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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 24, 2022
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nuggets64%117128
26Kings36%112110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.0
34
33
25
12
9
4
1
1
2
1
11
5-7
71%
7-11
8-13
64%
62%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
32
30
12
6
3
3
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
57%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 31.1
32
27
31
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
6-6
100%
8-11
3-6
73%
51%
3-6
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.7
31
30
19
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
55%
3-4
75%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.5
25
21
7
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
59%
1-4
25%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.6
27
21
9
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
1-4
25%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
21
22
8
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.4
17
20
5
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-6
17%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.7
15
17
12
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
2-2
100%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.7
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.9
2
12
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.1
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.7
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.9
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 25.8
37
31
33
14
5
1
1
1
4
4
10
1-1
100%
13-20
6-10
65%
58%
2-3
67%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.2
36
35
20
1
4
0
1
2
4
0
1
1-2
50%
8-15
8-15
53%
53%
1-3
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
34
32
14
7
4
2
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 32.9
28
31
5
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.8
13
24
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
1-3
33%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 23.5
30
26
7
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
23
25
8
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
2-6
33%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
20
8
11
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
11
6
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
66%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 26.3
6
7
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 24.9
19
1
2-4
55%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
15
0
2-4
63%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 28.7
5
0
1-1
58%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.