Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies51%111101
24Pelicans49%110112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.3
37.2
33.1
22
60%
9
10
1
1
0
1
2
7
3-3
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
52%
3-5
60%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
36.6
22.7
15
68%
9
4
2
1
3
1
4
5
5-7
71%
5-8
3-5
63%
60%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
31.4
25.0
14
64%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
54%
2-5
40%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
30.7
26.8
23
57%
5
0
0
1
0
3
2
3
5-5
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 22.2
22.1
27.1
4
20%
3
0
2
1
2
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
0-3
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.1
24.3
21.4
13
66%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
1-3
33%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.5
18.7
23.8
4
33%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 20.2
16.6
13.6
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 25.1
11.5
16.4
2
50%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.5
10.8
15.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
18.5
1
1-2
57%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.8
8.8
0
1-2
58%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.5
6.1
0
0-1
48%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 20.8
4.3
0
1-1
52%
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.7
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.7
Yves Pons
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
33.9
31.9
15
107%
9
3
1
1
2
3
0
9
0-0
-
3-4
7-12
75%
59%
3-3
100%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
32.6
30.0
5
50%
3
11
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
58%
1-1
100%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
30.4
30.7
15
52%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
42%
0-4
0%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 24.2
29.4
13.5
19
51%
3
4
0
0
1
4
0
3
4-4
100%
6-13
3-5
46%
51%
1-4
25%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.2
25.7
29.4
21
63%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
5-8
4-7
63%
49%
2-6
33%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.1
29.4
21.6
17
72%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
3-4
75%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.0
17.6
16.1
5
43%
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 35.5
17.0
30.4
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
14.1
13.6
3
52%
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-2
3-4
50%
62%
0-0
-
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 21.4
10.0
16.6
8
103%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-3
67%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 20.6
9.2
0
1-2
45%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
7.1
0
1-1
47%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
2.1
0
0-1
56%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 23.6
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Didi Louzada
G · 6'5" 188 · 22.4
Daulton Hommes
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.