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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 28, 2021
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder42%111111
26Kings58%114117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.5
35
35
33
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
14-17
82%
8-19
7-13
42%
53%
1-5
20%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.7
33
32
19
8
1
1
1
0
3
1
7
7-7
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
2-7
29%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.0
26
22
14
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
2
3-4
75%
4-6
1-1
67%
58%
1-2
50%
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
22
3
5
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
22
3
8
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
0-1
33%
54%
1-1
100%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
28
20
7
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
1-4
25%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.5
22
11
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.5
15
10
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.5
14
11
8
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
56%
2-3
67%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
12
2
4
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Gabriel Deck
F · 6'6" 231 · 26.9
11
2
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Rob Edwards
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
22
1
2-4
47%
Scotty Hopson
G · 6'7" 204 · 32.4
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.2
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 20.9
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.1
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.5
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.0
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.5
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.0
35
30
12
5
8
1
1
1
3
0
5
4-7
57%
4-14
6-12
29%
54%
0-3
0%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
33
34
24
2
10
1
2
2
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
5-8
63%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
32
33
17
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
5-9
56%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 22.8
28
18
9
10
1
0
0
0
0
3
7
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
25
14
9
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-4
67%
64%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 28.0
25
30
21
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
3-7
43%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
23
19
9
14
0
0
1
2
1
4
10
5-7
71%
2-5
3-4
40%
66%
0-1
0%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
21
18
11
6
3
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
54%
3-5
60%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 24.8
17
24
5
8
1
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
19
1
1-2
59%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
15
0
3-5
54%
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
51%
Jahmi'us Ramsey
G · 6'4" 190 · 20.6
4
0
0-1
51%
Robert Woodard II
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.3
2
0
0-0
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
Ade Murkey
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 23.3
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 28.5
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.