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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 4, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics33%10695
7Heat67%11378
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.7
30
33
9
4
2
1
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
29
28
10
7
1
0
1
2
0
2
5
2-3
67%
1-2
3-7
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
29
35
10
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
2-3
67%
1-8
6-14
13%
47%
2-5
40%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.0
29
33
17
5
2
1
1
1
2
0
5
4-5
80%
2-9
5-11
22%
51%
3-5
60%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.0
24
28
4
10
1
2
1
0
2
5
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-6
67%
65%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 28.1
30
27
14
5
6
2
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
27
15
12
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
2-5
40%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
18
3
13
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.9
12
13
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-3
33%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
3
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 23.2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.6
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Enes Freedom
C · 6'11" 245 · 29.5
3
0
0-1
55%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
Brodric Thomas
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.1
38
32
20
4
2
1
2
0
2
3
1
4-8
50%
8-14
6-12
57%
52%
0-4
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
36
26
16
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
62%
5-17
29%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 36.5
32
26
3
7
3
1
1
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.3
30
32
13
7
4
2
1
0
5
1
6
5-6
83%
4-8
7-13
50%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 35.6
28
31
6
7
5
3
1
0
6
0
7
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
2-7
29%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 21.8
29
32
6
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
51%
0-4
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
19
16
9
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.2
11
14
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
9
15
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
4
4
0
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.5
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
Marcus Garrett
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.