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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 9, 2021
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets48%110111
25Spurs52%111123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
35
35
25
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
7-8
88%
9-12
4-8
75%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.8
35
33
22
13
10
2
1
1
2
2
11
4-4
100%
6-11
8-14
55%
59%
2-8
25%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.9
34
35
19
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
3-7
43%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.5
32
32
13
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
53%
3-7
43%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.3
23
29
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
0-0
-
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.7
25
22
12
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.9
14
14
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.2
14
15
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
46%
1-4
25%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.5
14
11
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.5
12
14
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.8
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Petr Cornelie
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.7
3
0
0-0
51%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 22.1
2
0
0-0
54%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.8
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.4
P.J. Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.4
35
31
23
6
4
1
1
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
7-8
3-7
88%
52%
2-6
33%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 25.2
35
34
20
8
9
1
2
0
5
3
5
3-4
75%
4-8
6-13
50%
50%
3-8
38%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.9
31
11
7
9
2
2
0
0
2
3
6
0-2
0%
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 26.2
30
30
9
9
7
0
1
2
2
6
3
1-3
33%
4-7
5-9
57%
62%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 29.9
28
24
17
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
58%
3-7
43%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.0
26
20
21
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
3-5
60%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.3
17
18
9
5
0
1
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
17
10
14
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
56%
1-1
100%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
13
13
0
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.4
6
19
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.5
1
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Joshua Primo
G · 6'4" 189 · 19.0
1
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 25.2
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 22.2
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 24.1
Joe Wieskamp
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.