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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
March 16, 2022
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Thunder23%104120
21Spurs77%115122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.7
34.7
34.1
34
67%
6
8
3
1
1
3
1
5
5-8
63%
13-18
8-14
72%
53%
1-4
25%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.8
33.3
32.8
25
70%
9
1
1
1
0
2
2
7
3-4
75%
5-6
3-7
83%
49%
4-10
40%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.1
29.4
28.1
9
46%
7
4
1
1
0
4
2
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.2
26.0
12.6
2
14%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
55%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
14.1
17.0
10
89%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.2
27.1
23.7
16
79%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-7
71%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.8
25.3
24.6
8
68%
4
8
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.7
19.8
18.4
8
67%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
18.1
20.7
8
133%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
2-2
100%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
12.4
24.3
0
0%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-4
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
13.0
1
1-2
55%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.7
5.1
0
1-1
60%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.4
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.7
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.9
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.4
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 25.5
36.4
34.3
26
60%
9
12
4
2
0
3
2
7
8-8
100%
3-10
8-15
30%
53%
4-8
50%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 22.4
35.1
33.8
22
65%
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
54%
5-10
50%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.6
31.9
29.7
3
25%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
53%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 26.4
28.9
28.3
15
72%
14
1
1
1
1
3
5
9
1-1
100%
7-10
6-10
70%
64%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.5
28.1
25.4
17
54%
7
3
1
1
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
49%
3-5
60%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.3
22.5
26.8
20
48%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
2-8
4-7
25%
51%
4-10
40%
Joshua Primo
G · 6'4" 189 · 19.2
20.1
21.0
6
55%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.2
18.1
20.7
4
50%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 24.3
14.7
17.6
7
70%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.4
4.3
11.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
61%
0-0
-
Joe Wieskamp
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
4.0
0
0-0
52%
DJ Stewart
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 26.1
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 30.2
Robert Woodard II
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.