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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
March 3, 2022
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies39%106107
1Celtics61%110120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
36.8
33.4
38
58%
4
7
0
1
0
2
2
2
8-8
100%
9-17
9-18
53%
52%
4-12
33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 22.5
35.5
23.6
20
53%
7
1
0
1
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
8-13
4-7
62%
50%
1-5
20%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
34.0
28.1
17
61%
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
5-10
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
26.4
29.7
4
50%
8
4
0
1
0
1
7
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 20.5
15.5
25.8
5
42%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
1-4
25%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
24.3
22.8
6
43%
5
4
6
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 25.5
21.4
16.4
9
54%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-3
33%
4-7
3-6
57%
61%
0-0
-
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
18.4
22.7
5
36%
7
1
2
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-4
25%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
14.0
13.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.8
13.8
17.6
3
25%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.0
9.8
0
0-1
46%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 23.1
2.6
0
0-1
54%
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.0
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 21.4
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 26.1
Yves Pons
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.8
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
39.6
26.4
21
64%
15
5
0
1
2
2
6
9
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
55%
4-8
50%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.0
38.9
35.7
37
65%
6
5
0
1
1
6
1
5
7-8
88%
12-18
6-12
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.4
35.3
30.9
10
83%
12
3
3
1
3
1
2
10
0-0
-
5-6
5-7
83%
71%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
34.6
31.7
18
53%
2
12
0
2
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
50%
4-9
44%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
5.1
10.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
34.8
28.1
11
92%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
3-3
100%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.7
25.6
23.2
12
53%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
13.4
18.9
5
63%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 29.9
12.8
7.5
6
56%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
2-2
1-1
100%
61%
0-2
0%
Kelan Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
4.0
0
0-1
50%
Malik Fitts
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
2.9
0
0-0
50%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.2
2.7
0
0-0
45%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 26.6
2.7
0
0-0
57%
Matt Ryan
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Brodric Thomas
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.1
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.