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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
March 18, 2022
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Thunder17%97108
12Heat83%111120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.2
33.9
24.6
10
42%
15
5
1
1
0
2
4
11
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.7
32.8
33.5
26
62%
7
4
1
1
2
3
0
7
7-9
78%
8-13
7-14
62%
51%
1-4
25%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.8
29.5
32.2
15
49%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.2
29.1
18.4
17
81%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
7-8
88%
5-6
2-3
83%
52%
0-1
0%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
14.3
19.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.7
29.2
18.7
3
30%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.1
27.7
28.2
25
66%
8
0
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
5-11
45%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
19.0
16.0
3
150%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
1-1
100%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.8
14.0
24.4
4
45%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
10.6
19.3
5
42%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
55%
1-3
33%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
10.5
0
1-2
54%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.7
5.1
0
1-1
58%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 22.9
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.7
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.4
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.4
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
30.1
16.3
2
11%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-6
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.0
27.6
32.0
16
85%
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
4-7
57%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
24.6
27.9
19
84%
9
3
1
1
0
0
2
7
3-3
100%
8-10
7-11
80%
58%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
19.6
21.5
19
95%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
61%
5-8
63%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 36.9
17.7
26.7
0
0%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-3
0%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
30.6
18.9
12
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
61%
4-11
36%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.2
27.9
32.5
26
83%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
6-6
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
51%
2-4
50%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.5
26.7
17.4
11
61%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
58%
3-5
60%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
19.9
17.2
13
60%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
52%
0-3
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
3.5
3.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
3.5
2.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 24.6
3.1
3.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Javonte Smart
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
3.1
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.8
2.0
1.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
14.3
0
2-3
61%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.9
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.