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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2022
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder21%102102
7Mavericks79%114104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.5
37
33
34
6
5
2
1
0
2
0
6
11-12
92%
10-14
6-13
71%
51%
1-4
25%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.7
37
30
18
7
2
1
1
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
2-5
40%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.3
32
30
10
6
5
1
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.2
23
25
9
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.6
19
24
2
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-2
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.0
31
18
8
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.0
19
22
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.5
18
17
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.5
17
10
7
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 25.0
6
8
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.5
12
0
2-3
58%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.6
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.0
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.1
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.6
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 22.9
39
32
20
11
12
3
1
3
2
2
9
12-14
86%
4-11
7-12
36%
57%
0-6
0%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 25.4
38
30
14
5
8
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
5-10
6-10
50%
57%
0-3
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.7
34
28
17
10
2
2
1
0
2
4
6
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
58%
4-7
57%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 26.5
28
29
13
8
1
1
1
4
2
1
7
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
53%
1-4
25%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 30.0
15
26
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
2-4
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 29.8
33
25
12
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-7
2-5
14%
52%
3-7
43%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.5
20
21
10
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
4-4
100%
3-3
3-4
100%
68%
0-0
-
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.2
18
17
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
57%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
8
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 26.9
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 29.2
4
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
9
0
1-3
58%
Moses Brown
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.3
2
0
0-1
55%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 26.2
2
0
0-0
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 33.4
2
0
0-1
58%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.