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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
February 17, 2022
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Heat57%113111
16Hornets43%110107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.4
51.1
34.1
15
29%
10
8
1
2
2
4
2
8
4-4
100%
4-16
7-13
25%
53%
1-8
13%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 35.9
46.4
34.1
25
74%
9
5
2
1
0
3
2
7
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
6-11
55%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
44.1
22.6
21
73%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
0-0
1-1
-
61%
6-13
46%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 36.8
44.0
27.2
15
58%
10
2
1
1
0
1
4
6
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
51%
1-4
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
43.8
32.5
15
46%
13
5
0
1
3
3
5
8
5-10
50%
5-11
8-14
45%
56%
0-1
0%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
18.5
27.3
4
33%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
14.2
10.1
10
83%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
56%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
14.0
15.0
4
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
13.9
21.5
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-5
0%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 24.5
2.3
0
0-0
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.7
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Javonte Smart
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.1
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.4
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.8
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
49.5
35.6
29
60%
11
2
0
1
0
4
2
9
6-7
86%
7-11
5-9
64%
58%
3-10
30%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 23.5
48.5
27.4
15
45%
14
2
1
1
1
3
3
11
3-4
75%
6-11
1-3
55%
51%
0-4
0%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 20.5
38.6
33.5
14
42%
10
14
0
2
1
5
2
8
3-4
75%
4-6
5-10
67%
49%
1-9
11%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
36.2
36.1
5
28%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
1-5
20%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
13.6
27.9
2
53%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
61%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 28.1
42.9
26.2
24
60%
8
0
1
1
1
1
4
4
6-9
67%
9-16
5-8
56%
61%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
38.0
24.6
15
45%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
1-4
25%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
4-12
33%
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 19.5
15.4
8.0
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-2
50%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
7.3
9.0
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.2
3.5
0
0-1
58%
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 21.1
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 31.9
Scottie Lewis
G · 6'4" 188 · 21.9
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 24.0
Arnoldas Kulboka
F · 6'10" 213 · 24.1
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.