FinalWin Prob.pScore
2073%112
103
3027%103
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.09998.5
OKC logo OKC
91.89899.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
90
Q4 - 0:12.5ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds step)103
90
Q4 - 0:21.2HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (traveling)103
90
Q4 - 0:41.1ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)103
90
Q4 - 0:49.0HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)103
87
Q4 - 0:57.1HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound103
87
Q4 - 1:00ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot103
87
Q4 - 1:05Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Josh Giddey, Tre Mann, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Aaron Wiggins)103
87
Q4 - 1:05Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, KZ Okpala, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent)103
87
Q4 - 1:05Thunder 60 second timeout103
87
Q4 - 1:05HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)103
87
Q4 - 1:12ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)101
87
Q4 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)101
87
Q4 - 1:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)98
87
Q4 - 1:24Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)98
87
Q4 - 1:24Heat challenge timeout98
87
Q4 - 1:36HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound98
87
Q4 - 1:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot98
87
Q4 - 2:00HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)98
87
Q4 - 2:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)95
87
Q4 - 2:07HeatHeat offensive rebound95
87
Q4 - 2:09HeatKyle Lowry misses two point layup95
87
Q4 - 2:36ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving layup95
87
Q4 - 2:52ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound95
85
Q4 - 2:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot95
85
Q4 - 3:06HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound95
85
Q4 - 3:08ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving layup95
85
Q4 - 3:21ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound95
85
Q4 - 3:25HeatDarius Bazley blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup95
85
Q4 - 3:34Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)95
85
Q4 - 3:34Heat 60 second timeout95
85
Q4 - 3:39HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound95
85
Q4 - 3:43ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot95
85
Q4 - 3:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)95
85
Q4 - 3:51ThunderThunder defensive rebound95
85
Q4 - 3:54HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot95
85
Q4 - 4:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)95
85
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 295
85
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 295
84
Q4 - 4:26Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Darius Bazley)95
83
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 195
83
Q4 - 4:26HeatKZ Okpala technical foul95
82
Q4 - 4:26HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)95
82
Q4 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Darius Bazley steals)95
82
Q4 - 4:45ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup95
82
Q4 - 4:54ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound95
80
Q4 - 4:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot95
80
Q4 - 5:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
80
Q4 - 5:10ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot95
80
Q4 - 5:20HeatKZ Okpala makes two point tip layup95
80
Q4 - 5:20HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound93
80
Q4 - 5:25HeatKZ Okpala misses two point layup93
80
Q4 - 5:39ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 293
80
Q4 - 5:39Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)93
79
Q4 - 5:39Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent, P.J. Tucker)93
79
Q4 - 5:39ThunderDarius Bazley misses regular free throw 1 of 293
79
Q4 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)93
79
Q4 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)93
79
Q4 - 5:57Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)93
79
Q4 - 5:57Heat 60 second timeout93
79
Q4 - 5:59ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)93
79
Q4 - 6:07HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup93
76
Q4 - 6:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)91
76
Q4 - 6:19HeatMax Strus personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)91
76
Q4 - 6:34HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)91
76
Q4 - 6:34HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)91
76
Q4 - 6:46ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point layup91
76
Q4 - 6:48ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound91
74
Q4 - 6:51ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot91
74
Q4 - 6:59Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Darius Bazley)91
74
Q4 - 6:59ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 191
74
Q4 - 6:59Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)91
73
Q4 - 7:12HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)91
73
Q4 - 7:20ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)89
73
Q4 - 7:27ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (traveling)89
73
Q4 - 7:45HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)89
73
Q4 - 7:52ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)86
73
Q4 - 8:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)86
73
Q4 - 8:06HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)86
73
Q4 - 8:14Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Mike Muscala)86
73
Q4 - 8:14Thunder 60 second timeout86
73
Q4 - 8:15HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot86
73
Q4 - 8:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
73
Q4 - 8:21ThunderKenrich Williams misses two point layup83
73
Q4 - 8:30Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Mike Muscala, Aaron Wiggins)83
73
Q4 - 8:30HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)83
73
Q4 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot83
73
Q4 - 9:07ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)81
73
Q4 - 9:16HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)81
71
Q4 - 9:27HeatMax Strus defensive rebound81
71
Q4 - 9:30ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot81
71
Q4 - 9:42ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound81
71
Q4 - 9:45HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot81
71
Q4 - 10:07ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)81
71
Q4 - 10:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot81
69
Q4 - 10:45ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)78
69
Q4 - 10:45ThunderAaron Wiggins offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)78
69
Q4 - 10:58HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot78
69
Q4 - 11:03Aaron Wiggins kicked ball violation76
69
Q4 - 11:03Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
69
Q4 - 11:16ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point pullup jump shot76
69
Q4 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot76
67
Q4 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Roby, Aaron Wiggins)74
67
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)74
67
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
67
Q3 - 0:01.5ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)74
67
Q3 - 0:20.6ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound74
64
Q3 - 0:24.7HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot74
64
Q3 - 0:30.0HeatMax Strus defensive rebound74
64
Q3 - 0:31.5ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup74
64
Q3 - 0:43.6HeatKZ Okpala makes two point putback dunk74
64
Q3 - 0:43.6HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound72
64
Q3 - 0:45.9HeatIsaiah Roby blocks Max Strus's two point jump shot72
64
Q3 - 1:00Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)72
64
Q3 - 1:00Heat 60 second timeout72
64
Q3 - 1:02ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point running dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)72
64
Q3 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)72
62
Q3 - 1:21ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point running layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)72
62
Q3 - 1:26ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound72
60
Q3 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
60
Q3 - 1:49ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)72
60
Q3 - 2:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point floating jump shot72
58
Q3 - 2:35ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point running dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)70
58
Q3 - 2:38ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound70
56
Q3 - 2:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot70
56
Q3 - 2:45HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound70
56
Q3 - 2:48ThunderAaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot70
56
Q3 - 3:10HeatMax Strus makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)70
56
Q3 - 3:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
56
Q3 - 3:24HeatHeat defensive rebound68
56
Q3 - 3:27ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot68
56
Q3 - 3:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound68
56
Q3 - 3:34HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot68
56
Q3 - 3:46HeatMax Strus defensive rebound68
56
Q3 - 3:51ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot68
56
Q3 - 4:02Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Roby, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)68
56
Q3 - 4:02Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker)68
56
Q3 - 4:02Thunder 60 second timeout68
56
Q3 - 4:02HeatKZ Okpala makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)68
56
Q3 - 4:17ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)66
56
Q3 - 4:21ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound66
56
Q3 - 4:24ThunderP.J. Tucker blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point floating jump shot66
56
Q3 - 4:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
56
Q3 - 5:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
56
Q3 - 5:03ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot64
56
Q3 - 5:17ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound64
56
Q3 - 5:20HeatJosh Giddey blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup64
56
Q3 - 5:39ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)64
56
Q3 - 5:54Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Isaiah Roby, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)64
56
Q3 - 5:54Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)64
56
Q3 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Take) (Josh Giddey draws the foul)64
56
Q3 - 5:56HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)64
56
Q3 - 6:08ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point tip layup64
56
Q3 - 6:08ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound64
54
Q3 - 6:14ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot64
54
Q3 - 6:35HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
54
Q3 - 6:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound61
54
Q3 - 6:37ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point tip layup61
54
Q3 - 6:37ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound61
54
Q3 - 6:45ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point layup61
54
Q3 - 6:52ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound61
54
Q3 - 6:55HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot61
54
Q3 - 7:04HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound61
54
Q3 - 7:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot61
54
Q3 - 7:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
54
Q3 - 7:14ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point layup61
54
Q3 - 7:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)61
54
Q3 - 7:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
54
Q3 - 7:33ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point running layup59
54
Q3 - 7:41ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound59
54
Q3 - 7:41HeatDarius Bazley blocks Duncan Robinson's three point pullup jump shot59
54
Q3 - 7:46HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound59
54
Q3 - 7:49HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot59
54
Q3 - 8:17ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)59
54
Q3 - 8:27HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)59
51
Q3 - 8:54ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)57
51
Q3 - 9:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)57
48
Q3 - 9:15ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)54
48
Q3 - 9:30Thunder 60 second timeout54
48
Q3 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)54
48
Q3 - 9:40ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Take) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)51
48
Q3 - 9:43ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)51
48
Q3 - 9:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)51
48
Q3 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 351
48
Q3 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 350
48
Q3 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 349
48
Q3 - 9:58ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)48
48
Q3 - 10:11ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)48
48
Q3 - 10:27HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
45
Q3 - 10:42ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (offensive foul)46
45
Q3 - 10:42ThunderJosh Giddey offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)46
45
Q3 - 10:58ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound46
45
Q3 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot46
45
Q3 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
45
Q3 - 11:10ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup46
45
Q3 - 11:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
45
Q3 - 11:44ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point cutting layup (Darius Bazley assists)43
45
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
43
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatKyle Lowry makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
43
Q2 - 0:22.8HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
43
Q2 - 0:26.5ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot41
43
Q2 - 0:34.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)41
43
Q2 - 0:34.0HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound41
43
Q2 - 0:35.1HeatKyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot41
43
Q2 - 0:58.1ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)41
43
Q2 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 241
41
Q2 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 240
41
Q2 - 1:07ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)39
41
Q2 - 1:15Heat 60 second timeout39
41
Q2 - 1:15ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)39
41
Q2 - 1:31HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
39
Q2 - 1:55ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)36
39
Q2 - 1:59ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound36
36
Q2 - 2:03HeatDarius Bazley blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot36
36
Q2 - 2:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound36
36
Q2 - 2:20ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot36
36
Q2 - 2:22ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound36
36
Q2 - 2:25HeatJosh Giddey blocks P.J. Tucker's two point layup36
36
Q2 - 2:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)36
36
Q2 - 2:53ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound36
33
Q2 - 2:56HeatDarius Bazley blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point cutting layup36
33
Q2 - 3:13Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)36
33
Q2 - 3:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)36
33
Q2 - 3:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)36
33
Q2 - 3:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound36
33
Q2 - 3:26HeatKZ Okpala misses two point putback layup36
33
Q2 - 3:28HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound36
33
Q2 - 3:29HeatKZ Okpala misses two point driving layup36
33
Q2 - 3:38ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)36
33
Q2 - 4:00HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)36
30
Q2 - 4:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound36
30
Q2 - 4:17ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point turnaround jump shot36
30
Q2 - 4:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)36
30
Q2 - 4:38HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound34
30
Q2 - 4:41ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot34
30
Q2 - 5:01HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)34
30
Q2 - 5:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)31
30
Q2 - 5:11HeatHeat offensive rebound31
30
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
30
Q2 - 5:21ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl turnover (lost ball) (KZ Okpala steals)31
30
Q2 - 5:21Jump ball. KZ Okpala vs. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (P.J. Tucker gains possession)31
30
Q2 - 5:26ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound31
30
Q2 - 5:29HeatJeremiah Robinson-Earl blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup31
30
Q2 - 5:38HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound31
30
Q2 - 5:42ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving dunk31
30
Q2 - 5:52Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Darius Bazley)31
30
Q2 - 5:52HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)31
30
Q2 - 5:52HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)31
30
Q2 - 6:02ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
30
Q2 - 6:13HeatKZ Okpala makes regular free throw 2 of 231
30
Q2 - 6:13Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Mike Muscala, Darius Bazley)30
30
Q2 - 6:13HeatKZ Okpala makes regular free throw 1 of 230
30
Q2 - 6:13ThunderTre Mann shooting foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)29
30
Q2 - 6:14ThunderMike Muscala turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)29
30
Q2 - 6:31HeatGabe Vincent makes two point putback layup29
30
Q2 - 6:31HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound27
30
Q2 - 6:36HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot27
30
Q2 - 6:41Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent, P.J. Tucker)27
30
Q2 - 6:41ThunderTre Mann personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)27
30
Q2 - 6:56ThunderTy Jerome makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)27
30
Q2 - 7:00ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot27
27
Q2 - 7:06HeatMax Strus offensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 7:09HeatMax Strus misses two point floating jump shot27
27
Q2 - 7:30HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 7:34ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot27
27
Q2 - 7:40Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent)27
27
Q2 - 7:40Thunder 60 second timeout27
27
Q2 - 7:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
27
Q2 - 7:46ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 7:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot27
27
Q2 - 8:04ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (offensive foul)27
27
Q2 - 8:04ThunderKenrich Williams offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)27
27
Q2 - 8:07ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot27
27
Q2 - 8:20ThunderMike Muscala personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
27
Q2 - 8:23Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Tre Mann, Mike Muscala)27
27
Q2 - 8:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
27
Q2 - 8:23HeatHeat offensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 8:23HeatTy Jerome blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup27
27
Q2 - 8:37HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 8:39ThunderTre Mann misses two point cutting layup27
27
Q2 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
27
Q2 - 9:13Heat lineup change (KZ Okpala, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)27
27
Q2 - 9:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
27
Q2 - 9:13HeatHeat defensive rebound27
27
Q2 - 9:15ThunderTre Mann misses three point jump shot27
27
Q2 - 9:31HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 227
27
Q2 - 9:31HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 226
27
Q2 - 9:31ThunderTre Mann shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)26
27
Q2 - 9:47ThunderMike Muscala makes two point layup (Kenrich Williams assists)26
27
Q2 - 9:58ThunderTre Mann offensive rebound26
25
Q2 - 10:03ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot26
25
Q2 - 10:15ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound26
25
Q2 - 10:16HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot26
25
Q2 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound26
25
Q2 - 10:30ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot26
25
Q2 - 10:44HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)26
25
Q2 - 10:55ThunderKenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 223
25
Q2 - 10:55ThunderKenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 223
24
Q2 - 10:55HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)23
24
Q2 - 10:56ThunderMike Muscala offensive rebound23
24
Q2 - 10:59ThunderAaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot23
24
Q2 - 11:06ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound23
24
Q2 - 11:08HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot23
24
Q2 - 11:27ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
24
Q2 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)23
24
Q2 - 11:42HeatMax Strus defensive rebound23
24
Q2 - 11:44ThunderTre Mann misses two point floating jump shot23
24
Q2 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Tre Mann, Mike Muscala, Aaron Wiggins)23
24
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
24
Q1 - 0:10.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound23
24
Q1 - 0:14.3ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot23
24
Q1 - 0:22.6ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound23
24
Q1 - 0:25.9ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot23
24
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)23
24
Q1 - 0:40.0ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)20
24
Q1 - 0:45.4HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 220
24
Q1 - 0:45.0Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Mike Muscala, Aaron Wiggins)19
24
Q1 - 0:45.4HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 219
24
Q1 - 0:45.4ThunderAleksej Pokusevski shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)18
24
Q1 - 0:59.1ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)18
24
Q1 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot18
21
Q1 - 1:26HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound15
21
Q1 - 1:32ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point turnaround jump shot15
21
Q1 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 215
21
Q1 - 1:55Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Roby, Aaron Wiggins)14
21
Q1 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 214
21
Q1 - 1:55ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)14
21
Q1 - 2:10ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
21
Q1 - 2:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)14
21
Q1 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound14
21
Q1 - 2:27ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot14
21
Q1 - 2:28ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound14
21
Q1 - 2:31ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup14
21
Q1 - 2:41Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Ty Jerome, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)14
21
Q1 - 2:41Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)14
21
Q1 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)14
21
Q1 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)14
21
Q1 - 2:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound14
21
Q1 - 2:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot14
21
Q1 - 3:12Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)14
21
Q1 - 3:12HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)14
21
Q1 - 3:12HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive foul (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl draws the foul)14
21
Q1 - 3:29Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)14
21
Q1 - 3:29Heat 60 second timeout14
21
Q1 - 3:30ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)14
21
Q1 - 3:36ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound14
18
Q1 - 3:40HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot14
18
Q1 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 214
18
Q1 - 3:48Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Aaron Wiggins)14
17
Q1 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 214
17
Q1 - 3:48HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)14
17
Q1 - 4:12HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)14
17
Q1 - 4:12HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl draws the foul)14
17
Q1 - 4:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup14
17
Q1 - 4:36ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound14
15
Q1 - 4:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
15
Q1 - 4:44ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point layup (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl assists)14
15
Q1 - 4:49ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound14
13
Q1 - 4:52HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot14
13
Q1 - 5:04ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)14
13
Q1 - 5:15Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Aaron Wiggins)14
10
Q1 - 5:15Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker)14
10
Q1 - 5:15HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
10
Q1 - 5:30ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot14
10
Q1 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
8
Q1 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound14
8
Q1 - 5:49ThunderOmer Yurtseven blocks Darius Bazley's two point layup14
8
Q1 - 6:10HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot14
8
Q1 - 6:19HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
8
Q1 - 6:23ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot12
8
Q1 - 6:45Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)12
8
Q1 - 6:45Thunder 60 second timeout12
8
Q1 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)12
8
Q1 - 6:56ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)9
8
Q1 - 7:00ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 7:05HeatDarius Bazley blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot9
5
Q1 - 7:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 7:15ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point driving layup9
5
Q1 - 7:21ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup9
5
Q1 - 7:43HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 7:45ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point stepback jump shot9
5
Q1 - 7:54ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 7:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot9
5
Q1 - 8:11HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 8:15ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot9
5
Q1 - 8:26ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - 8:29HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot9
5
Q1 - 8:37ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)9
5
Q1 - 8:48HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)9
5
Q1 - 8:54HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound6
5
Q1 - 8:57ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot6
5
Q1 - 9:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
5
Q1 - 9:02ThunderThunder offensive rebound6
5
Q1 - 9:03ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point putback layup6
5
Q1 - 9:03ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound6
5
Q1 - 9:05ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Darius Bazley's two point layup6
5
Q1 - 9:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)6
5
Q1 - 9:25ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl assists)3
5
Q1 - 9:33ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 9:36HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point cutting layup3
2
Q1 - 9:54HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 9:59ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:29ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point running dunk0
2
Q1 - 10:31ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 10:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:10ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:12HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point turnaround hook shot0
0
Q1 - 11:23HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:27ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:37ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Dewayne Dedmon vs. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Darius Bazley)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)0
0
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
OKC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
20
60%
OKC
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
OKC
5
14
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
40
45%
68%
OKC
15
22.5
41
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
11
13
85%
OKC
7
10
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2668%13.0 / 19
D. Robinson2170%10.5 / 15
M. Strus1365%6.5 / 10
K. Lowry1155%5.5 / 10
D. Dedmon857%4.0 / 7
K. Okpala840%4.0 / 10
P. Tucker650%3.0 / 6
G. Vincent550%2.5 / 5
C. Martin550%2.5 / 5
O. Yurtseven0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dort2063%10.0 / 16
J. Robinson-Earl1673%8.0 / 11
A. Pokusevski1192%5.5 / 6
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1038%5.0 / 13
D. Bazley744%3.5 / 8
J. Giddey630%3.0 / 10
A. Wiggins675%3.0 / 4
K. Williams550%2.5 / 5
I. Roby467%2.0 / 3
T. Jerome338%1.5 / 4
M. Muscala225%1.0 / 4
T. Mann0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+11
-17
93
OKC
78
+10
-20
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
OKC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
104.1
MIA 104.0
OKC 91.8 +12.2
Pace
96.2
99.0
MIA 98.5
OKC 99.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.3
MIA 14.6
OKC 14.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
49.8%
MIA 56.1% +6.1%
OKC 50.0%
TO %
14.2%
13.3%
MIA 17.8% +0.8%
OKC 18.6%
ORB %
23.5%
21.8%
MIA 19.5%
OKC 19.6% +0.1%
FTrt
25.2
22.3
MIA 15.9 +3.9
OKC 12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
58.0%
MIA 59.5%
OKC 76.5% +17.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
MIA 11.1% +5.0%
OKC 6.1%
BLK %
7.1%
8.9%
MIA 11.9%
OKC 23.8% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.43 and 2.43.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
51.7%
MIA 55.4% +4.3%
OKC 51.1%
Rim FG%
63.4%
57.2%
MIA 60.0% +10.0%
OKC 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.8%
MIA 31.8%
OKC 35.7% +3.9%
3P %
37.9%
32.3%
MIA 45.0% +8.4%
OKC 36.6%
FT %
80.8%
75.5%
MIA 84.6% +14.6%
OKC 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
35.1%
MIA 24.4%
OKC 33.7% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
22.9%
MIA 26.8%
OKC 16.9% +10.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
42.0%
MIA 48.8%
OKC 49.4% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points10390
Rebounds4542
Assists2226
Steals116
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)20 (0)
Fouls1315
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals37-8234-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2014-28
Midrange FG7-225-14
2-Point FG19-4219-42
3-Point FG18-4015-41
Free Throws11-137-10
Fast Break Pts1310
2nd Chance Pts127
Points in Paint2830
Pts off Turnovers3119
Bench Points3131
Biggest Lead187

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
36.9
26
68%
7
6
2
0
6
2
0
7
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
5-8
63%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
32.9
11
55%
3
11
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
31.6
21
70%
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
30.8
6
50%
6
0
3
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
29.4
8
57%
7
0
1
3
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
22.0
13
65%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
19.9
5
50%
4
3
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
16.9
5
50%
2
0
2
0
2
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
15.1
8
40%
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 23
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bruise
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Tendinitis
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Whiplash
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
45
22
11
5
17
13
8
37
11-13
85%
19-42
45%
18-40
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.