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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 9, 2022
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets70%11299
30Thunder30%10495
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.9
33
33
22
18
6
1
1
0
2
8
10
5-5
100%
7-18
8-14
39%
61%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 31.0
30
33
14
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
2-6
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.5
26
30
8
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
24
30
4
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
55%
0-4
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.6
18
18
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.4
32
21
22
5
1
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
6-9
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.4
22
19
16
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-7
2-4
71%
57%
1-3
33%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.8
22
25
1
4
8
0
1
1
3
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.0
15
13
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.3
9
18
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.6
8
12
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Petr Cornelie
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
P.J. Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.2
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.9
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.8
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.5
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 22.1
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 24.0
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.9
Rayjon Tucker
G · 6'3" 209 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.2
32
30
11
7
8
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
3-5
60%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.5
31
32
8
5
4
1
1
2
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-11
6-11
18%
52%
0-3
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.7
28
30
14
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
5-6
83%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-9
11%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.2
26
24
12
4
2
3
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
2-6
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.5
16
8
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
60%
0-1
0%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.6
24
20
10
5
0
0
0
3
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
0-3
0%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 20.9
19
17
7
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.0
19
29
8
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
18
19
8
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.5
14
13
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.0
12
18
7
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.5
12
0
1-3
49%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.6
11
0
1-2
43%
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
7
0
0-0
49%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
50%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.