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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
April 1, 2022
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons51%106110
29Thunder49%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 23.7
43.0
21.5
17
90%
11
3
1
1
1
2
0
11
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
4-5
80%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.7
40.1
27.1
26
52%
7
8
5
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
10-16
3-6
63%
46%
2-9
22%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
7.7
32.6
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
6-13
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.0
6.2
30.7
3
44%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.9
6.2
27.8
2
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
4-7
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jamorko Pickett
F · 6'9" 206 · 24.3
39.2
4.1
13
47%
8
4
0
0
3
0
2
6
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
4-13
31%
Saben Lee
G · 6'2" 183 · 22.8
34.8
18.0
11
42%
5
12
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
33.0
14.2
26
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
8-8
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
52%
4-10
40%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.1
30.1
16.7
10
40%
9
1
1
1
2
0
2
7
0-1
0%
5-10
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
21.3
1
2-3
49%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 31.0
17.5
1
2-4
58%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.7
9.7
0
1-1
50%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 23.7
Luka Garza
C · 6'10" 243 · 23.3
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 23.1
Chris Smith
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 21.8
40.6
29.1
7
36%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
1-5
20%
Jaylen Hoard
F · 6'9" 213 · 23.0
40.0
2.2
11
56%
20
3
0
0
2
0
6
14
0-2
0%
4-6
0-1
67%
55%
1-3
33%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 20.8
37.1
30.1
28
56%
6
6
1
1
2
3
2
4
5-7
71%
7-14
3-6
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
34.6
29.8
16
59%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
6-8
75%
5-9
4-7
56%
57%
0-1
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.2
24.7
30.0
7
30%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-4
25%
3-7
3-6
43%
57%
0-3
0%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
29.6
23.5
11
70%
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
59%
1-1
100%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
22.7
25.3
16
67%
5
4
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
4-10
40%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 21.4
10.6
14.0
5
36%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.3
30.0
1
3-6
52%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.2
13.9
1
2-3
48%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
7.0
0
1-1
57%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 30.7
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.5
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.7
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.0
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 21.8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.