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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
March 2, 2022
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder15%100119
9Nuggets85%115107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.6
36.7
31.1
29
55%
7
5
2
1
1
7
0
7
6-8
75%
7-18
7-13
39%
52%
3-5
60%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.1
35.4
29.4
13
47%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
33.9
21.5
26
81%
7
5
2
1
2
1
4
3
4-7
57%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
4-5
80%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.7
32.8
28.0
12
76%
8
3
3
1
0
0
0
8
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.2
29.3
21.9
9
50%
11
3
2
1
2
1
0
11
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.7
20.7
22.2
9
90%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
3-3
100%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
18.9
14.2
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
2-5
40%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.7
18.4
16.2
9
57%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.0
13.8
15.6
6
60%
3
2
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.2
16.5
1
1-3
53%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.6
7.2
0
1-2
59%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.6
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.9
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.3
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.0
32.8
30.1
22
62%
16
4
2
1
0
6
4
12
2-2
100%
10-13
7-11
77%
62%
0-4
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.5
27.9
27.0
9
38%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
57%
1-7
14%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.7
26.1
26.9
4
22%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
0-4
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 31.2
25.7
26.5
6
26%
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
52%
0-9
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.5
20.7
20.5
8
68%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
59%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
26.9
20.8
18
65%
1
3
0
0
1
4
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
5-11
45%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 31.7
22.3
20.7
6
43%
10
1
0
1
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 21.5
21.9
10.3
19
107%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
5-6
83%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.6
20.1
22.6
9
83%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.6
15.2
14.9
6
51%
7
4
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.7
0.4
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.9
13.0
1
1-1
49%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.0
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.0
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 23.7
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.