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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 10, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder39%105108
21Pelicans61%110100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.3
36
35
24
7
5
1
1
2
5
0
7
8-11
73%
5-12
6-11
42%
53%
2-7
29%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.6
34
31
27
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
9-10
90%
6-6
3-6
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.4
34
29
14
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.1
31
28
7
12
9
1
1
0
5
5
7
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.3
21
16
9
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
21
22
4
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 19.9
20
16
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 20.8
14
6
6
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
13
14
12
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
3-3
100%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.0
11
19
2
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.3
3
15
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Gabriel Deck
F · 6'6" 231 · 26.8
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.4
9
0
1-1
42%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
3
0
0-1
53%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.4
1
0
0-0
50%
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
39
32
25
15
2
1
1
1
0
3
12
6-7
86%
8-17
7-11
47%
60%
1-3
33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.2
34
33
33
10
4
2
1
1
0
3
7
9-11
82%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
4-10
40%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
34
31
18
2
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
1-3
33%
4-9
2-4
44%
42%
3-9
33%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 35.5
29
27
3
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-4
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
15
32
4
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.1
32
11
4
6
4
2
0
1
3
4
2
2-3
67%
1-6
1-2
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.0
19
15
1
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-3
0%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 21.4
16
15
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 20.6
13
12
2
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
9
10
5
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
16
1
1-3
47%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
3
0
1-1
56%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 24.2
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 21.3
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 23.6
Didi Louzada
G · 6'5" 188 · 22.4
Daulton Hommes
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.