Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
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FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Spurs59%11194
29Thunder41%10899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 22.1
37.8
29.6
22
62%
6
1
2
1
1
1
0
6
4-4
100%
9-15
6-11
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 25.1
35.5
33.4
10
26%
8
9
3
2
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
5-15
6-12
33%
49%
0-4
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.4
26.6
31.9
0
0%
3
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
52%
0-4
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
22.2
16.8
14
88%
11
2
0
0
3
2
2
9
0-0
-
7-8
2-4
88%
55%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 29.8
18.9
23.9
10
46%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
2-5
3-4
40%
59%
2-5
40%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.9
27.1
20.4
15
50%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-10
30%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.4
25.4
19.7
10
92%
8
3
1
1
1
2
4
4
0-1
0%
5-5
4-7
100%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.2
24.8
26.2
6
25%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
0-5
0%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
8.0
6.5
2
33%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
7.0
10.6
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.8
6.8
13.7
2
100%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 26.1
25.6
1
5-8
62%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 24.0
8.5
0
1-2
51%
Joe Wieskamp
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 25.1
1.4
0
0-0
49%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Joshua Primo
G · 6'4" 189 · 18.9
1.1
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.3
35.9
35.9
14
40%
8
9
1
1
1
3
0
8
3-3
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
53%
1-6
17%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.6
34.6
27.2
13
44%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
46%
1-7
14%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.4
32.3
25.7
11
56%
11
4
1
1
1
2
3
8
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.1
27.2
30.2
7
35%
7
4
0
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.0
23.6
14.4
13
72%
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
20.5
24.8
7
40%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
0-2
0%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 19.9
18.4
12.6
3
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
14.2
12.8
20
100%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
7-9
78%
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
3-4
75%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.3
13.8
16.1
9
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
1-5
20%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.3
12.4
21.3
2
17%
5
1
2
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
61%
0-0
-
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.4
7.0
11.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.4
0.1
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 20.8
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
4.0
0
1-1
53%
Gabriel Deck
F · 6'6" 231 · 26.7
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.