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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 21, 2022
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies
122
11Nuggets
118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
37
34
38
6
6
2
1
0
6
3
3
6-8
75%
13-20
7-14
65%
52%
2-6
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
34
24
4
6
3
4
1
0
2
3
3
0-2
0%
2-4
3-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
33
26
8
5
1
0
1
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
1-3
33%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 20.4
31
26
17
5
0
2
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
2-3
67%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 22.4
28
28
20
5
1
0
1
4
2
1
4
2-6
33%
6-13
5-9
46%
52%
2-4
50%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.7
27
16
21
9
3
0
1
0
0
0
9
7-11
64%
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
2-7
29%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 25.3
22
23
6
5
1
0
1
3
1
3
2
2-3
67%
2-4
4-7
50%
62%
0-0
-
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.9
16
10
6
4
2
2
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 23.0
10
7
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.9
9
0
0-1
46%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 21.0
9
0
1-2
53%
Dakota Mathias
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
2
0
0-0
46%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
2
0
0-0
43%
Yves Pons
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.7
2
0
0-0
48%
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 21.3
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.7
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.9
40
34
26
11
12
2
1
1
0
3
8
2-3
67%
9-12
8-14
75%
60%
2-4
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 31.0
38
32
27
5
8
0
1
1
3
0
5
3-4
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
4-9
44%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
36
33
16
6
9
2
1
1
3
5
1
6-6
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
55%
2-4
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
33
32
17
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
3-5
60%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.4
31
26
15
7
1
0
0
3
0
0
7
3-4
75%
6-12
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.8
19
16
0
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-3
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
19
11
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-10
1-2
30%
47%
1-3
33%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.0
12
14
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
1-2
50%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.4
12
20
0
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.4
17
1
2-5
49%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.6
15
1
1-2
51%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.5
11
0
0-1
51%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.9
6
0
0-1
46%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.9
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.6
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.8
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.