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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
March 28, 2022
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings21%102100
8Heat79%114123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 23.6
40.9
35.7
21
54%
2
9
1
1
1
4
0
2
1-1
100%
7-15
5-9
47%
48%
2-4
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
37.9
32.4
17
72%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
3-8
38%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 26.4
30.7
27.8
11
49%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-3
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
25.4
21.9
15
84%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
65%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 33.0
22.6
26.2
6
32%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
32.0
27.5
12
50%
3
5
3
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
4-9
44%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.0
26.2
18.1
9
46%
9
1
0
1
0
3
0
9
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-2
0%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
15.3
2.2
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
8.9
14.9
6
68%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 28.8
15.9
0
2-4
57%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.9
3.2
0
0-0
59%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.3
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.1
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 25.9
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.5
33.9
30.2
27
86%
5
7
0
2
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
7-9
6-11
78%
54%
3-5
60%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
31.7
28.4
22
65%
15
1
2
1
1
2
4
11
2-2
100%
10-16
7-11
63%
59%
0-0
-
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
30.0
20.6
8
33%
3
2
1
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
63%
2-9
22%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.0
25.9
29.7
9
113%
5
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
54%
3-4
75%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 36.9
24.2
25.1
7
58%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
55%
1-1
100%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.2
28.7
29.8
20
67%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
52%
4-8
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
24.9
21.0
15
94%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
62%
5-8
63%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
19.5
22.9
5
50%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
13.8
13.5
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
61%
0-2
0%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
2.5
4.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
2.5
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.8
2.5
1.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.9
21.3
1
3-5
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
9.4
0
1-2
53%
Javonte Smart
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.5
Mychal Mulder
G · 6'4" 185 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.