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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
February 11, 2022
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets27%104102
1Celtics73%113108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.0
34.4
30.4
23
53%
16
11
0
1
2
9
5
11
2-4
50%
6-10
6-11
60%
59%
3-10
30%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
33.9
29.2
17
54%
6
2
3
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
8-10
4-7
80%
54%
0-5
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 31.1
33.3
33.3
13
60%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.5
21.5
19.0
7
45%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
1-5
20%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.4
18.0
19.7
10
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.9
29.5
4.2
14
65%
4
3
1
0
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.1
28.5
22.3
5
42%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
1-3
33%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.5
14.6
16.5
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.6
13.6
12.6
4
25%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
54%
0-3
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
12.3
19.1
5
46%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.7
0.6
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.5
9.9
0
1-3
47%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.9
3.0
0
0-0
42%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.8
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.6
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.9
39.4
26.8
22
54%
5
7
5
1
0
5
2
3
8-10
80%
4-10
2-4
40%
51%
2-6
33%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
39.1
29.6
12
30%
7
4
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-7
57%
4-11
5-10
36%
55%
0-6
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.3
37.1
28.3
15
58%
16
2
2
1
3
0
6
10
1-2
50%
7-12
4-6
58%
72%
0-0
-
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.9
36.9
29.8
24
53%
6
5
3
1
0
2
2
4
7-8
88%
7-11
5-9
64%
52%
1-8
13%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
29.5
23.9
9
51%
11
3
0
1
3
0
4
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
1-4
25%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.6
28.4
29.0
15
60%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
3-7
43%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
18.7
21.6
8
67%
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
2-3
67%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
10.9
8.7
3
25%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
9.1
0
1-1
56%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 26.6
2.3
0
0-0
57%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.2
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Brodric Thomas
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.