
Q3 - 0:21.3HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (R.J. Hampton steals)69
79
Q3 - 0:31.8MagicJalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot69
79
Q3 - 0:37.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)66
79
Q3 - 0:41.6MagicR.J. Hampton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)66
77
Q3 - 0:43.0MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound66
77
Q3 - 0:49.3HeatR.J. Hampton blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot66
77
Q3 - 1:19MagicRobin Lopez makes two point cutting dunk (Terrence Ross assists)66
77
Q3 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
77
Q3 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
76
Q3 - 1:35MagicR.J. Hampton personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
75
Q3 - 1:38MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)64
75
Q3 - 1:45MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound64
75
Q3 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot64
75
Q3 - 2:07HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound64
75
Q3 - 2:10MagicRobin Lopez misses two point turnaround hook shot64
75
Q3 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)64
75
Q3 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)64
75
Q3 - 2:25HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound64
75
Q3 - 2:29HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot64
75
Q3 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
75
Q3 - 2:44MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot64
75
Q3 - 2:54HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 164
75
Q3 - 2:54MagicIgnas Brazdeikis shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)64
74
Q3 - 2:54HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point turnaround jump shot64
74
Q3 - 2:59Magic lineup change (Ignas Brazdeikis, Robin Lopez, Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)64
72
Q3 - 2:59Magic 60 second timeout64
72
Q3 - 2:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)64
72
Q3 - 3:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 264
72
Q3 - 3:13Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Markieff Morris)63
72
Q3 - 3:13Magic lineup change (Ignas Brazdeikis, Wendell Carter Jr., Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)63
72
Q3 - 3:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 263
72
Q3 - 3:13HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)62
72
Q3 - 3:13MagicMagic offensive rebound62
72
Q3 - 3:14MagicIgnas Brazdeikis misses three point jump shot62
72
Q3 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot62
72
Q3 - 3:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
70
Q3 - 3:48MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot62
70
Q3 - 3:56MagicIgnas Brazdeikis defensive rebound62
70
Q3 - 3:59HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot62
70
Q3 - 4:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
70
Q3 - 4:22MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot62
70
Q3 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 262
70
Q3 - 4:36Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)62
69
Q3 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 262
69
Q3 - 4:36MagicIgnas Brazdeikis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
68
Q3 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:41MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving layup62
68
Q3 - 4:50MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
68
Q3 - 5:10MagicCole Anthony makes two point alley-oop layup (Gary Harris assists)62
68
Q3 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
68
Q3 - 5:42MagicCole Anthony makes three point running pullup jump shot (Gary Harris assists)60
66
Q3 - 5:44MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound57
66
Q3 - 5:47HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving floating jump shot57
66
Q3 - 6:06MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 257
66
Q3 - 6:06Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Ignas Brazdeikis, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris, Terrence Ross)56
66
Q3 - 6:06MagicCole Anthony misses regular free throw 1 of 256
66
Q3 - 6:06HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)56
66
Q3 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot56
66
Q3 - 6:41MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 2 of 256
64
Q3 - 6:41MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 1 of 255
64
Q3 - 6:41Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris)54
64
Q3 - 6:41Heat 60 second timeout54
64
Q3 - 6:41HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)54
64
Q3 - 6:56HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
64
Q3 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
62
Q3 - 7:06MagicMo Bamba misses two point hook shot54
62
Q3 - 7:06MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound54
62
Q3 - 7:10MagicCole Anthony misses two point jump shot54
62
Q3 - 7:17HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)54
62
Q3 - 7:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)54
62
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)54
62
Q3 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 7:55MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot54
60
Q3 - 8:04HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)54
60
Q3 - 8:14MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot54
60
Q3 - 8:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:26MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot54
60
Q3 - 8:39MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:42HeatKyle Lowry misses two point jump shot54
60
Q3 - 8:58HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 9:05MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot54
60
Q3 - 9:08MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 9:13HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
60
Q3 - 9:29MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)54
60
Q3 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Cole Anthony draws the foul)51
60
Q3 - 9:45MagicMagic defensive rebound51
60
Q3 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot51
60
Q3 - 9:57Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)51
60
Q3 - 9:57MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
60
Q3 - 10:00MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)51
60
Q3 - 10:07MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)51
60
Q3 - 10:34HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)48
60
Q3 - 10:49MagicMo Bamba personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
57
Q3 - 10:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound48
57
Q3 - 10:57HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot48
57
Q3 - 11:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)48
57
Q3 - 11:09MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)48
57
Q3 - 11:25MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound46
57
Q3 - 11:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
57
Q3 - 11:46MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot46
57
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)44
57
Q3 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs)44
57
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
57
Q2 - 0:03.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk44
57
Q2 - 0:04.7MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)44
55
Q2 - 0:15.9Stoppage (Out of bounds)44
55
Q2 - 0:15.9MagicMagic defensive rebound44
55
Q2 - 0:17.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot44
55
Q2 - 0:23.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
55
Q2 - 0:26.2HeatFranz Wagner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup44
55
Q2 - 0:35.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
55
Q2 - 0:39.7MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot44
55
Q2 - 0:58.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 244
55
Q2 - 0:58.5Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, P.J. Tucker)44
54
Q2 - 0:58.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
54
Q2 - 0:58.5MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
53
Q2 - 1:06MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving layup44
53
Q2 - 1:20MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound42
53
Q2 - 1:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot42
53
Q2 - 1:35MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 242
53
Q2 - 1:35Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)41
53
Q2 - 1:35Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs)41
53
Q2 - 1:35MagicFranz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 241
53
Q2 - 1:35HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)41
53
Q2 - 1:49HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup41
53
Q2 - 2:17MagicR.J. Hampton makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)41
51
Q2 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot38
51
Q2 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound38
49
Q2 - 2:54MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot38
49
Q2 - 2:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound38
49
Q2 - 2:59MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot38
49
Q2 - 3:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 238
49
Q2 - 3:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 238
48
Q2 - 3:08MagicR.J. Hampton personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
47
Q2 - 3:11MagicGary Harris personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)38
47
Q2 - 3:23MagicGary Harris makes two point floating jump shot38
47
Q2 - 3:31MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound36
47
Q2 - 3:35HeatWendell Carter Jr. blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup36
47
Q2 - 3:55Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Dewayne Dedmon, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)36
47
Q2 - 3:55Heat 60 second timeout36
47
Q2 - 3:56MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point running layup (Franz Wagner assists)36
47
Q2 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Franz Wagner steals)34
47
Q2 - 4:13MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)34
47
Q2 - 4:18MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound31
47
Q2 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup31
47
Q2 - 4:48MagicR.J. Hampton makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)31
47
Q2 - 5:04Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris, R.J. Hampton)28
47
Q2 - 5:04Magic 60 second timeout28
47
Q2 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)28
47
Q2 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
45
Q2 - 5:07MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving layup28
45
Q2 - 5:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)28
45
Q2 - 5:31MagicJalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot28
43
Q2 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)25
43
Q2 - 5:59MagicMo Bamba turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
41
Q2 - 6:16HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)25
41
Q2 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound25
39
Q2 - 6:21MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot25
39
Q2 - 6:36MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound25
39
Q2 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot25
39
Q2 - 6:48MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving hook shot25
39
Q2 - 7:09Magic 60 second timeout23
39
Q2 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)23
39
Q2 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound23
37
Q2 - 7:20MagicMarkieff Morris blocks Jalen Suggs's two point cutting layup23
37
Q2 - 7:23MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound23
37
Q2 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup23
37
Q2 - 7:31MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)23
37
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 223
37
Q2 - 7:49Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Markieff Morris)23
36
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 223
36
Q2 - 7:49MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
35
Q2 - 7:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
35
Q2 - 8:05MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)23
35
Q2 - 8:12HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Mo Bamba steals)23
35
Q2 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
35
Q2 - 8:28MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot23
35
Q2 - 8:44Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Gary Harris, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)23
35
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)23
35
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Off the ball) (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)23
35
Q2 - 8:55Magic delay of game violation23
35
Q2 - 8:55MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point running layup23
35
Q2 - 8:57MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound21
35
Q2 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup21
35
Q2 - 9:20MagicMo Bamba makes two point cutting layup (R.J. Hampton assists)21
35
Q2 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
35
Q2 - 9:38Stoppage (Court cleanup)19
34
Q2 - 9:38Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs, R.J. Hampton)19
34
Q2 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
34
Q2 - 9:38MagicFranz Wagner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
33
Q2 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
33
Q2 - 9:44MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot19
33
Q2 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
33
Q2 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
32
Q2 - 10:07MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
31
Q2 - 10:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)19
31
Q2 - 10:16HeatHeat defensive rebound19
31
Q2 - 10:19MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot19
31
Q2 - 10:23HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Cole Anthony steals)19
31
Q2 - 10:28Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Markieff Morris)19
31
Q2 - 10:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)19
31
Q2 - 10:45MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving dunk (Cole Anthony assists)19
31
Q2 - 10:58HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point pullup jump shot17
31
Q2 - 11:11MagicTerrence Ross turnover (offensive foul)17
29
Q2 - 11:11MagicTerrence Ross offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)17
29
Q2 - 11:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving hook shot17
29
Q2 - 11:26HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound17
27
Q2 - 11:31HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot17
27
Q2 - 11:46MagicMo Bamba makes two point cutting layup (Terrence Ross assists)17
27
Q2 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Terrence Ross, R.J. Hampton)15
27
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.15
27
Q1 - 0:00.1MagicMagic offensive rebound15
27
Q1 - 0:00.2MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point running jump shot15
27
Q1 - 0:04.2MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound15
27
Q1 - 0:04.2HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot15
27
Q1 - 0:17.0MagicTerrence Ross turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)15
27
Q1 - 0:17.0Jump ball. Dewayne Dedmon vs. Moritz Wagner (Max Strus gains possession)15
27
Q1 - 0:19.3HeatDewayne Dedmon technical foul (Double)15
27
Q1 - 0:19.3MagicMoritz Wagner technical foul (Double)15
27
Q1 - 0:31.7HeatMarkieff Morris personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)15
27
Q1 - 0:36.8HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)15
27
Q1 - 0:40.7MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)15
25
Q1 - 0:46.4HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound15
25
Q1 - 0:50.5MagicCole Anthony misses two point pullup jump shot15
25
Q1 - 0:57.8HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)15
25
Q1 - 1:07HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound15
23
Q1 - 1:08MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot15
23
Q1 - 1:27HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)15
23
Q1 - 1:46MagicRobin Lopez makes two point driving hook shot15
21
Q1 - 1:54MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound13
21
Q1 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot13
21
Q1 - 2:14MagicRobin Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 213
21
Q1 - 2:14Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Markieff Morris)12
21
Q1 - 2:14Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Robin Lopez, Terrence Ross, R.J. Hampton)12
21
Q1 - 2:14MagicRobin Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 212
21
Q1 - 2:14HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)11
21
Q1 - 2:15MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound11
21
Q1 - 2:19HeatMoritz Wagner blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup11
21
Q1 - 2:37MagicRobin Lopez makes two point driving dunk (Cole Anthony assists)11
21
Q1 - 2:52HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)9
21
Q1 - 3:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
19
Q1 - 3:17MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot9
19
Q1 - 3:30Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Markieff Morris)9
19
Q1 - 3:30Magic 60 second timeout9
19
Q1 - 3:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk9
19
Q1 - 3:33MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)9
17
Q1 - 3:35Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, P.J. Tucker, Max Strus)9
17
Q1 - 3:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
17
Q1 - 3:35MagicMagic offensive rebound9
17
Q1 - 3:35MagicDewayne Dedmon blocks Gary Harris's two point hook shot9
17
Q1 - 3:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)9
17
Q1 - 4:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
15
Q1 - 4:08MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot9
15
Q1 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot9
15
Q1 - 4:33Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Robin Lopez, Gary Harris, Terrence Ross)9
13
Q1 - 4:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)9
13
Q1 - 4:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)9
13
Q1 - 4:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
13
Q1 - 4:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
13
Q1 - 4:44Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Dewayne Dedmon, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)9
13
Q1 - 4:44MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
13
Q1 - 4:44HeatHeat offensive rebound9
13
Q1 - 4:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
13
Q1 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
13
Q1 - 5:04MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot9
13
Q1 - 5:14HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)9
13
Q1 - 5:14HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Suggs steals)9
13
Q1 - 5:30Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris, Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs)9
13
Q1 - 5:30Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)9
13
Q1 - 5:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
13
Q1 - 5:30MagicJalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds lost ball)9
13
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot9
13
Q1 - 6:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point dunk9
11
Q1 - 6:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound7
11
Q1 - 6:09MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot7
11
Q1 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)7
11
Q1 - 6:36MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)7
9
Q1 - 6:36MagicMagic offensive rebound7
9
Q1 - 6:37MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot7
9
Q1 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)7
9
Q1 - 6:50MagicMagic offensive rebound7
9
Q1 - 6:51MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot7
9
Q1 - 7:05Magic lineup change (Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris, Terrence Ross, Jalen Suggs)7
9
Q1 - 7:05Magic 60 second timeout7
9
Q1 - 7:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)7
9
Q1 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
6
Q1 - 7:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot7
6
Q1 - 7:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)7
6
Q1 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 7:42MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving floating jump shot7
4
Q1 - 7:45MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup7
4
Q1 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 8:07MagicCole Anthony misses three point stepback jump shot7
4
Q1 - 8:21MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 8:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot7
4
Q1 - 8:31MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)7
4
Q1 - 8:41Stoppage (Out of bounds)7
4
Q1 - 8:41MagicMagic defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 8:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot7
4
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 8:45HeatMo Bamba blocks P.J. Tucker's two point cutting layup7
4
Q1 - 9:07MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)7
4
Q1 - 9:11HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cole Anthony steals)4
4
Q1 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:30MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot4
4
Q1 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)4
4
Q1 - 9:45MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
2
Q1 - 9:55MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot4
2
Q1 - 10:13MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:25Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
2
Q1 - 10:25HeatHeat defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:26MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:40MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:40HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:56MagicCole Anthony makes two point pullup jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:03MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - 11:17HeatHeat defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:18MagicJalen Suggs misses two point turnaround hook shot0
2
Q1 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)0
2
Q1 - 12:00Mo Bamba vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs)0
0
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.9%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
20
70%
MIA
16
26
62%
Midrange
ORL
7
17
41%
MIA
19
34
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
44
27%
41%
MIA
6
9.0
27
22%
33%
Free Throws
ORL
12
19
63%
MIA
19
19
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Suggs1558%7.5 / 13
F. Wagner1554%7.5 / 14
C. Anthony1243%6.0 / 14
R. Hampton1260%6.0 / 10
M. Bamba1161%5.5 / 9
R. Lopez1192%5.5 / 6
W. Carter956%4.5 / 8
M. Wagner350%1.5 / 3
G. Harris233%1.0 / 3
T. Ross0-0.0 / 7
I. Brazdeikis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3675%18.0 / 24
B. Adebayo1662%8.0 / 13
M. Morris1673%8.0 / 11
T. Herro1350%6.5 / 13
D. Robinson1045%5.0 / 11
K. Lowry941%4.5 / 11
M. Strus542%2.5 / 6
D. Dedmon233%1.0 / 3
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+13
-16
96
MIA
87
+10
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.9%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.3
113.3
ORL 90.9 +19.4
MIA 110.3
Pace
99.4
96.2
ORL 97.5
MIA 98.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
ORL 14.8
MIA 14.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
54.7%
ORL 48.1%
MIA 50.6% +2.5%
TO %
13.8%
14.2%
ORL 16.8%
MIA 10.3% +6.5%
ORB %
19.9%
23.5%
ORL 15.4%
MIA 21.4% +6.0%
FTrt
22.3
25.2
ORL 23.5 +1.7
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
64.4%
ORL 63.6%
MIA 68.3% +4.7%
STL %
6.8%
7.6%
ORL 7.1%
MIA 10.3% +3.2%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
ORL 10.0% +4.6%
MIA 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
56.8%
ORL 46.9%
MIA 55.2% +8.3%
Rim FG%
59.8%
63.4%
ORL 70.0% +8.5%
MIA 61.5%
Mid FG%
37.5%
41.4%
ORL 41.2%
MIA 55.9% +14.7%
3P %
33.1%
37.9%
ORL 27.3% +5.1%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
78.7%
80.8%
ORL 63.2%
MIA 100.0% +36.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
30.6%
ORL 24.7%
MIA 29.9% +5.2%
Mid Att. %
23.7%
27.1%
ORL 21.0% +18.1%
MIA 39.1%
3P Att. %
41.7%
42.2%
ORL 54.3% +23.3%
MIA 31.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points90107
Rebounds3942
Assists2128
Steals710
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)10 (1)
Fouls2219
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (7)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)33 (5)
Field Goals33-8141-87
At-the-Rim FG14-2016-26
Midrange FG7-1719-34
2-Point FG21-3735-60
3-Point FG12-446-27
Free Throws12-1919-19
Fast Break Pts1021
2nd Chance Pts516
Points in Paint4050
Pts off Turnovers620
Bench Points2836
Biggest Lead322

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#50 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21
32.0
12
43%
9
5
2
0
3
0
0
9
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
#5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 23
28.2
11
61%
5
0
2
1
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 20
27.9
15
58%
4
2
1
0
5
5
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
#34 · SF · 6'10" 270 · 23
27.8
9
56%
9
1
0
1
2
2
3
6
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20
26.9
15
54%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
2-7
29%
#13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 21
25.7
12
60%
6
4
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 31
21.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-6
0%
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
18.9
2
33%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24
11.4
3
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#33 · C · 7'0" 277 · 34
10.5
11
92%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 23
9.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 33
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
#1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Bone Bruise
#7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Injury Recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
39
21
7
6
16
22
6
33
12-19
63%
21-37
57%
12-44
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.