FinalWin Prob.pScore
2621%101
98
679%112
105
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
102.196104.0
MIA logo MIA
109.49690.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.98
105
Q4 - 0:00.9Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation98
105
Q4 - 0:00.9PistonsCory Joseph makes two point cutting layup (Saddiq Bey assists)98
105
Q4 - 0:10.0HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 296
105
Q4 - 0:10.0HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 296
104
Q4 - 0:10.0PistonsSaddiq Bey personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)96
103
Q4 - 0:13.1PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point driving layup (Isaiah Stewart assists)96
103
Q4 - 0:26.2HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 294
103
Q4 - 0:26.2HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 294
102
Q4 - 0:26.2Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Livers, Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)94
101
Q4 - 0:26.2PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)94
101
Q4 - 0:31.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
101
Q4 - 0:34.7PistonsJerami Grant misses two point driving floating jump shot94
101
Q4 - 0:42.7HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)94
101
Q4 - 0:44.0Pistons 60 second timeout94
101
Q4 - 0:44.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 294
101
Q4 - 0:44.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 294
100
Q4 - 0:44.0PistonsIsaiah Stewart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)94
99
Q4 - 0:57.3HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
99
Q4 - 1:01PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point turnaround jump shot94
99
Q4 - 1:20PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound94
99
Q4 - 1:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot94
99
Q4 - 1:42HeatMax Strus defensive rebound94
99
Q4 - 1:46PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot94
99
Q4 - 1:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot94
99
Q4 - 2:18PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point driving floating jump shot94
96
Q4 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup92
96
Q4 - 2:58PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)92
94
Q4 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 289
94
Q4 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 289
93
Q4 - 3:10PistonsIsaiah Livers shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
92
Q4 - 3:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound89
92
Q4 - 3:22PistonsIsaiah Livers misses three point jump shot89
92
Q4 - 3:34HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)89
92
Q4 - 3:52PistonsJerami Grant makes two point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)89
89
Q4 - 4:08Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)87
89
Q4 - 4:08Pistons 60 second timeout87
89
Q4 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot87
89
Q4 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
87
Q4 - 4:19PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot87
87
Q4 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 287
87
Q4 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 287
86
Q4 - 4:33PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
85
Q4 - 4:46PistonsCory Joseph makes three point stepback jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)87
85
Q4 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)84
85
Q4 - 5:19HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound84
83
Q4 - 5:24PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point stepback jump shot84
83
Q4 - 5:42PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound84
83
Q4 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot84
83
Q4 - 5:58Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Max Strus, Tyler Herro)84
83
Q4 - 5:58PistonsIsaiah Stewart personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)84
83
Q4 - 6:11PistonsJerami Grant makes two point pullup jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)84
83
Q4 - 6:20Stoppage (Court cleanup)82
83
Q4 - 6:20HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)82
83
Q4 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 282
83
Q4 - 6:36Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro)82
82
Q4 - 6:36Pistons lineup change (Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)82
82
Q4 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 282
82
Q4 - 6:36PistonsJerami Grant shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)82
81
Q4 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound82
81
Q4 - 6:46PistonsJerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot82
81
Q4 - 7:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound82
81
Q4 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot82
81
Q4 - 7:23PistonsMarvin Bagley III turnover (offensive foul)82
81
Q4 - 7:23PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)82
81
Q4 - 7:31PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound82
81
Q4 - 7:34HeatIsaiah Stewart blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving dunk82
81
Q4 - 7:45Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Livers, Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Marvin Bagley III)82
81
Q4 - 7:45Heat 60 second timeout82
81
Q4 - 7:45PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point bank jump shot82
81
Q4 - 7:53PistonsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
81
Q4 - 7:57HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot80
81
Q4 - 8:07PistonsIsaiah Livers makes two point running layup80
81
Q4 - 8:10HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Livers steals)78
81
Q4 - 8:27PistonsIsaiah Livers makes two point pullup jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)78
81
Q4 - 8:48Pistons 60 second timeout76
81
Q4 - 8:48HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Victor Oladipo assists)76
81
Q4 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
79
Q4 - 9:02PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot76
79
Q4 - 9:13PistonsKelly Olynyk offensive rebound76
79
Q4 - 9:16PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot76
79
Q4 - 9:33HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)76
79
Q4 - 9:39PistonsKelly Olynyk personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)76
76
Q4 - 9:48PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)76
76
Q4 - 10:09HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
76
Q4 - 10:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
73
Q4 - 10:13HeatHeat offensive rebound73
73
Q4 - 10:13HeatJerami Grant blocks Max Strus's two point cutting dunk73
73
Q4 - 10:26PistonsKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
73
Q4 - 10:30PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound73
73
Q4 - 10:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot73
73
Q4 - 10:44HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
73
Q4 - 10:51PistonsJerami Grant misses three point pullup jump shot73
73
Q4 - 11:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)73
73
Q4 - 11:26Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Livers, Cory Joseph, Kelly Olynyk, Jerami Grant, Marvin Bagley III)73
70
Q4 - 11:26PistonsMarvin Bagley III turnover (offensive foul)73
70
Q4 - 11:26PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)73
70
Q4 - 11:43HeatMax Strus makes two point driving reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)73
70
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro)73
68
Q4 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Livers, Cory Joseph, Kelly Olynyk, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)73
68
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
68
Q3 - 0:02.4PistonsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 0:05.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
68
Q3 - 0:24.4HeatMax Strus defensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 0:27.9PistonsKelly Olynyk misses two point reverse layup73
68
Q3 - 0:28.3PistonsKelly Olynyk offensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 0:32.7PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 2 of 273
68
Q3 - 0:32.7PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 1 of 273
68
Q3 - 0:32.7HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)73
68
Q3 - 0:49.8Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro)73
68
Q3 - 0:49.8Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Kelly Olynyk, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)73
68
Q3 - 0:49.8Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
68
Q3 - 0:49.8PistonsPistons defensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 0:54.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot73
68
Q3 - 0:55.9HeatMax Strus offensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 0:59.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot73
68
Q3 - 1:10HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 1:13PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point turnaround hook shot73
68
Q3 - 1:26PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound73
68
Q3 - 1:29HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot73
68
Q3 - 1:45PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)73
68
Q3 - 1:54PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound70
68
Q3 - 1:54HeatMarvin Bagley III blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point putback layup70
68
Q3 - 1:57HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound70
68
Q3 - 1:57HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point dunk70
68
Q3 - 1:58HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound70
68
Q3 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot70
68
Q3 - 2:24PistonsJerami Grant makes two point running dunk70
68
Q3 - 2:27HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Jerami Grant steals)68
68
Q3 - 2:34PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)68
68
Q3 - 2:41Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro)68
68
Q3 - 2:41Heat 60 second timeout68
68
Q3 - 2:41PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point cutting layup (Marvin Bagley III assists)68
68
Q3 - 2:47PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound66
68
Q3 - 2:51HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot66
68
Q3 - 3:12PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point driving hook shot66
68
Q3 - 3:30HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)64
68
Q3 - 3:30HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Off the ball) (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)64
68
Q3 - 3:43PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 264
68
Q3 - 3:43PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 263
68
Q3 - 3:43HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)62
68
Q3 - 3:52Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Max Strus, Tyler Herro)62
68
Q3 - 3:52HeatMarkieff Morris personal foul (Take) (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)62
68
Q3 - 3:53PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 3:55HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup62
68
Q3 - 4:00HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:03PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot62
68
Q3 - 4:14PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:17HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
68
Q3 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:32PistonsJerami Grant misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
68
Q3 - 4:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)62
68
Q3 - 4:49PistonsPistons defensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot62
68
Q3 - 4:51HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound62
68
Q3 - 4:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
68
Q3 - 5:07Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson, Markieff Morris, Tyler Herro)62
68
Q3 - 5:07Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)62
68
Q3 - 5:07PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (offensive foul)62
68
Q3 - 5:07PistonsKillian Hayes offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)62
68
Q3 - 5:09HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Killian Hayes steals)62
68
Q3 - 5:32PistonsKillian Hayes makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Livers assists)62
68
Q3 - 5:41PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound59
68
Q3 - 5:46HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot59
68
Q3 - 6:11PistonsJerami Grant makes two point driving layup (Saddiq Bey assists)59
68
Q3 - 6:19PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound57
68
Q3 - 6:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot57
68
Q3 - 6:46PistonsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Livers assists)57
68
Q3 - 6:56HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving layup54
68
Q3 - 7:00HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound54
66
Q3 - 7:04HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
66
Q3 - 7:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)54
66
Q3 - 7:21HeatHeat defensive rebound54
66
Q3 - 7:23PistonsJerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot54
66
Q3 - 7:38HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
66
Q3 - 7:53HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound54
64
Q3 - 7:57PistonsJerami Grant misses two point driving floating jump shot54
64
Q3 - 8:11Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)54
64
Q3 - 8:11HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)54
64
Q3 - 8:26HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (out of bounds lost ball)54
64
Q3 - 8:44PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 254
64
Q3 - 8:44PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 253
64
Q3 - 8:44HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)52
64
Q3 - 8:49PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound52
64
Q3 - 8:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
64
Q3 - 9:01PistonsSaddiq Bey personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)52
64
Q3 - 9:02HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound52
64
Q3 - 9:04PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot52
64
Q3 - 9:26Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Markieff Morris)52
64
Q3 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)52
64
Q3 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)52
64
Q3 - 9:30HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound52
64
Q3 - 9:36PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point pullup jump shot52
64
Q3 - 9:40PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound52
64
Q3 - 9:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
64
Q3 - 9:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 152
64
Q3 - 9:52PistonsCory Joseph technical foul52
63
Q3 - 9:52PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)52
63
Q3 - 10:02Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Rodney McGruder, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)52
63
Q3 - 10:02PistonsCory Joseph turnover (offensive foul)52
63
Q3 - 10:02PistonsCory Joseph offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)52
63
Q3 - 10:20PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound52
63
Q3 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot52
63
Q3 - 10:43HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound52
63
Q3 - 10:46PistonsSaddiq Bey misses regular free throw 2 of 252
63
Q3 - 10:46PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 252
63
Q3 - 10:46HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)51
63
Q3 - 11:00Pistons 60 second timeout51
63
Q3 - 11:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
63
Q3 - 11:11PistonsCory Joseph turnover (offensive foul)51
60
Q3 - 11:11PistonsCory Joseph offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)51
60
Q3 - 11:24HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
60
Q3 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
57
Q3 - 11:38PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point pullup jump shot51
57
Q3 - 11:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)51
57
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson)51
57
Q3 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)51
57
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
57
Q2 - 0:00.1PistonsPistons offensive rebound51
57
Q2 - 0:00.7PistonsJerami Grant misses two point floating jump shot51
57
Q2 - 0:10.2HeatMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)51
57
Q2 - 0:32.8PistonsRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 251
54
Q2 - 0:32.8PistonsRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 250
54
Q2 - 0:32.8HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)49
54
Q2 - 0:37.1HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)49
54
Q2 - 0:42.5HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - 0:46.2PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot49
51
Q2 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 349
51
Q2 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 349
50
Q2 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 349
50
Q2 - 1:07PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)49
49
Q2 - 1:29PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)49
49
Q2 - 1:29PistonsPistons offensive rebound49
49
Q2 - 1:30PistonsJimmy Butler blocks Rodney McGruder's two point layup49
49
Q2 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)49
49
Q2 - 2:00HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound49
46
Q2 - 2:02PistonsJerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot49
46
Q2 - 2:18HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 249
46
Q2 - 2:18HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 249
45
Q2 - 2:18PistonsSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)49
44
Q2 - 2:23HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound49
44
Q2 - 2:26PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot49
44
Q2 - 2:30PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound49
44
Q2 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot49
44
Q2 - 2:49PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (out of bounds lost ball)49
44
Q2 - 2:58Pistons 60 second timeout49
44
Q2 - 2:58HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)49
44
Q2 - 2:58HeatHeat offensive rebound49
44
Q2 - 2:59HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point pullup jump shot49
44
Q2 - 3:22PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 249
44
Q2 - 3:22Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, P.J. Tucker, Markieff Morris, Tyler Herro)48
44
Q2 - 3:22Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Rodney McGruder, Jerami Grant, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)48
44
Q2 - 3:22PistonsJerami Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 248
44
Q2 - 3:22HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)48
44
Q2 - 3:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)48
44
Q2 - 3:47PistonsJerami Grant makes two point driving layup48
42
Q2 - 4:03Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
42
Q2 - 4:03PistonsPistons defensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 4:06HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot46
42
Q2 - 4:30PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 246
42
Q2 - 4:30PistonsJerami Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 245
42
Q2 - 4:30HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)45
42
Q2 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 245
42
Q2 - 4:36Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)45
41
Q2 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 245
41
Q2 - 4:36PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)45
40
Q2 - 4:48PistonsIsaiah Stewart turnover (out of bounds lost ball)45
40
Q2 - 4:55HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)45
40
Q2 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 245
40
Q2 - 5:05Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)45
39
Q2 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 245
39
Q2 - 5:05PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
38
Q2 - 5:18PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)45
38
Q2 - 5:26PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound42
38
Q2 - 5:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot42
38
Q2 - 5:32HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound42
38
Q2 - 5:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot42
38
Q2 - 5:49HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound42
38
Q2 - 5:52PistonsJerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 242
38
Q2 - 5:52Pistons lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Isaiah Livers, Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart)42
38
Q2 - 5:52PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 242
38
Q2 - 5:52HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)41
38
Q2 - 5:52PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound41
38
Q2 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup41
38
Q2 - 6:05HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound41
38
Q2 - 6:08PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving floating bank jump shot41
38
Q2 - 6:21HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 241
38
Q2 - 6:21Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)41
37
Q2 - 6:21Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Rodney McGruder, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart)41
37
Q2 - 6:21HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 241
37
Q2 - 6:21PistonsKillian Hayes shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)41
36
Q2 - 6:42PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)41
36
Q2 - 6:45PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound38
36
Q2 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 238
36
Q2 - 6:51Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro)38
36
Q2 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 238
36
Q2 - 6:51PistonsIsaiah Livers shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)38
35
Q2 - 7:17PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Killian Hayes assists)38
35
Q2 - 7:28HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)36
35
Q2 - 7:49Heat 60 second timeout36
35
Q2 - 7:51HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound36
35
Q2 - 7:53PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 1 of 136
35
Q2 - 7:53HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)36
35
Q2 - 7:53PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point running layup (Killian Hayes assists)36
35
Q2 - 7:53PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound34
35
Q2 - 7:57HeatMarvin Bagley III blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup34
35
Q2 - 8:13PistonsKelly Olynyk makes two point running finger roll layup34
35
Q2 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)32
35
Q2 - 8:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
35
Q2 - 8:25PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving floating jump shot32
35
Q2 - 8:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup32
35
Q2 - 8:49HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound32
33
Q2 - 8:52PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot32
33
Q2 - 8:59PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound32
33
Q2 - 9:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot32
33
Q2 - 9:11PistonsKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Killian Hayes assists)32
33
Q2 - 9:17PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound30
33
Q2 - 9:21HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point jump shot30
33
Q2 - 9:37PistonsRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)30
33
Q2 - 9:51Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Markieff Morris, Tyler Herro)27
33
Q2 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)27
33
Q2 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)27
33
Q2 - 9:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
33
Q2 - 10:03HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound27
33
Q2 - 10:07PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point stepback jump shot27
33
Q2 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Markieff Morris assists)27
33
Q2 - 10:47PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 127
31
Q2 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)26
31
Q2 - 10:47PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)26
31
Q2 - 11:06HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot24
31
Q2 - 11:18Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Rodney McGruder, Isaiah Livers, Kelly Olynyk, Marvin Bagley III)24
29
Q2 - 11:18PistonsMarvin Bagley III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)24
29
Q2 - 11:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
29
Q2 - 11:36PistonsKelly Olynyk makes two point tip layup24
29
Q2 - 11:39PistonsKelly Olynyk offensive rebound22
29
Q2 - 11:43PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot22
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
29
Q1 - 0:02.1PistonsSaddiq Bey turnover (out of bounds step)22
29
Q1 - 0:22.7HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 222
29
Q1 - 0:22.7HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 222
28
Q1 - 0:22.7PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)22
27
Q1 - 0:22.7HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound22
27
Q1 - 0:24.7PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot22
27
Q1 - 0:30.3HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)22
27
Q1 - 0:47.9Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Markieff Morris, Tyler Herro)22
27
Q1 - 0:47.9PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (discontinue dribble)22
27
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)22
27
Q1 - 1:03PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point stepback jump shot22
24
Q1 - 1:17HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
24
Q1 - 1:37PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 220
22
Q1 - 1:37PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 219
22
Q1 - 1:37HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)18
22
Q1 - 1:50PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound18
22
Q1 - 1:54HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot18
22
Q1 - 2:10HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound18
22
Q1 - 2:14PistonsKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot18
22
Q1 - 2:26Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Victor Oladipo, Markieff Morris, Tyler Herro)18
22
Q1 - 2:26Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Kelly Olynyk, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)18
22
Q1 - 2:26Pistons 60 second timeout18
22
Q1 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup18
22
Q1 - 2:55PistonsJerami Grant makes two point driving finger roll layup (Saddiq Bey assists)18
20
Q1 - 3:04PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound16
20
Q1 - 3:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot16
20
Q1 - 3:29PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point pullup jump shot16
20
Q1 - 3:43HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving hook shot14
20
Q1 - 4:03PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point tip layup14
18
Q1 - 4:03PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound12
18
Q1 - 4:08PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving finger roll layup12
18
Q1 - 4:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 212
18
Q1 - 4:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 212
17
Q1 - 4:22PistonsIsaiah Livers personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)12
16
Q1 - 4:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound12
16
Q1 - 4:29PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot12
16
Q1 - 4:35PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound12
16
Q1 - 4:37HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving finger roll layup12
16
Q1 - 5:06PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point stepback jump shot12
16
Q1 - 5:13Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)10
16
Q1 - 5:13Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Isaiah Livers, Jerami Grant, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)10
16
Q1 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Cory Joseph draws the foul)10
16
Q1 - 5:13PistonsPistons offensive rebound10
16
Q1 - 5:16PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot10
16
Q1 - 5:20PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound10
16
Q1 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround bank jump shot10
16
Q1 - 5:34HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
16
Q1 - 5:38PistonsJerami Grant misses two point driving layup10
16
Q1 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 210
16
Q1 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - 5:55PistonsRodney McGruder shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
14
Q1 - 6:05PistonsCory Joseph makes two point cutting layup (Saddiq Bey assists)10
14
Q1 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 38
14
Q1 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 38
13
Q1 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 38
12
Q1 - 6:28PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)8
11
Q1 - 6:37Pistons lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)8
11
Q1 - 6:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart turnover (offensive foul)8
11
Q1 - 6:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
11
Q1 - 6:49PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound8
11
Q1 - 6:52HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 28
11
Q1 - 6:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 28
11
Q1 - 6:52Heat 60 second timeout8
10
Q1 - 6:52PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
10
Q1 - 6:57HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup8
10
Q1 - 7:17PistonsCory Joseph makes two point driving bank jump shot8
10
Q1 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
10
Q1 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 26
9
Q1 - 7:30PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
9
Q1 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 7:36PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot6
9
Q1 - 7:39PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup6
9
Q1 - 8:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 8:07PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot6
9
Q1 - 8:22HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)6
9
Q1 - 8:25PistonsRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)6
7
Q1 - 8:27PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:31HeatIsaiah Stewart blocks Bam Adebayo's two point dunk6
7
Q1 - 8:54PistonsRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)6
7
Q1 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)3
7
Q1 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
5
Q1 - 9:26PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot3
5
Q1 - 9:38HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
5
Q1 - 9:47PistonsJerami Grant makes two point pullup jump shot3
5
Q1 - 10:01HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)1
5
Q1 - 10:13PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 21
2
Q1 - 10:13PistonsSaddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 20
2
Q1 - 10:13HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)0
2
Q1 - 10:13PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup0
2
Q1 - 10:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - 10:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:38PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup0
0
Q1 - 11:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:05PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup0
0
Q1 - 11:05PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:08PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point turnaround hook shot0
0
Q1 - 11:18HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Jerami Grant steals)0
0
Q1 - 11:26HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:30PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:35PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Isaiah Stewart vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Cory Joseph, Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey)0
0
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
22
73%
MIA
9
20
45%
Midrange
DET
11
24
46%
MIA
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
MIA
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
DET
14
22
64%
MIA
35
39
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Grant2246%11.0 / 24
I. Livers16114%8.0 / 7
S. Bey1343%6.5 / 15
M. Bagley1365%6.5 / 10
C. Joseph975%4.5 / 6
K. Hayes945%4.5 / 10
R. McGruder857%4.0 / 7
K. Olynyk660%3.0 / 5
I. Stewart217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2973%14.5 / 20
B. Adebayo1662%8.0 / 13
M. Strus1689%8.0 / 9
D. Robinson1250%6.0 / 12
M. Morris964%4.5 / 7
J. Butler836%4.0 / 11
K. Lowry650%3.0 / 6
P. Tucker563%2.5 / 4
V. Oladipo250%1.0 / 2
D. Dedmon233%1.0 / 3
G. Vincent0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
84
+9
-12
93
MIA
85
+9
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
113.3
DET 102.1
MIA 109.4 +7.3
Pace
98.4
96.2
DET 104.0 +13.8
MIA 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.0
DET 13.8 +2.1
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
54.7%
DET 52.5% +3.9%
MIA 48.6%
TO %
13.5%
14.2%
DET 12.7%
MIA 12.7%
ORB %
23.4%
23.5%
DET 14.0%
MIA 17.5% +3.5%
FTrt
24.8
25.2
DET 27.5
MIA 54.2 +26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
64.4%
DET 62.2%
MIA 69.0% +6.8%
STL %
7.8%
7.6%
DET 6.3% +5.3%
MIA 1.0%
BLK %
9.0%
7.1%
DET 12.8% +10.6%
MIA 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
56.8%
DET 52.7%
MIA 55.9% +3.2%
Rim FG%
57.9%
63.4%
DET 72.7% +27.7%
MIA 45.0%
Mid FG%
37.3%
41.4%
DET 45.8% +3.7%
MIA 42.1%
3P %
32.6%
37.9%
DET 29.4%
MIA 36.4% +7.0%
FT %
78.2%
80.8%
DET 63.6%
MIA 89.7% +26.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
30.6%
DET 27.5%
MIA 27.8% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
24.1%
27.1%
DET 30.0%
MIA 26.4% +3.6%
3P Att. %
39.0%
42.2%
DET 42.5%
MIA 45.8% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.225.6
Points98105
Rebounds3944
Assists2320
Steals61
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)11 (2)
Fouls3021
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals37-8029-72
At-the-Rim FG16-229-20
Midrange FG11-248-19
2-Point FG27-4617-39
3-Point FG10-3412-33
Free Throws14-2235-39
Fast Break Pts118
2nd Chance Pts66
Points in Paint4228
Pts off Turnovers1318
Bench Points4458
Biggest Lead714

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28
38.5
22
46%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-8
63%
7-15
47%
1-5
20%
#41 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 23
37.0
13
43%
3
6
0
0
1
3
0
3
4-6
67%
3-3
100%
1-9
11%
#28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 21
21.8
2
17%
8
1
0
2
2
5
2
6
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31
20.2
8
57%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
#18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31
17.8
9
75%
2
3
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
#12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 24
31.6
16
114%
6
2
1
0
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
#7 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 21
30.1
9
45%
4
8
1
0
3
6
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
29.9
13
65%
6
1
0
2
2
5
1
5
1-4
25%
6-7
86%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
13.2
6
60%
5
1
2
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 20
NWT - Injury/Illness | N/a; Non-Covid Illness
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Finger; Sprain
#5 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 24
NWT - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Lumbar Spine; Spasm
#38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
#24 · SF · 6'9" 206 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
39
23
6
5
12
30
6
33
14-22
64%
27-46
59%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.