FinalWin Prob.pScore
440%108
109
260%111
98
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
114.79595.7
MIA logo MIA
104.39494.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
98
Q4 - 0:23.4HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)109
98
Q4 - 0:31.276ersTyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
95
Q4 - 0:31.276ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Tyrese Maxey, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)108
95
Q4 - 0:31.2HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)108
95
Q4 - 0:31.276ersTyrese Maxey makes three point pullup jump shot108
95
Q4 - 0:49.8HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
95
Q4 - 0:49.8HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
94
Q4 - 0:49.876ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)105
93
Q4 - 0:49.876ersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)105
93
Q4 - 1:0276ersJoel Embiid makes two point tip layup105
93
Q4 - 1:0276ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound103
93
Q4 - 1:0376ersSeth Curry misses two point pullup jump shot103
93
Q4 - 1:25HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup103
93
Q4 - 1:26HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound103
91
Q4 - 1:26HeatCaleb Martin misses two point cutting layup103
91
Q4 - 1:3376ersSeth Curry makes two point pullup jump shot103
91
Q4 - 1:4876ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound101
91
Q4 - 1:51HeatP.J. Tucker misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
91
Q4 - 1:51HeatP.J. Tucker misses regular free throw 1 of 2101
91
Q4 - 1:5176ersGeorges Niang personal foul (Loose ball) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)101
91
Q4 - 1:51HeatHeat offensive rebound101
91
Q4 - 1:53HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot101
91
Q4 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
91
Q4 - 2:0576ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
91
Q4 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
91
Q4 - 2:28Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)101
90
Q4 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
90
Q4 - 2:2876ersJoel Embiid personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)101
89
Q4 - 2:4976ersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Seth Curry assists)101
89
Q4 - 3:1276ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound98
89
Q4 - 3:14HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot98
89
Q4 - 3:2976ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Georges Niang assists)98
89
Q4 - 3:4276ers 60 second timeout96
89
Q4 - 3:4476ersTobias Harris defensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot96
89
Q4 - 3:53HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 3:5676ersGeorges Niang misses three point pullup jump shot96
89
Q4 - 4:0276ersTobias Harris defensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 4:06HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot96
89
Q4 - 4:2376ersTobias Harris turnover (out of bounds bad pass)96
89
Q4 - 4:3176ersSeth Curry defensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 4:34HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot96
89
Q4 - 4:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)96
89
Q4 - 4:5476ersGeorges Niang turnover (out of bounds lost ball)96
89
Q4 - 4:5576ersGeorges Niang offensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 4:5676ersSeth Curry misses two point pullup jump shot96
89
Q4 - 5:1176ersGeorges Niang defensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 296
89
Q4 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 296
89
Q4 - 5:1376ersJoel Embiid shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)96
88
Q4 - 5:1876ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 196
88
Q4 - 5:18Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)95
88
Q4 - 5:18HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)95
88
Q4 - 5:1876ersJoel Embiid makes two point driving layup (Tobias Harris assists)95
88
Q4 - 5:3176ersTobias Harris defensive rebound93
88
Q4 - 5:34HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot93
88
Q4 - 5:4276ersTyrese Maxey personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)93
88
Q4 - 5:5076ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 293
88
Q4 - 5:5076ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 292
88
Q4 - 5:50Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)91
88
Q4 - 5:50Heat 60 second timeout91
88
Q4 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)91
88
Q4 - 5:59HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 191
88
Q4 - 5:5976ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Georges Niang)91
87
Q4 - 5:5976ersCharlie Brown Jr. shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)91
87
Q4 - 5:59HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)91
87
Q4 - 6:1876ersJoel Embiid makes two point pullup jump shot91
85
Q4 - 6:31HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 289
85
Q4 - 6:31Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Omer Yurtseven)89
84
Q4 - 6:31HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 289
84
Q4 - 6:3176ersCharlie Brown Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)89
83
Q4 - 6:3876ersTyrese Maxey turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)89
83
Q4 - 6:4276ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound89
83
Q4 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
83
Q4 - 7:0176ersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Seth Curry assists)89
83
Q4 - 7:15HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)86
83
Q4 - 7:3276ersTyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 286
81
Q4 - 7:32Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven)85
81
Q4 - 7:3276ersTyrese Maxey misses regular free throw 1 of 285
81
Q4 - 7:32HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)85
81
Q4 - 7:3276ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound85
81
Q4 - 7:34HeatTyrese Maxey blocks Kyle Lowry's three point pullup jump shot85
81
Q4 - 7:40HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound85
81
Q4 - 7:4676ersGeorges Niang misses three point running pullup jump shot85
81
Q4 - 7:5076ersGeorges Niang defensive rebound85
81
Q4 - 7:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot85
81
Q4 - 8:2376ersJoel Embiid makes two point pullup jump shot85
81
Q4 - 8:41Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven)83
81
Q4 - 8:4176ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Charlie Brown Jr., Georges Niang)83
81
Q4 - 8:4176ers 60 second timeout83
81
Q4 - 8:42HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)83
81
Q4 - 8:4776ersTobias Harris turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)83
78
Q4 - 8:5676ersAndre Drummond defensive rebound83
78
Q4 - 8:58HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot83
78
Q4 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound83
78
Q4 - 9:1476ersTyrese Maxey misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot83
78
Q4 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup83
78
Q4 - 9:33HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound83
76
Q4 - 9:33HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving bank jump shot83
76
Q4 - 9:36HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound83
76
Q4 - 9:39HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot83
76
Q4 - 9:56Heat 60 second timeout83
76
Q4 - 9:5776ersGeorges Niang makes three point running jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)83
76
Q4 - 10:0176ersTobias Harris defensive rebound80
76
Q4 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup80
76
Q4 - 10:1676ersCharlie Brown Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Andre Drummond assists)80
76
Q4 - 10:33HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 278
76
Q4 - 10:33Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry)78
75
Q4 - 10:33HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 278
75
Q4 - 10:3376ersAndre Drummond shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)78
75
Q4 - 10:4676ersTobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 178
75
Q4 - 10:46HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)77
75
Q4 - 10:4676ersTobias Harris makes two point tip layup77
75
Q4 - 10:4676ersTobias Harris offensive rebound75
75
Q4 - 10:4776ersTyrese Maxey misses two point driving layup75
75
Q4 - 10:57Stoppage (Out of bounds)75
75
Q4 - 10:5776ers76ers defensive rebound75
75
Q4 - 10:59HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point layup75
75
Q4 - 11:0876ersAndre Drummond turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)75
75
Q4 - 11:15HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)75
75
Q4 - 11:35HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)75
75
Q4 - 12:0076ers lineup change (Andre Drummond, Tyrese Maxey, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris, Georges Niang)75
73
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
73
Q3 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)75
73
Q3 - 0:00.076ersSeth Curry makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)75
73
Q3 - 0:03.3Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry)72
73
Q3 - 0:03.376ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Georges Niang, Isaiah Joe)72
73
Q3 - 0:03.3Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
73
Q3 - 0:03.376ers76ers defensive rebound72
73
Q3 - 0:03.3HeatTobias Harris blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving layup72
73
Q3 - 0:21.1Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry)72
73
Q3 - 0:21.176ers lineup change (Andre Drummond, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris, Georges Niang, Isaiah Joe)72
73
Q3 - 0:21.1Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
73
Q3 - 0:21.1HeatHeat defensive rebound72
73
Q3 - 0:23.776ersSeth Curry misses three point jump shot72
73
Q3 - 0:29.176ersTobias Harris defensive rebound72
73
Q3 - 0:33.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
73
Q3 - 0:34.2HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound72
73
Q3 - 0:38.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
73
Q3 - 0:54.8Stoppage (Other)72
73
Q3 - 0:54.8Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry)72
73
Q3 - 0:54.876ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris, Georges Niang)72
73
Q3 - 0:54.876ersSeth Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
73
Q3 - 0:58.076ersSeth Curry defensive rebound72
73
Q3 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup72
73
Q3 - 1:2476ersTobias Harris makes two point dunk (Georges Niang assists)72
73
Q3 - 1:46HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)70
73
Q3 - 2:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson)70
70
Q3 - 2:0076ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz, Georges Niang)70
70
Q3 - 2:0076ersGeorges Niang personal foul (Loose ball) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)70
70
Q3 - 2:00HeatHeat offensive rebound70
70
Q3 - 2:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot70
70
Q3 - 2:2676ersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)70
70
Q3 - 2:3576ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound67
70
Q3 - 2:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot67
70
Q3 - 2:5576ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67
70
Q3 - 3:0776ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound65
70
Q3 - 3:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot65
70
Q3 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound65
70
Q3 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot65
70
Q3 - 3:22HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound65
70
Q3 - 3:2576ersTyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot65
70
Q3 - 3:54HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot65
70
Q3 - 4:16Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson)65
68
Q3 - 4:16Heat 60 second timeout65
68
Q3 - 4:1676ersJoel Embiid makes two point pullup jump shot65
68
Q3 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
68
Q3 - 4:5376ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 263
68
Q3 - 4:53Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon)62
68
Q3 - 4:5376ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 262
68
Q3 - 4:53HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)61
68
Q3 - 5:03HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)61
68
Q3 - 5:03HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Seth Curry draws the foul)61
68
Q3 - 5:1576ersSeth Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)61
68
Q3 - 5:2376ersSeth Curry defensive rebound58
68
Q3 - 5:25HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving hook shot58
68
Q3 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
68
Q3 - 5:4176ersTobias Harris misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot58
68
Q3 - 5:52Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Omer Yurtseven)58
68
Q3 - 5:5276ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Georges Niang)58
68
Q3 - 5:5276ers 60 second timeout58
68
Q3 - 5:52HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)58
68
Q3 - 6:1276ersSeth Curry makes three point running jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)58
66
Q3 - 6:1576ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound55
66
Q3 - 6:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot55
66
Q3 - 6:4576ersJoel Embiid makes two point layup (Seth Curry assists)55
66
Q3 - 6:5976ersSeth Curry defensive rebound53
66
Q3 - 7:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot53
66
Q3 - 7:14HeatMax Strus defensive rebound53
66
Q3 - 7:1876ersTobias Harris misses two point pullup jump shot53
66
Q3 - 7:42HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
66
Q3 - 8:0176ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
64
Q3 - 8:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 351
64
Q3 - 8:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 351
63
Q3 - 8:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 351
62
Q3 - 8:1676ersSeth Curry shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)51
61
Q3 - 8:3076ersSeth Curry makes two point jump shot51
61
Q3 - 8:59HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)49
61
Q3 - 9:1776ersTobias Harris makes two point driving hook shot49
59
Q3 - 9:43HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
59
Q3 - 10:00HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound47
56
Q3 - 10:0276ersTyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot47
56
Q3 - 10:19HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
56
Q3 - 10:3276ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 247
53
Q3 - 10:3276ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 246
53
Q3 - 10:32HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)45
53
Q3 - 10:3676ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound45
53
Q3 - 10:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot45
53
Q3 - 10:5876ersFurkan Korkmaz makes regular free throw 2 of 245
53
Q3 - 10:5876ersFurkan Korkmaz makes regular free throw 1 of 244
53
Q3 - 10:58HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Furkan Korkmaz draws the foul)43
53
Q3 - 11:14HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)43
53
Q3 - 11:32HeatMax Strus defensive rebound43
50
Q3 - 11:3776ersJoel Embiid misses three point jump shot43
50
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven)43
50
Q3 - 12:0076ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)43
50
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
50
Q2 - 0:00.176ers76ers offensive rebound43
50
Q2 - 0:00.976ersJoel Embiid misses three point jump shot43
50
Q2 - 0:16.1HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)43
50
Q2 - 0:27.9HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound43
47
Q2 - 0:30.176ersSeth Curry misses two point driving layup43
47
Q2 - 0:43.476ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound43
47
Q2 - 0:46.6HeatKyle Lowry misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot43
47
Q2 - 0:54.476ersJoel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)43
47
Q2 - 1:11HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 243
47
Q2 - 1:1176ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)43
46
Q2 - 1:11HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 243
46
Q2 - 1:1176ersTyrese Maxey personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)43
45
Q2 - 1:2176ersSeth Curry makes two point jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)43
45
Q2 - 1:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
45
Q2 - 1:2676ers76ers offensive rebound41
45
Q2 - 1:2876ersFurkan Korkmaz misses three point jump shot41
45
Q2 - 1:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
45
Q2 - 1:3976ers76ers defensive rebound41
45
Q2 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup41
45
Q2 - 1:5676ersTyrese Maxey makes two point driving layup (Furkan Korkmaz assists)41
45
Q2 - 2:18HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)39
45
Q2 - 2:3576ersTobias Harris makes two point pullup jump shot39
43
Q2 - 2:44Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry)37
43
Q2 - 2:4476ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)37
43
Q2 - 2:44Jimmy Butler kicked ball violation37
43
Q2 - 2:48HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point putback layup37
43
Q2 - 2:49HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound37
41
Q2 - 2:53HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point cutting layup37
41
Q2 - 2:56HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound37
41
Q2 - 3:0176ersJimmy Butler blocks Charlie Brown Jr.'s three point jump shot37
41
Q2 - 3:24HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds lost ball)37
41
Q2 - 3:33HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound37
41
Q2 - 3:3676ersJoel Embiid misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
41
Q2 - 3:5376ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound37
41
Q2 - 3:55HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 2 of 237
41
Q2 - 3:55HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 237
41
Q2 - 3:5576ersTobias Harris personal foul (Loose ball) (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)37
40
Q2 - 3:55HeatHeat offensive rebound37
40
Q2 - 3:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot37
40
Q2 - 4:10HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound37
40
Q2 - 4:1376ersCharlie Brown Jr. misses two point jump shot37
40
Q2 - 4:29HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 237
40
Q2 - 4:29HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 237
39
Q2 - 4:2976ersCharlie Brown Jr. personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)37
38
Q2 - 4:36Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Omer Yurtseven)37
38
Q2 - 4:36Heat 60 second timeout37
38
Q2 - 4:4776ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround hook shot37
38
Q2 - 4:5476ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound35
38
Q2 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup35
38
Q2 - 5:08HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound35
38
Q2 - 5:1276ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround jump shot35
38
Q2 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 235
38
Q2 - 5:23Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Omer Yurtseven)35
37
Q2 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 235
37
Q2 - 5:2376ersSeth Curry shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)35
37
Q2 - 5:2576ersSeth Curry turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)35
37
Q2 - 5:4076ersCharlie Brown Jr. defensive rebound35
37
Q2 - 5:42HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot35
37
Q2 - 6:0276ersTyrese Maxey makes two point driving floating jump shot (Charlie Brown Jr. assists)35
37
Q2 - 6:2476ersTobias Harris defensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 6:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot33
37
Q2 - 6:4376ersTobias Harris makes three point jump shot (Charlie Brown Jr. assists)33
37
Q2 - 6:4576ersCharlie Brown Jr. offensive rebound30
37
Q2 - 6:4876ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 130
37
Q2 - 6:48HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)30
37
Q2 - 6:4876ersJoel Embiid makes two point driving floating bank jump shot30
37
Q2 - 6:4876ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound28
37
Q2 - 6:4976ersTobias Harris misses two point floating jump shot28
37
Q2 - 7:03HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)28
37
Q2 - 7:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)28
37
Q2 - 7:2476ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris)28
35
Q2 - 7:2476ers 60 second timeout28
35
Q2 - 7:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
35
Q2 - 7:24HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound28
35
Q2 - 7:3076ersSeth Curry misses three point jump shot28
35
Q2 - 7:3676ersTobias Harris defensive rebound28
35
Q2 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot28
35
Q2 - 7:4876ersTobias Harris makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)28
35
Q2 - 8:05Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven)26
35
Q2 - 8:0576ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Andre Drummond, Tyrese Maxey, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris)26
35
Q2 - 8:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
35
Q2 - 8:0576ers76ers defensive rebound26
35
Q2 - 8:05HeatAndre Drummond blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup26
35
Q2 - 8:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
35
Q2 - 8:1576ersCharlie Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot26
35
Q2 - 8:2976ersAndre Drummond defensive rebound26
35
Q2 - 8:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
35
Q2 - 8:4876ersFurkan Korkmaz makes two point cutting layup (Andre Drummond assists)26
35
Q2 - 9:06HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)24
35
Q2 - 9:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound24
33
Q2 - 9:1476ersCaleb Martin blocks Furkan Korkmaz's three point jump shot24
33
Q2 - 9:21HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Andre Drummond steals)24
33
Q2 - 9:3576ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Andre Drummond, Charlie Brown Jr., Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)24
33
Q2 - 9:35HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 124
33
Q2 - 9:3576ersAndre Drummond technical foul24
32
Q2 - 9:3576ersGeorges Niang personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)24
32
Q2 - 9:3876ersAndre Drummond turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)24
32
Q2 - 9:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk24
32
Q2 - 9:5876ersIsaiah Joe turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)24
30
Q2 - 10:0476ersGeorges Niang defensive rebound24
30
Q2 - 10:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot24
30
Q2 - 10:2576ersTobias Harris turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
30
Q2 - 10:41HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 124
30
Q2 - 10:4176ersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)24
29
Q2 - 10:43HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound24
29
Q2 - 10:4976ersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot24
29
Q2 - 11:04HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)24
29
Q2 - 11:04HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Georges Niang draws the foul)24
29
Q2 - 11:1776ersFurkan Korkmaz personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)24
29
Q2 - 11:2676ersAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 2 of 224
29
Q2 - 11:2676ersAndre Drummond misses regular free throw 1 of 223
29
Q2 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)23
29
Q2 - 11:28HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Andre Drummond steals)23
29
Q2 - 11:4876ersTobias Harris makes three point jump shot (Furkan Korkmaz assists)23
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
29
Q1 - 0:01.7HeatHeat offensive rebound20
29
Q1 - 0:01.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot20
29
Q1 - 0:08.9HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound20
29
Q1 - 0:11.576ersTobias Harris misses two point turnaround jump shot20
29
Q1 - 0:32.8HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)20
29
Q1 - 0:32.8HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)20
29
Q1 - 0:46.4Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry)20
29
Q1 - 0:46.476ers lineup change (Andre Drummond, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz, Georges Niang, Isaiah Joe)20
29
Q1 - 0:46.476ersAndre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)20
29
Q1 - 0:46.476ersAndre Drummond offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)20
29
Q1 - 0:53.6HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup20
29
Q1 - 0:54.7HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound20
27
Q1 - 0:57.0HeatTyrese Maxey blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running jump shot20
27
Q1 - 1:0076ersTyrese Maxey turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)20
27
Q1 - 1:0876ersAndre Drummond defensive rebound20
27
Q1 - 1:13HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot20
27
Q1 - 1:19HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound20
27
Q1 - 1:2276ersIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot20
27
Q1 - 1:3376ersGeorges Niang defensive rebound20
27
Q1 - 1:36HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 120
27
Q1 - 1:36Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson)20
27
Q1 - 1:3676ers lineup change (Andre Drummond, Tyrese Maxey, Furkan Korkmaz, Georges Niang, Isaiah Joe)20
27
Q1 - 1:3676ersTyrese Maxey shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)20
27
Q1 - 1:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)20
27
Q1 - 1:4976ersSeth Curry turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)20
24
Q1 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
24
Q1 - 2:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound20
22
Q1 - 2:1876ersTyrese Maxey misses two point driving layup20
22
Q1 - 2:2376ersAndre Drummond defensive rebound20
22
Q1 - 2:27HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point cutting layup20
22
Q1 - 2:34HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound20
22
Q1 - 2:3676ersSeth Curry misses three point jump shot20
22
Q1 - 2:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 220
22
Q1 - 2:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 220
21
Q1 - 2:5676ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Andre Drummond, Tyrese Maxey, Furkan Korkmaz, Georges Niang)20
20
Q1 - 2:5676ers 60 second timeout20
20
Q1 - 2:5676ersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
20
Q1 - 2:5676ersJoel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)20
20
Q1 - 3:0076ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound20
20
Q1 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot20
20
Q1 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
20
Q1 - 3:3276ersJoel Embiid misses three point jump shot20
20
Q1 - 3:4276ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Furkan Korkmaz, Georges Niang)20
20
Q1 - 3:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
20
Q1 - 3:49HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)20
20
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 3:56HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot20
18
Q1 - 4:1676ersTyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 220
18
Q1 - 4:16Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson)19
18
Q1 - 4:1676ersTyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 219
18
Q1 - 4:16HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)18
18
Q1 - 4:2076ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound18
18
Q1 - 4:22HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot18
18
Q1 - 4:29HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound18
18
Q1 - 4:3176ersTyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot18
18
Q1 - 4:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
18
Q1 - 4:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
18
Q1 - 4:3876ers76ers offensive rebound18
18
Q1 - 4:3876ersMax Strus blocks Georges Niang's three point jump shot18
18
Q1 - 5:01HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)18
18
Q1 - 5:1976ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 218
15
Q1 - 5:1976ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 217
15
Q1 - 5:19Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Omer Yurtseven)17
15
Q1 - 5:1976ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Georges Niang)17
15
Q1 - 5:19Heat 60 second timeout17
15
Q1 - 5:19HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)17
15
Q1 - 5:33HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)17
15
Q1 - 5:40HeatMax Strus defensive rebound17
13
Q1 - 5:4476ersJoel Embiid misses two point driving layup17
13
Q1 - 5:5376ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound17
13
Q1 - 5:56HeatKyle Lowry misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
13
Q1 - 6:1476ersSeth Curry makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)17
13
Q1 - 6:31HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point putback dunk14
13
Q1 - 6:34HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound14
11
Q1 - 6:34HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point tip layup14
11
Q1 - 6:34HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound14
11
Q1 - 6:38HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup14
11
Q1 - 6:5476ersTyrese Maxey makes two point driving finger roll layup14
11
Q1 - 7:07Heat delay of game violation12
11
Q1 - 7:09HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)12
11
Q1 - 7:18HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound12
9
Q1 - 7:2076ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 112
9
Q1 - 7:20HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)12
9
Q1 - 7:2076ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround jump shot (Seth Curry assists)12
9
Q1 - 7:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 110
9
Q1 - 7:3676ersFurkan Korkmaz shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
8
Q1 - 7:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot10
8
Q1 - 7:53HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
6
Q1 - 7:5376ersJoel Embiid misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
6
Q1 - 7:5676ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound10
6
Q1 - 8:0076ersOmer Yurtseven blocks Joel Embiid's two point layup10
6
Q1 - 8:12HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (bad pass) (Seth Curry steals)10
6
Q1 - 8:1776ersTyrese Maxey personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)10
6
Q1 - 8:2376ersTobias Harris makes two point layup10
6
Q1 - 8:2976ersSeth Curry defensive rebound8
6
Q1 - 8:33HeatJoel Embiid blocks Max Strus's two point cutting layup8
6
Q1 - 8:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
6
Q1 - 8:4576ersTobias Harris makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)8
6
Q1 - 8:58HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point tip dunk5
6
Q1 - 9:02HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound5
4
Q1 - 9:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup5
4
Q1 - 9:1776ersSeth Curry makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)5
4
Q1 - 9:29HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)2
4
Q1 - 9:44HeatMax Strus defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:4776ersSeth Curry misses three point pullup jump shot2
2
Q1 - 9:52HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Seth Curry steals)2
2
Q1 - 9:54HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:58HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:05HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:0876ersFurkan Korkmaz misses two point pullup jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:26HeatMax Strus makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)2
2
Q1 - 10:32HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:3576ersTyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:4776ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:06HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:0976ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:2376ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:27HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:3676ersFurkan Korkmaz makes two point running layup (Seth Curry assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:42HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Joel Embiid steals)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Joel Embiid vs. Omer Yurtseven (Max Strus gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven)0
0
Q1 - 12:0076ers lineup change (Seth Curry, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz)0
0
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.22 61.2%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
13
19
68%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
PHI
14
28
50%
MIA
7
22
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
MIA
9
13.5
35
26%
39%
Free Throws
PHI
16
21
76%
MIA
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Embiid3262%16.0 / 26
T. Harris2285%11.0 / 13
S. Curry2170%10.5 / 15
T. Maxey1350%6.5 / 13
G. Niang1275%6.0 / 8
F. Korkmaz650%3.0 / 6
C. Brown Jr.225%1.0 / 4
A. Drummond150%0.5 / 1
I. Joe0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Yurtseven2285%11.0 / 13
T. Herro1657%8.0 / 14
C. Martin1689%8.0 / 9
M. Strus1142%5.5 / 13
P. Tucker1050%5.0 / 10
J. Butler829%4.0 / 14
K. Lowry833%4.0 / 12
D. Dedmon550%2.5 / 5
D. Robinson211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
80
+9
-15
89
MIA
84
+16
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.22 61.2%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
113.3
PHI 114.7 +10.5
MIA 104.3
Pace
96.2
96.2
PHI 95.7 +1.6
MIA 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.0
PHI 15.0 +0.3
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
54.7%
PHI 58.9% +15.3%
MIA 43.6%
TO %
12.1%
14.2%
PHI 14.5%
MIA 9.2% +5.3%
ORB %
20.1%
23.5%
PHI 16.2%
MIA 24.5% +8.3%
FTrt
28.2
25.2
PHI 26.6
MIA 34.9 +8.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.2%
64.4%
PHI 60.0%
MIA 72.7% +12.7%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
PHI 5.3%
MIA 10.6% +5.3%
BLK %
9.8%
7.1%
PHI 9.8% +1.3%
MIA 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
56.8%
PHI 61.2% +12.7%
MIA 48.5%
Rim FG%
62.7%
63.4%
PHI 68.4% +9.8%
MIA 58.6%
Mid FG%
42.0%
41.4%
PHI 50.0% +18.2%
MIA 31.8%
3P %
36.4%
37.9%
PHI 40.6% +14.9%
MIA 25.7%
FT %
82.1%
80.8%
PHI 76.2%
MIA 76.7% +0.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
30.6%
PHI 24.1%
MIA 33.7% +9.7%
Mid Att. %
30.0%
27.1%
PHI 35.4%
MIA 25.6% +9.9%
3P Att. %
37.6%
42.2%
PHI 40.5%
MIA 40.7% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.824.0
Points10998
Rebounds4343
Assists2424
Steals510
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)31 (1)
Field Goals40-7933-86
At-the-Rim FG13-1917-29
Midrange FG14-287-22
2-Point FG27-4724-51
3-Point FG13-329-35
Free Throws16-2123-30
Fast Break Pts1410
2nd Chance Pts1218
Points in Paint3444
Pts off Turnovers715
Bench Points1539
Biggest Lead1413

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 30
42.4
22
85%
8
3
0
1
3
1
1
7
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
3-3
100%
#31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 31
40.4
21
70%
5
5
2
0
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
5-9
56%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 21
40.2
13
50%
7
4
0
2
2
4
0
7
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
#21 · C · 7'0" 280 · 28
36.3
32
62%
12
3
1
1
2
2
3
9
8-11
73%
12-19
63%
0-3
0%
#30 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 24
25.1
6
50%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
24.8
12
75%
5
2
0
0
1
6
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-8
50%
#16 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 25
15.4
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 28
11.1
1
50%
4
2
2
1
3
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · SG · 6'3" 165 · 23
4.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#5 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · C · 6'10" 230 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Soreness
#25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 25
Inactive – Personal
#18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back Contusion
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 19
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Pain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
61%
43
24
5
5
15
22
6
37
16-21
76%
27-47
57%
13-32
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.