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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
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February 25, 2022
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FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder22%103129
23Pacers78%114125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.6
38.1
29.7
36
61%
8
5
3
1
2
7
1
7
9-12
75%
12-19
6-12
63%
52%
1-5
20%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.1
34.4
28.9
22
59%
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
3-6
50%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.7
33.5
26.9
14
41%
10
0
3
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
48%
1-4
25%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.1
30.9
22.0
8
67%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
27.8
23.6
10
64%
11
4
0
1
0
2
3
8
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
23.6
2.8
8
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.0
21.4
1.8
4
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.2
18.6
20.0
13
72%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
1-3
33%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.7
18.5
9.3
14
64%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
3-5
60%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.7
18.3
16.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.6
17.0
0
2-4
59%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.3
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.4
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.6
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.9
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 28.2
42.8
35.0
29
69%
7
5
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
7-12
2-5
58%
48%
5-9
56%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.0
42.5
36.0
14
64%
5
11
2
2
1
4
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
1-3
33%
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
37.1
28.1
10
29%
15
1
2
1
2
1
5
10
0-1
0%
5-12
3-5
42%
52%
0-5
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.2
30.9
15.4
15
54%
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.1
22.7
10.3
17
75%
6
0
0
0
5
1
1
5
7-10
70%
5-6
2-4
83%
54%
0-1
0%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 21.9
28.8
19.1
16
74%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 31.5
28.3
25.4
14
47%
3
4
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-2
0%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 22.4
18.7
27.1
7
67%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-5
60%
2-2
5-9
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Duane Washington Jr.
G · 6'2" 197 · 21.9
11.8
13.8
3
38%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 22.6
1.5
14.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Keifer Sykes
G · 5'11" 167 · 28.2
12.1
0
1-2
46%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.7
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.9
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.