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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
February 16, 2022
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Spurs72%111114
30Thunder28%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 25.4
36.0
33.5
18
49%
7
8
1
2
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
7-15
7-14
47%
50%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 22.4
35.8
30.7
22
64%
7
2
2
1
0
4
3
4
7-7
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
1-4
25%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.5
33.3
26.1
15
52%
5
6
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
2-8
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 26.3
31.6
28.2
20
69%
17
5
0
1
2
3
6
11
0-1
0%
10-14
6-9
71%
61%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 30.1
21.9
25.4
16
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-5
3-4
40%
57%
3-6
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.2
27.9
23.0
17
48%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
2-7
29%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 24.2
16.2
16.7
0
0%
6
1
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.4
14.2
11.2
3
38%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Joshua Primo
G · 6'4" 189 · 19.1
12.2
20.4
1
9%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 26.1
11.0
9.8
2
114%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
7.1
0
1-1
55%
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
5.8
0
0-1
46%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.3
4.3
0
0-1
51%
Joe Wieskamp
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.1
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.4
33.5
30.4
17
47%
10
10
1
1
0
3
4
6
0-0
-
7-14
5-9
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.7
31.6
32.6
2
17%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.0
31.1
24.8
24
56%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
7-13
2-5
54%
45%
3-7
43%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.1
30.1
24.1
7
35%
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
56%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.0
28.7
16.9
17
41%
12
1
3
1
1
0
7
5
2-4
50%
6-15
2-4
40%
55%
1-4
25%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.1
29.8
19.6
10
38%
10
4
0
1
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
49%
2-4
50%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.7
28.9
10.7
22
61%
3
2
2
0
1
2
0
3
8-9
89%
4-9
1-2
44%
44%
2-5
40%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.6
10.4
16.1
2
41%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.7
8.3
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
7.6
2.7
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.6
19.1
1
2-3
50%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.3
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.8
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.6
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.